Wednesday, April 1, 2015

2015 MLB AL Central Odds to Win Division

2015 MLB American League Central Odds to Win Division
By: Bankerz Bets (Follow me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)

This is the 3rd installment of the 6-part blog on the MLB Odds to Win the Division where I will cover the American League Central. The Detroit Tigers were the favorites to win this Division and they won it as expected. However, what wasn’t expected was the Kansas City Royals being right on their tail, being only 1 game behind the Tigers. Both teams made the Playoffs but it was the Royals who went deeper, all the way to the World Series! The Baltimore Orioles knocked out the Tigers in their first series. The Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox were the bottom feeders while the Cleveland Indians remained right around .500. Based on the odds, this should be a tight race for the Division and we should be in for some good matchups. Many big name players have come into this Division, which will certainly attract attention. Let’s take a look at the oddsmakers MLB AL Central Betting Odds.

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AL CENTRAL
Detroit Tigers                        +180
Arrivals: Yoenis Cespedes, Alfredo Simon, Anthony Gose, Shane Green, Tom Gorzelanny

Departures: Devon Travis, Rick Porcello, Eugenio Suarez, Robbie Ray, Joel Hanrahan, Phil Coke, Jim Johnson, Torii Hunter, Max Scherzer

Depth Chart
C: Alex Avila
1B: Miguel Cabrera
2B: Ian Kinsler
SS: Jose Iglesias
3B: Nick Castellanos
LF: Yoenis Cespedes
CF: Anthony Gose
RF: J.D. Martinez
DH: Victor Martinez
SP: David Price
SP: Justin Verlander
SP: Anibal Sanchez
SP: Alfredo Simon
SP: Shane Greene
CL: Joe Nathan

Chicago White Sox    +300
Arrivals: Jeff Samardzija, David Robertson, Melky Cabrera, Adam LaRoche, Geovany Soto, Gordon Beckham, George Kottaras, Emilio Bonifacio, Zach Duke, Dan Jennings, Michael Ynoa, Rob Brantly, J.B. Shuck

Departures: Ronald Belisario, Matt Lindstrom, Felipe Paulino, Andre Rienzo, Chris Bassitt, Dayan Viciedo, Marcus Semien, Josh Phegley, Moises Sierra, Jordan Danks

Depth Chart
C: Tyler Flowers
1B: Jose Abreu
2B: Carlos Sanchez
SS: Alexei Ramirez
3B: Conor Gillapsie
LF: Melky Cabrera
CF: Adam Eaton
RF: Avisail Garcia
DH: Adam LaRoche
SP: Chris Sale
SP: Jeff Samardzija
SP: Jose Quintana
SP: John Danks
SP: Hector Noesi
CL: David Robertson

Cleveland Indians     +300
Arrivals: Brandon Moss and Gavin Floyd

Departures: Jason Giambi

Depth Chart
C: Yan Gomes
1B: Carlos Santana
2B: Jason Kipnis
SS: Jose Ramirez
3B: Lonnie Chisenhall
LF: Michael Brantley
CF: Michael Bourn
RF: Brandon Moss
DH: Nick Swisher
SP1: Corey Kluber
SP2: Carlos Carrasco
SP3: Trevor Bauer
SP4: Gavin Floyd
SP5: Danny Salazar
CP: Cody Allen

Kansas City Royals    +400
Arrivals: Alex Rios, Kendrys Morales, Edinson Volquez, Chris Young, Kris Medlen

Departures: James Shields, Billy Butler, Nori Aoki, Josh Willingham, Scott Downs, Aaron Crow

Depth Chart
C: Salvador Perez
1B: Eric Hosmer
2B: Omar Infante
SS: Alcides Escobar
3B: Mike Moustakas
LF: Alex Gordon
CF: Lorenzo Cain
RF: Alex Rios
DH: Kendrys Morales
SP: Yordano Ventura
SP: Jason Vargas
SP: Jeremy Guthrie
SP: Edinson Volquez
SP: Danny Duffy
CL: Greg Holland

Minnesota Twins       +2000
Arrivals: Tim Stauffer, Ervin Santana, Torii Hunter

Departures: Jared Burton

Depth Chart
C: Kurt Suzuki
1B: Joe Mauer
2B: Brian Dozier
SS: Danny Santana
3B: Trevor Plouffe
LF: Oswaldo Arcia
CF: Aaron Hicks
RF: Torii Hunter
DH: Kennys Vargas
SP: Phil Hughes
SP: Ervin Santana
SP: Kyle Gibson
SP: Ricky Nolasco
SP: Mike Pelfrey
CL: Glen Perkins
  
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Prediction: This Division will be very close and I am buying into the offseason moves made by the Chicago White Sox. Chris Sale is easily in the Top 5 pitchers in the league and with the addition of Jeff Samardzija, they could arguably be the best 1-2 punch in the league. Cabrera and LaRoche will also provide the hitting support and I really think they have a great chance this season. The Detroit Tigers have high expectations once again as they should, winning the Division the last 4 years in a row. However, I think this is the year where they won’t win the Division. It’s tough to against them, but when a roster looks too good to be true, it normally is. I think the Division could be decided between the White Sox and the Indians. The Indians hardly made any moves in the offseason and I think they are happy with what they have going on. They were only 5 games behind the Division Champs and I expect this team to progress this season. After exceeding expectations last season, I expect a regression from the Royals. They made some moves that I thought they shouldn’t have made and we could see a World Series hangover this season. The Twins were awful last season and hardly made any moves, so expect a similar season again.

Free MLB Pick
Chicago White Sox +300 to Win AL Central
Cleveland Indians +300 to Win AL Central

I’m picking both the White Sox and the Indians to win the Division. Absurd? Perhaps, but that depends on who you ask. Yes, only one can possibly win. However, I think both teams have the best chance of winning the Division and if either teams wins the Division, we cash! Here’s how it works:

Bet $100 on Chicago White Sox to Win $300
Bet $100 on Cleveland Indians to Win $300

If the White Sox win, we win $300 - $100 (bet on Indians) for a profit of $200.

If the Indians win, we win $300 - $100 (bet on White Sox) for a profit of $200.

So instead of having a 20% chance of winning with 1 team, we now have a 40% chance of winning by betting on another team.


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