College Basketball Preview: Seton Hall Pirates vs Gonzaga Bulldogs
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
When: 9:55 PM ET, Thursday March 17, 2016
Where: Pepsi Center in Denver, Colorado
Lines: Gonzaga -1.5
Total: 145
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The Seton Hall Pirates really surprised many this year as they come in at 25-8 overall and 23-9 ATS. They most likely would have made it to the big dance anyway, but they made sure of it by winning the Big East Tournament Title game over Villanova. The Pirates did go 12-5 SU & ATS in road/ neutral games this year and they were also 10-2 SU and 6-5 ASTS vs non-conference teams this year, plus they have gone 9-2 ATS vs tournament teams. They have had a strong year. The Pirates have just five player that average more than 5.0 ppg and are led by Isaiah Whitehead, who averages 18.4 ppg on the year, while Angel Delgado leads them in rebounding at 9.4 rpg and is 4th on the team in scoring at 10.0 ppg. Rounding out the double digit scorers on the team is Khadeen Carrington (14.3 ppg) and Desi Rodriguez (12.5 ppg). Seton Hall has been a decent offensive team as they come in ranked 142nd in scoring, putting up 74.8 ppg, while also ranking 129th in shooting overall and 148th from long range, but they struggle at the stripe where they are 298th. The defense is where this team’s bread is buttered as they come is ranked 76th in points allowed, giving up just 67.8 ppg, while also ranking 33rd in defensive FG% overall and 37th in 3-point defense. The Pirates come in at 23rd in the nation in rebounding, while they commit 13.8 turnovers per game (285th) and force 13.6 turnovers per game (87th).
The Gonzaga Bulldogs have had another solid year, but still they needed to win the WCC tournament in order to gain a berth to their 18th NCAA Tournament in a row. They will try and recapture last year’s magic that saw them go to the Elite 8. The Zags are 26-7 on the year and they went 8-4 SU vs non-conference teams this year, but just 2-8 ATS in those games, plus they were 0-2-1 ATS vs NCAA Tournament teams this year and the Zags have gone just 2-9 ATS their last 11 times they were a favorite in round’s 1-2. Gonzaga has 6 players that average at least 6.5 ppg and they are led by ex-Kansas transfer Kyle Wiltjer, who averages 20.7 ppg and hits 42.4% from distance. 2nd is Domantas Sabonis, who averages 17.4 ppg and leads the team in rebounding at 11.6 rpg. Rounding out the double digit scorers on the team are Eric McClellan (10.6 ppg) and Josh Perkins (10.3 ppg). Gonzaga checks in at 30th in the nation in scoring, putting up 79.7 ppg, while also ranking 12th in shooting overall, 41st from beyond the arc and 13th at the stripe. On defense they come in at 46th in points allowed, giving up just 66.2 ppg, while also ranking 27th in defensive FG% overall and 3rd at defending the arc. The Bulldogs are 36th in the nation in rebounding, while they commit 11.2 turnovers per game (50th) and force just 10.1 turnovers per game (337th).
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[748] Seton Hall +1 over Gonzaga
The Pirates have had a very good year and they do not want it to end here. And they have gone 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, plus we note that the Big East champion seeded No. 6 or higher is 20-3 SU in opening-round NCAA tournament games. The Bulldogs have gone just 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games and they are just 3-9 ATS in the NCAA Tournament vs an opponent off a SU win. The Zags haven’t played a tough schedule at all, while the Pirates have been battle tested and just look like the overall better team here. This should be a good game, but in the end I see the better and more determined Seton Hall team coming out on top
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