Thursday, April 2, 2015

2015 MLB NL Central Odds to Win Division

2015 MLB NL Central Odds to Win Division
By: Bankerz Bets (Follow me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)

This is the 4th installment of the 6-part blog on the MLB Odds to Win the Division. In this installment, I will cover the National League Central. Last season there were two teams representing the NL Central in the Playoffs, he divisional winner St. Louis Cardinals and the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Pirates finished only 2 games behind the Cardinals and despite winning the division, the Cardinals did not surpass their season win total of 91.5 set by the oddsmakers. Based on the offseason transactions, this division could be shaken up the most. The Cubs have made the biggest moves in recent franchise history, but the rest of the division has also made some moves. Out of all the divisions, this is the one that has me the most perplexed and not sure what to expect.

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NL CENTRAL
St. Louis Cardinals              +130
Arrivals: Jason Heyward, Jordan Walden, Matt Belisle, Mark Reynolds

Departures: Shelby Miller, Daniel Descalso, Jason Motte, Pat Neshek, A.J. Pierzynski, Mark Ellis, Justin Masterson, Shane Robinson





Depth Chart:
C: Yadier Molina
1B: Matt Adams
2B: Kolten Wong
SS: Jhonny Peralta
3B: Matt Carpenter
LF: Matt Holliday
CF: Jon Jay
RF: Jason Heyward
SP: Adam Wainwright
SP: Lance Lynn
SP: John Lackey
SP: Michael Wacha
SP: Carlos Martinez
CL: Trevor Rosenthal

Pittsburgh Pirates               +260
Arrivals: A.J. Burnett, Sean Rodriguez, Antonio Bastardo, Corey Hart, Jung-ho Kang, Steve Lombardozzi, Arquimedes Caminero

Departures: Russell Martin, Clint Barmes, Edison Volquez, Ike Davis, Gaby Sanchez, Josh Lindblom, Travis Snider




Depth Chart
C: Francisco Cervelli
1B: Pedro Alvarez
2B: Neil Walker
SS: Jordy Mercer
3B: Josh Harrison
LF: Starling Marte
CF: Andrew McCutchen
RF: Gregory Polanco
SP: Francisco Liriano
SP: Gerrit Cole
SP: Charlie Morton
SP: A.J. Burnett
SP: Vance Worley
CL: Mark Melancon

Chicago Cubs                                    +350
Arrivals: Jon Lester, Miguel Montero, Dexter Fowler, Jason Hammel, Drake Britton, Jason Motte, Tommy La Stella, Chris Denorfia, David Ross, Jonathan Herrera, Donn Roach, Taylor Teagarden

Departures: Luis Valbuena, Dan Straily, Kyuji Fujikawa, Carlos Villanueva, Josh Vitters, Arodys Vizcaino, Wesley Wright, Justin Ruggiano, Ryan Kalish



Depth Chart
C: Miguel Montero
1B: Anthony Rizzo
2B: Javier Baez
SS: Starlin Castro
3B: Mike Olt
LF: Chris Coghlan
CF: Dexter Fowler
RF: Jorge Soler
SP: Jon Lester
SP: Jake Arrieta
SP: Jason Hammel
SP: Kyle Hendricks
SP: Travis Wood
CL: Hector Rondon

Milwaukee Brewers                       +1200
Arrivals: Adam Lind, Luis Sardinas, Corey Knebel, Neal Cotts, Luis Jimenez, Dontrelle Willis

Departures: Yovani Gallardo, Marco Estrada, Zach Duke, Tom Gorzelanny, Mark Reynolds




Depth Chart
C: Jonathan Lucroy
1B: Adam Lind
2B: Scooter Gennett
SS: Jean Segura
3B: Aramis Ramirez
LF: Khris Davis
CF: Carlos Gomez
RF: Ryan Braun
SP: Kyle Lohse
SP: Matt Garza
SP: Wily Peralta
SP: Mike Fiers
SP: Jimmy Nelson
CL: Francisco Rodriguez
 
Cincinnati Reds                   +1200
Arrivals: Marlon Byrd, Anthony DeSclafani, Burke Badenhop, Paul Maholm, Brennan Boesch, Jason Marquis, Kevin Gregg

Departures: Mat Latos, Alfredo Simon, Chris Heisey, Ryan Ludwick, Ramon Santiago, Jack Hannahan



Depth Chart
C: Devin Mesoraco
1B: Joey Votto
2B: Brandon Phillips
SS: Zack Cosart
3B: Todd Frazier
LF: Marlon Byrd
CF: Billy Hamilton
RF: Jay Bruce
SP: Johnny Cueto
SP: Homer Bailey
SP: Mike Leake
SP: Tony Cingrani
SP: Anthony DeSclafani
CL: Aroldis Chapman

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Prediction: I have absolutely no clue as to who will win this division. The Cardinals have a great club and have had a great ball club in the past few seasons. Until they are mathematically out of the playoff picture, they are always a dangerous team. The Brewers surprised a lot of people last season and held the #1 spot in the division for a good while during the season before dropping down. The Chicago Cubs will attract the most public attention due to their offseason acquisitions and I will personally be interested in seeing how this season pans out for them. I think the odds on the Cincinnati Reds are a bit high as they are due to progress this season. Based on their odds, the Reds are my pick for the Sleeper team in the NL Central.

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