MLB Preview:Chicago Cubs vs Diamondbacks
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
When: 4:10 PM ET, Sunday April 10, 2016
Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
Lines: Chicago -180/ Arizona +170
Total: 8 (u15)
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A little National League baseball today between the Chicago Cubs and the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field in Arizona. This is game four of a four game series. The Cubs took game one by a score of 14-6 and Arizona took game two by a score of 4-3. Chicago is 4-1 the last five games in this series.
Last year the Cubs were led mostly by their pitching, and now this year their hitting has caught up. Last year the Cubs ranked 29th in the league in hitting (.244) and they were 15th in runs scored (689), but so far after four games they are tops in the league in scoring (7.75 rpg) and 10th in hitting (.271). If this offense remains for real then the Cubs will be very tough to beat for most of this year. They are a very complete team, but they did lose a part of that offense on Friday when Kyle Schwarber, who had 16 Homers in just 69 games last year, was lost for the season. Still this is a very deep team and they will find away to get around his loss.
The pitching for the Cubs ranked 3rd in the league in ERA last year and 1st in K’s and while they are just 20th in Ks so far, they are also 4th in ERA (2.52) and 1st in WHIP (0.81). Getting the start in this game will be Jake Arrieta, who is off a year in which he won the Cy Young award. He started this year off in fine fashion as he beat the Angels 9-0, allowing just two hits in seven innings of work. Last year he was 22-6 with a 1.77 ERA overall, including 13-1 with a 1.60 ERA on the road. In his career vs the Diamondbacks he has gone 1-1 with a 2.63 ERA in three starts and he is 19-17 with a 3.37 ERA in day games in his career.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been picked by many to be a player in the NL West, but that just won’t happen until they get their pitching in order. Arizona was to have help this year on their staff when they brought in Zack Greinke from the Dodgers, but he was hit hard in his first game, allowing seven ERs on nine hits in just four innings of work. That may have been the worst start of his career. As a team the Diamondbacks are now 27th in the league in ERA at 7.00 and 25th in WHIP at 1.56. That is worse than last years rankings of 17th in ERA (4.04) and 21st in WHIP (1.33) They have taken on two very good offensive teams in the early going in the Cubs and Rockies, so we will see if they can get it together vas the season goes on.
For this game the Diamondbacks will send out Shelby Miller, who was 6-17 with a 3.02 ERA in 33 starts for the Braves last year. Including 3-8 with a 3.67 ERA on the road. Despite his bad year, he was still invited to the All-Star game. He had a very strong year ERA wise, but just couldn’t get much run support from his mates. This year in his first start he got 11 runs worth of support as his team beat the Rockies 11-6, but he got a no-decision and didn’t pitch well in the game, allowing six ERs on eight hits in just six innings of work. Miller is 1-2 with a 2.83 ERA in seven games (Six starts) in his career vs the Cubs. The offense has not been a problem for Arizona so far as they come in ranked 10th in scoring at 5.60 rpg and 5th in hitting at .288.
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Free Baselball Play
[963] Chicago -1.5 (-110) over Arizona
Hard to go against Arrieta, who has just been dominant, especially on the road. The Cubs offense has been very hot so far and will take aim at Miller, who was hit very hard in his debut for the Diamondbacks. With the way the Chicago offense is rolling, the way that Arrieta has pitched on the road, plus the way the Arizona pitching staff is struggling, this is a nice spot to play the road team on the runline. Cubs roll here.
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