College Basketball Preview: Arizona State Sun Devils vs Oregon State Beavers
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
When: 11:30 PM ET, Wednesday, March 9, 2016
Where: MGM Grand in Las Vegas, Nevada
Lines: Oregon State -2.5
Total: 140.5
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The Oregon State Beavers have had a decent year overall as the went 18-11 overall and finished strong down the stretch where they were 6-3 in their last 9 games. They were 9-9 in Pac-12 play, but one of their losses was by 18 points to ASU and they were just 2-7 in Pac-12 road games this year. They will most likely have to get to at least the finals of this tourney in order to get a Big Dance invite. The Beavers are led by Gary Payton II, who averages 15.8 ppg,, while also leading them in assists (142) and steals (69), but he also struggles from long range (30%) and at the charity stripe (62.3%). Rounding out the double digit scorers on the team is Tres Tinkle (13.1 ppg) and Stephen Thompson (10.0 ppg). The Beavers have not been a very good offensive team this year as they come in ranked 203rd in scoring, putting up just 72.1 ppg. They are also 177th in shooting overall, 81st from long range and 301st from the charity stripe, where they really struggle. On defense they have been decent as they come in ranked 128th in points allowed (69.0 ppg), 140th in defensive FG% and 83rd in 3-point defense.
The Arizona State Sun Devils have not had a nice year as they come in at 15-16 overall and went just 5-13 in the Pac-12 this year. They really come in with little momentum as they are just 1-5 in their last 6 games, but as bad as things have been for them this year they do own an 18 point win over Oregon State at home back in January. The Sun Devils go 7 deep, but all seven do average 7.5 ppg or more. They are led by Tra Holder, who averages 14.3 ppg, while Gerry Blakes is the only other player to put up double digits a 10.7 ppg. Overall this has been an average offensive team, that comes in ranked 169th in the nation in scoring, putting up 73.5 ppg, but they are not a good shooting team as they rank 285th in shooting overall, 221 from long range and 211th from the charity stripe. The defensive end of the floor is where they have really struggled this year as they come in ranked 237th in points allowed, giving up 73.9 ppg, while also ranking 304th in defensive FG% overall and 243rd from long range.
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[546] Oregon State -2.3 Over Arizona State
I will be going with the Beavers here. They have played very well down the stretch, while the Sun Devils have not, plus the Beavers have revenge on their minds for an earlier beat down at the hands of the Sun Devils. Both defenses have been rather poor of late, but the Beavers have been much better at the offensive end of the floor as they have averaged 77 ppg in their last five games, while ASU has put up just 63 ppg over the same stretch. These teams are headed in opposite directions and the Beavers should be a bit more motivated as they have the revenge factor, plus the fact that they still have s hot at the NCAA Tournament should they put a few wins together in the Pac-12 Tournament. Beavers by at least 7 here.
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