2015 Dallas Cowboys Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes
By: Bankerz Bets (Follow me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)
Season Win Total Odds: 9.5
Odds to win the NFC East: +120
Odds to win the NFC Championship: +875
Odds to win the Super Bowl: +1825
The
oddsmakers have set the betting odds on the Dallas Cowboys season win
total at 9.5 for the 2015-2016 NFL season. Last season, the Cowboys went
over their season win total of 8. They finished 1st in the NFC East and
3rd in the NFC Conference with a 12-4 record, going 4-4 in home games
and 8-0 in road games. The offense averaged 6.0 yards per play (3rd) and
28.4 points per game (5th) while the defense allowed an average of 5.8
yards per play (27th) and 22.1 points per game (15th).
NFL
sports bettors that bet on the Dallas Cowboys against the spread went
11-7 overall, 3-6 in home games, and 7-1 in road games. As favorites
against the spread, the Cardinals went 6-6, and as the underdog they
went 5-1. They covered the spread in 61.1% of their games, which ranked
6th in the league. They also had the 25th ranked strength of schedule.
Betting on the Total (Over/Under) in Arizona Cardinals games went 9-8-1
overall, 2-6-1 in home games, and 6-2 in road games.
Here is a list of the arrivals and departures made during the offseason:
Arrivals:
RB Darren McFadden, FB Jed Collins, DE Greg Hardy, OLB Keith Rivers,
ILB Jasper Brinkley, ILB Andrew Gachkar, CB Byron Jones, DE/OLB Randy
Gregory, OT Chaz Green, ILB Damien Wilson, and DE Ryan Russell.
Departures:
RB DeMarco Murray, OT Jermey Parnell, DE Anthony Spencer, DE George
Selvie, DT Henry Melton, OLB Bruce Carter, CB Sterling Moore, CB Corey
White, and KR Dwayne Harris.
2014 Season Rankings
Rushing
Offensive Rushing Yards per Play: 3rd (4.6 RYpP)
Defensive Rushing Yards per Play: 15th (4.2 RYpP)
Rushing Yards per Play Differential: 9th (+0.4 RYpP)
Passing
Offensive Passing Yards per Play: 1st (8.4 PYpP)
Defensive Passing Yards per Play: 20th (7.5 PYpP)
Passing Yards per Play Differential: 4th (+0.9 PYpP)
Luck (Points Scored Not By Offensive TD)
Offensive Luck: 6th (3.8 PpG)
Defensive UnLuck: 20th (3.3 PpG)
Luck Differential: 11th (+0.5 PpG)
2015-16 Dallas Cowboys Schedule
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Prediction
Dallas Cowboys UNDER 9.5 (+120) Season Wins
First
and foremost, let me preface this with saying that I am NOT a Dallas
Cowboys hater. In fact, I do not hate, despise, or bet against any team
in any sport just because I do not like the team. On the other hand, I
also don’t bet on any team or players that I am personally a fan of. A
lot of recreational sports gamblers bet against teams or players just
because they despise the team and/or player. However, if you want to be a
professional sports gambler that is a BIG no-no. At the end of the day,
it’s all about making a profit and getting every edge against the
sportsbook you possibly can. The reason I said all of the above is
because I understand that the Dallas Cowboys are a very loved, yet very
hated team, that is probably the most popular team in the NFL. Looking
at last season’s stats, the Cowboys shined in almost every statistical
aspect, albeit their defense could have done better. However, they did
remain positive in all the differential categories listed above. That is
a very hard and rare feat to accomplish and it is a true gauge on each
team’s identity and the value they offer. The Cowboys shocked the public
after news that Murray would be heading to their divisional rival
Philadelphia Eagles. However, when we dig deeper into DeMarco Murray’s
past season performances, we see them plagued with costly turnovers. Was
Murray’s 2014 season breakout performance just a one-time deal?
Obviously the Cowboys front office believes so and I do as well. The
offensive line had a lot to do with the success of the running game and I
believe the running game will stay intact again for the Cowboys this
season. Everything else should remain the same and I think the Cowboys
will win the NFC East division. However, I do believe they will incur
some regressions after their 12 win season last year and that is why I
like them to go under 9.5 wins. My algorithm projects a 9 win season for
the Cowboys. One major note that I would like to make is that the
Cowboys are the most public bet team in the NFL and they were actually a
profitable team against the spread with an 11-7 ATS record. I certainly
do not expect that to happen again this season and for their first 8
games of the season, you can probably make a profit betting against them
blindly.
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