Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions NFL Football Betting Preview & Free Pick

NFL Preview: Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 25, 2015

Where: Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan

Televised: FOX

Odds: The line opened with Minnesota listed as a 1 point favorite and now it is a PK at most shops. The OU line has held steady at 44.5 all week.

       

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The Minnesota Viking had a bad opening game vs the 49ers on the road, but since then they have been living up to the expectations that many had for them this year. The Vikings have now won three of their last 4 games and that includes a 10 point home win over these same lines. Their one loss in the last 4 games, was on the road at Denver and they lost that game by just 3 points and were outgained by just 19 yards. Coming into the year the offense was supposed to be improved, but rather average and so far that has not been the case, as they come in ranked 30th in total offense and 29th in scoring (19.2 ppg) . The return of Peterson has helped that is 6th in the league in rushing (126 ypg). This is a struggling offense, but they are at 4-2 of the year because of their defense. The Vikes are middle of the pack in terms of yards allowed, but they clamp down when it counts and are 2nd in the league in points allowed (16.6 ppg).

The Detroit Lions have not had a good year so far as they are 1-5 so far in the early going. They did lose their first 5 games before knocking off Chicago 37-34 in OT last week at home. A big reason for the fall is a defense that has struggled mightily this year as they have really felt the loss of Suh and Fairley. Last year the Lions had the 2nd best defense in the league, but so far this year they rank 27th in yards allowed (386 ypg), 26th vs the pass and 29th in points allowed (28.7 ppg). Last year they allowed just 302 ypg and 18 ppg. On offense they have moved the ball, especially through the air where they rank 5th in the league, but they just can't score as they have put up 20 ppg, which is 27th in the league. Clearly the lions are 1-5 on the year because they have issues on both sides of the ball. 
 

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[461] Minnesota PK over Detroit

Yes I will go with the Vikings in this one. They are playing very well right now, while Detroit isn't. The Viking ground attack should have great success vs a Detroit run defense that ranks 20th in the league. Getting their ground attack going will help Bridgewater hit some big plays down field, which is what this offense has been missing. The Detroit offenses is solid, but they just can't find the endzone, and I don't expect them to all that much vs this very tough Minnesota defense. Minnesota is 6-2-1 the lat 9 in this series, while Detroit is 5-16-1 ATS their last 22 after allowing 30 or more points. Vikings get the big road win here.

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Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks Monday Night Football Betting Preview & Free Pick

NFL Preview: Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 8:30 PM ET, Monday, October 5, 2015

Where: CenturyLink Field in Seattle, Washington

Televised: ESPN

Odds: Seattle opened up as a 9 point favorite and they have now been bet up to 10 point favorites. The OU line opened at 43 and it has held steady all week.

       

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The Lions have been a big disappointment so far this year a as they currently stand at 0-3 on the season. They started out big by building a 21-3 lead over San Diego in their opener, but since then they have been outscored 80-35 in the losses vs San Diego, Minnesota and Denver. This is an offense with many weapons but it just hasn't been able to get on track this year and it really starts with their run game. Just like last year the Lions couldn't run the ball and it resulted in them putting up just 20 ppg. This year they are dead last in rushing, averaging a mere 45 ypg and it has led to them putting up just 18.7 ppg. Mathew Stafford has a big arm and some nice weapons, but with no threat of a run game teams are just able to lay back and defend the pass. Detroit has thrown for 260 ypg, but still they need more balance to make the offense work. The defense has been an issue for this team as well as they come in ranked 28th in the league in total defense, after ranking 2nd last year. 

Seattle really had a rough start to their year as they went 0-2 with losses to St Louis and Green Bay on the road. They finally got back on track with a 26-0 win over Chicago, but it was a Bears offense with Jimmy Claussen at QB. This is not a team that looked good in their first two games, but perhaps playing the Bears in Lions in BB games will get them back on track. Last week the Seahawks had their best defensive game yet as they held Chicago to just 146 total yards, including just 48 through the air. This defense has played very well overall as they come in ranked 3rd in yards allowed, 4th vs the pass and they have allowed just 20.3 ppg on the year. Seattle may be 1-2 on the year, but make no mistake that they are still a very good team and will be in the mix for the NFC Title all year long. 

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[277] Detroit/ Seattle Over 43

Neither offense has looked good this year so far, but I do believe that both will open it up a bit in this one, which should lead to so points being scored. The Lions have averaged just 45 ypg on the ground, so they will have to throw the ball in this one if hey hope to move the ball. Yes the Seahawks allowed just 48 yards passing last week to the Bears, but that was vs Claussen and not vs Stafford and Megatron. I can see Detroit getting some points here, while Seattle will also put some on the board vs a struggling Detroit defense.

The Clincher: The Over is 14-3 in Seattle's last 17 vs the NFC North.

I look for 48+ points in this one.

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Denver Broncos vs Detroit Lions Sunday Night Football Betting Odds & Pick

Sunday night football at it should be a good one between interconference foes the Denver Broncos and the Detroit Lions. This game will take place at Ford Field in Detroit and will be televised on NBC at 8:25 pm (ET) Written by David Hess Follow Me on Twitter @DavidHess311

Denver Broncos vs Detroit Lions Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes

Denver                -3           

Detroit                +3

Over/Under:       44.5

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Denver Broncos-  The Broncos are off to their usual 2-0 start as they took care Baltimore in their openers and that had an amazing comeback win vs the Chiefs last thursday night. The Chiefs lead that game from the outset, but a few mental errors down the stretch of the game allowed the Broncos to overcome the deficit and walk away with the 31-24 win. Despite the 2-0 start, the Broncos have to be very concerned about their offense that is currently dead last in the league in total Yards and 26th in passing. Those are just not numbers that you normally see from a Peyton led offense. At the beginning of the season I felt that the offense would struggle as they lost some key pieces to it the last couple of years and Peyton also lost a step or two. I just never thought it would be this drastic. The Broncos are very lucky that the have the top ranked defense to fall back on, but still at some point they will have to score some points.

   

Detroit Lions- The Detroit Lions have not started out as they were hoping to as they come into the game with an 0-2 mark. Their season started with a 21-3 lead over the Chargers, before San Diego came back to win the game 33-28. Their defense really let them down in that game and it did sow again in the 26-16 loss at Minnesota last week. The Lions were one of the best defensive teams in the league last year, but in the offseason they lost both Fairley and Suh and it is really showing up on the field how important those two were. In the loss to San Diego they allowed 483 yards overall and 388 yards through the air. In the loss to Minnesota, who looked pathetic in their week 1 loss to San Fran, they allowed the Vikes to rush for 199 yards at 4.73 ypc. This is a defense that allowed just 302 ypg overall, 232 ypg through the air and just 70 on the ground. Suh may have been a problem on the team, but he also improved this defense and now that he is gone it looks like this team will struggle. The offense hasn’t been terrible, but need help from a ground attack that has put up just 53.5 ypg so far.

 

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[303] Denver -3 over Detroit

The Lions have issues right now as they just can’t stop anyone on defense. In week 1 they struggled mightily vs the pass and in week 2 it was vs the run. I Know the Broncos have offensive issues, but they should break out in this one. The defense for Denver rates a huge edge in this game and they will make enough stops to get a big road win here.

The Clinchers: Denver is 20-8 ATS their last 28 vs a team with a losing record, while the Lions are just 4-10-1 ATS in week 3.

Take the team with the much better defense in this one.

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Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings NFL Betting Preview & Free Pick

NFL Preview: Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

 

When: 1:00 PM ET, Friday, September 18, 2015
Where: TCF Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota

Televised: FOX

Odds: The line opened with Minnesota listed as 3 point favorites, but it has been bet down slightly to Minnesota -2.5. The OU line opened at 43 and is now up to 43.5.  

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The Detroit Lions really suffered a bad loss in week one as hey just out to a 21-3 lead midway through the third 2nd period, before San Diego turned the game around and won it by a score of 33-28. It was the biggest blown loss for Detroit since blowing a 21 points lead over Washington back in 1990. Detroit really struggled offensively in the game as the put up just 302 yards of total offense, which includes just 69 from their ground attack. The Passing game was very average as Stafford threw for just 246 yards with 2 Ds and 2 INTs. The Detroit defense played well early as they intercepted a pass for a TD, but overall at was not a good showing by this group as they allowed Rivers to throw for over 400 yards in the game. You can bet they will look to change that this week.

The Minnesota Vikings were to be a surprise team this year in the NFL, but were anything but that in their 20-3 loss to San Francisco on Monday night. The Vikings struggled on both sides of the ball in the loss. Their defense was to be a major strength of the team, but they allowed 230 yards rushing, including 168 yards to Carlos Hyde. Guess the Niners knew what they were doing when they let Frank Gore go. On offense Teddy Bridgewater just couldn’t really get anything going in the game. He did hit 23 of 32 passes for 231 yards, but was also sacked 5 times for 54 yards and threw a pick. Adrian Peterson struggled as well as he had just 10 carries for 31 yards. Minnesota has a lot to fix as they head into this game, but Mike Zimmer is an excellent coach and he will have them ready to play. 

   

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[268] Detroit/ Minnesota Under 43

I have to look at the Under in this game. Neither offense looked good at all last week and I see them struggling here as well. Both teams need to run the ball in order to make their offenses go, yet Detroit had just 69 yards rushing in their opener, while the Vikes had just 17 carries for 71 yards. 17 carries? Are you serious? When you AP back there he should have 2 carries on his own The Vikes never even tried to establish the run in that game. I look for them to do so here and be the more ball control offense that they are used to being. The Detroit defense will bounce back here and both teams should run a lot more, which will chew clock.   

The Clinchers: The Under is 10-4 the last 14 in the series and 13-3 in the Vikings last 16 game 2s of the season.

Let’s look for a low scoring one here.

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Detroit Lions Vs San Diego Chargers NFL Betting Odds & Free Pick

NFL Preview: Detroit Lions vs San Diego Chargers

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

 

When: 4:05 PM ET, Sunday, September 13, 2015
Where: Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California
Televised: ESPN 

Odds: The line opened with San Diego as being a 2 point favorite and it has been bet up slightly to San Diego -3. The OU Line opened at 45.5 and has been bet up to 46.

The Detroit Lions are kind of a mystery team this year. Their offense looks like it could be explosive, but their defense looks a bit weaker with the loss of Suh and Fairley. This was one of the best defenses in the league and while they did pick up Haloti Ngata I still feel that this unit will be weaker than last year's group. That puts some pressure on an offense that just wasn't as explosive last year as they have been. For most of the 2nd half of the year they ended up being more of a ball control team. They knew they had that excellent defense behind them so they just didn't take too many chances on offense. That is not how this offense needs to operate. They need to open it up a bit more this year, specially wit what looks like it could be a weaker defense. 

The Charger come in to this season with what looks like a rather average team overall, but with McCoy on the sideline they will be a major player in the AFC west this year. He just has a way of having his team pick up a win or two that they shouldn't. The offense looks solid with Rivers at QB and some solid receivers, but what makes this offense even better is that they now have the threat of a running game with the addition of Melvin Gordon at RB. He looks like he could have a big rookie campaign. The defense for the Chargers looks solid, especially in their line and their secondary. This is a good team this year, but they do lack a bit of depth and whether they make the playoffs will hinge on how healthy they are this year.   

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[480] Detroit/ San Diego Under 46

Despite the fact that I feel the Lions need to open up their offense I don't feel they will be able to vs San Diego and that has me expecting a low scoring game in this one. Melvin Gordon will really help the Chargers play their ball control offense that they like to. They are not an uptempo team and that will also limit the chances that Detroit has the ball. The Chargers defense is very solid and while the Lions defense is a bit weaker than last year, they still have a top 10 unit. The Chargers haven;t played may high scoring games at home the last few years and I don't see this one being high scoring either. 

   

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2015 Detroit Lions Season Preview & Betting Odds

2015 Detroit Lions Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes

By: Bankerz Bets (Follow me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)

Season Win Total Odds: 8.5

Odds to win the NFC North: +600

Odds to win the NFC Championship: +1600

Odds to win the Super Bowl: +3700

The oddsmakers have set the betting odds on the Detroit Lions season win total at 8.5 for the 2015-2016 NFL season. Last season, the Lions went over their season win total of 8. They finished 2nd in the NFC North and 5th in the NFC Conference with a 11-5 record, going 7-1 in home games and 4-4 in road games. The offense averaged 5.3 yards per play (20th) and 20.1 points per game (22nd) while the defense allowed an average of 4.9 yards per play (4th) and 18 points per game (3rd).

NFL sports bettors that bet on the Detroit Lions against the spread went 8-9 overall, 5-3 in home games, and 3-5 in road games. As favorites against the spread, the Cardinals went 5-6, and as the underdog they went 3-3. They covered the spread in 47.1% of their games, which ranked 19th in the league. They also had the 20th ranked strength of schedule. Betting on the Total (Over/Under) in Arizona Cardinals games went 5-12 overall, 4-4 in home games, and 1-7 in road games. 

Here is a list of the arrivals and departures made during the offseason:

Arrivals: WR Lance Moore, WR Greg Salas, G Manuel Ramirez, DE Phillip Hunt, DT Haloti Ngata, DT Tyrunn Walker, CB Josh Wilson, CB Chris Owens, G Laken Tomlinson, RB Ameer Abdullah, CB Alex Carter, DT Gabe Wright, and FB Mike Burton.

Departures: RB Reggie Bush, FB Jed Collins, OT Corey Hilliard, G Rob Sims, C Dominic Raiola, DE George Johnson, DT Ndamukong Suh, DT Nick Fairley, DT C.J. Mosley, DT Andre Fluellen, OLB Ashlee Palmer, CB Cassius Vaughn.

2014 Season Rankings

Rushing

Offensive Rushing Yards per Play: 29th (3.6 RYpP)

Defensive Rushing Yards per Play: 1st (3.2 RYpP)

Rushing Yards per Play Differential: 8th (+0.4 RYpP)

Passing

Offensive Passing Yards per Play: 17th (7.1 PYpP)

Defensive Passing Yards per Play: 8th (6.8 PYpP)

Passing Yards per Play Differential: 13th (+0.3 PYpP)

Luck (Points Scored Not By Offensive TD)

Offensive Luck: 12th (3.5 PpG)

Defensive UnLuck: 24th (3.6 PpG)

Luck Differential: 18th (-0.1 PpG)

2015-16 Detroit Lions Schedule

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Prediction

Detroit Lions UNDER 8.5 (-140) Season Wins

The Detroit Lions had a great thing going last year, yet they don’t do everything in their power to keep the core players that helped make the season the success it was. Expect more of the old Detroit Lions this season and them to miss the playoffs. The chemistry of last year will not be present and the defense will struggle to stop the run. I also believe the offensive line will not provide Stafford enough time in the pocket, which will lead to him getting sacked a lot. In a division where there is a clear front runner, being the Green Bay Packers, you have to do everything in your power to get the best players. Looking at their schedule, last season’s roster would have easily won over 8.5 games, but based on the moves they made in the offseason, it won’t be as easy. They start the season on the road against the Chargers and then at Minnesota, they then face the Broncos, Seahawks, and still need to play the Packers twice. The Lions could very well start the season 0-4 and in my projection they will. Then after playing the Packers twice, that will be 6 losses, and they will still have to face the Cardinals, Saints, Eagles, and Vikings again. I project a 6 or 7 win season for the Lions this season.

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