Showing posts with label Pro Football Betting Odds. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Pro Football Betting Odds. Show all posts

Sunday, January 17, 2016

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Denver Broncos NFL Playoff Betting Preview & Free Pick

NFL Playoff Preview: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Denver Broncos
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
When: 4:40 PM ET, Sunday, January 17, 2016
Where: Sports Authority Field at Mile High in Denver, Colorado
Lines: Denver  -7.5
Total:  41
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The Pittsburgh Steelers had a slow start to their year, but they come in having won 7 of their last 9 games, including last week’s penalty fest vs the Bengals. The Steelers really struggled on offense vs a tough Bengals defense and they could have similar problems in this one, especially since they will be without their big play threat, WR Antonio Brown, who caught 136 passes for 1834 yards this year and that will be tough to replace. Not only is Brown out, but so is #1 RB Deangelo Williams. Yes the Steelers still have LeVeon Bell at RB and Markus Wheaton at WR, but still this is a weakened offense. Pittsburgh also has a beaten up Roethlisberger as well and this offense will be facing the top defense in the league.  It could be a struggle for them to score. Defensively the Steelers have not been great, especially vs the pass, where they rank 30th in the league. They are 11th in points allowed, but still it is not a defense that comes close to the caliber of the Broncos
Speaking of Denver, they had another solid year as they went 12-4 overall and won the #1 seed in the AFC in the process. Peyton is just 2-2 in the playoffs when the team he is playing for has the number 1 seed. For the Broncos they won the #1 seed despite the fact that Peyton missed a bunch of time. Well he is back and had some extra time to prepare for this Steelers defense that is beat up and has struggled vs the pass this year. The Broncos do have some offensive weapons, like Thomas and Sanders, plus a solid running game led by the duo of Ronnie Hillman and CJ Anderson, who combined for 1583 yards and 12 TDs this year. The running game should really open up throwing lanes for Manning. Overall the offense has been very average this year, but it hasn’t been their offense that has led them. It has been a defense that ranks 1st in yards allowed, 1st vs the pass, 3rd vs the run and 4th in points allowed, giving up just 18.5 ppg.   
Free NFL Playoff Play
[308] Denver -7.5 over Pittsburgh
The Broncos are the play here. The Steelers are beat up and they come off an awful offensive showing vs the Bengals. They will miss Brown and Williams here and Pittsburgh just doesn’t have enough weapons to cover the losses, especially vs the league’s top rated defense. The Broncos do have a huge edge on that side of the ball, especially at Mile High where they have allowed just 247 ypg and 18.5 ppg on the year. On offense the Broncos have not been that good, but I see Peyton having a huge game here as he is tired of hearing that he is done. The Steelers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 playoff road games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in this series. Bottom line here is that the Steelers just won’t come up with enough offense to win or even keep this one close.
 

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Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers NFL Playoff Betting Preview & Free Pick

NFL Playoff Preview: Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, January 17, 2016
Where: Bank Of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina
Lines: Carolina  -1.5
Total:  44
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The Seattle Seahawks did not have a great year overall, but they have played very well down the stretch and that is usually what matters. The Seahawks enter this game having won seven of their last 8 games, including last week’s 10-9 win over Minnesota, which was played in sub zero conditions. When people think of the Seahawks it is usually about their defense first and that is understandable with the way they have played defense down the stretch. During their last 6 games, the Seahawks have allowed just 10.67 ppg, which is pretty darn good. For the year this Seahawk defense ranks 2nd in the league in yards allowed , 2nd vs the pass, 1st vs the run and 1st in points allowed, giving up just 17.3 ppg. The Offense has been very solid as well for the Seahawks as they rank 4th in total yards, 3rd in rushing and 5th in scoring putting up 26.4 ppg. The Seahawks really exploded on offense down the stretch as they put up 32 ppg during their last 8 regular season games. They do get a boost in this game as it looks like Marshawn Lynch is a go for them , which really aids their ground attack.

For the Carolina Panthers, they had an amazing season as they made it to 14-0 before suffering their first loss of the year, which was a 7 point loss at Atlanta, The Panthers have usually been know for a strong defense and this year was no different, but what was added to the mix was an offense that led the league in scoring, putting up 31.2 ppg. They have been led by a strong running game that ranks 2nd in the league at 142.6 ppg. Jonathan Stewart has been very solid, rushing for 989 yards with 6 TDs, while the second leading rusher is QB Cam Newton, who rumbled for 686 yards and 10 TDs at 4.8 yards per pop. A true dual threat QB and has really been the engine that makes this offense go. THe Panthers do rank 24th in passing, but still when they pass they have hit some big plays and that is because of an effective running game. Now back to the defense, which has been very good this year as they come in ranked 6th in the league in in yards allowed, 4th vs the run and 6th in points allowed, giving up just 19.2 ppg.        
Free NFL Playoff Play
[305] Seattle +2.5 over Carolina
The Carolina Panthers had a great year, but I feel it end here vs a Seattle team that is looking to make up for last year’s super bowl blunder. Getting Marshawn Lynch back for the Seahawks is big and it will really help them have some more balance offense. They will still run it a lot but still, having Lynch run the ball will open up more throwing lanes for Wilson, who has been very effective down the stretch. The Carolina offense has been very effective as well this year, but they are going up against a defense that has been playing out of their minds of late and I expect them to struggle in this one. The way Seattle has played offense down the stretch I feel that the offenses are a tie, while Seattle has the edge on defense and it will be their defense that wins the game for them.

 

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Thursday, January 7, 2016

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals NFL Playoff Preview & Free Prediction

NFL Playoff Preview: Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
When: 8:15 PM ET, Sunday, January 9, 2015
Where: Paul Brown Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio
Lines: Pittsburgh -3
Total:  45.5
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The Pittsburgh Steelers had a solid season as they went  10-6 overall, which includes a 4-4 mark on the road. They come into this game riding some momentum as they have won 4 of their last 5 games and went 6-2 during the 2nd half of the season. Offense, offense and more offense has been the key to their second half surge as they come in having averaged 31.9 ppg in their last 8 games, compared to putting up just 21 ppg in their first 8 games. Ben Roethlisberger had a great year as he threw for 3938 yards and his favorite target has been Antonio Brown, who caught 1834 yards worth of passes for 11 TDs. He also averaged 8.5 catches per game, so the Bengals know who they need to guard in this game. The Steeler offense is 3rd overall, 3rd in passing and 4th in scoring, putting up 26.4 ppg. The defense has had its issues at times this year, especially vs the pass, where they rank 30th in the league,, but they only have allowed 19.9 ppg, which is 11th.

The Cincinnati Bengals have also had a solid season as they come in at 12-4, which includes a 6-2 mark at home. One of their home losses was to Pittsburgh by a 33-20 score back on December 13th. That was the game that the Bengals lost Andy Dalton and he will still be out for this game, which gives the Steelers a huge edge at the QB position. AJ McCarron has showed promise and he threw for 280 yards vs Pittsburgh in that loss. but still this is the NFL Playoffs and he will be facing a very hot Steelers team and that will pose problems for him. The Bengals do have plenty of weapons and a solid running game, but you have to wonder if they can score enough to beat the Steeler? we shall see. The Bengals will really have to rely on their defense to win this one and they have a good one that ranks 2nd in the league in points allowed, giving up just 17.4 ppg, but they have struggled vs the pass as they are 20th in that department and that is not good when you’re about to face the Steelers attack.      



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Free NFL Playoff Play
[106] Cincinnati/ Pittsburgh Over 45.5
Playoff football doesn’t always mean conservative play. The Steelers have gone 17-4-1 to the over in their last 22 playoff games and 20-5-1 in their last 26 games in January. The Steelers offense has been excellent down the stretch and both teams have really struggle vs the pass this year. McCarron threw for 280 yards i the earlier meeting with the the Steelers and he will have to have a similar game if the Bengals hope to win this one, because Pittsburgh will get their points, This won will be played in the 50’s just like the last meeting.  
 

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Sunday, November 8, 2015

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys Sunday Night Football Preview & Free Pick

NBA Preview: Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)


When: 8:25 PM ET, Sunday, November 8, 2015
Where: AT&T Stadium in Arlington
Televised: NBC
Odds: Line opened with Philadelphia as 1.5 point favorites and has been bet up to -3, while the OU line currently stands at 43.5.
       

The Philadelphia Eagles really needed their bye week to get their act together as they are just 3-4 on the year. They have won two of their last three, but still this is not a team that has looked great this year. One of their losses this year was at home to Dallas, so the Eagles will be looking for some revenge in this one. The biggest worries for the Eagles this year has been an offense that ranks just 14th in total yards and 17th in scoring. They have played better in their last 3 games, averaging 432 ypg and 27.3 ppg over that stretch. That is the offense that many were expecting to see this year. The defense for Philadelphia has been good, ranking 11th in the league in points allowed, giving up just 19.6 ppg.


The Dallas Cowboys have been hit hard by injuries this year, namely Romo and Bryan and it has shown up in their record as they are just 2-5 on the year. They did start 2-0, but then the injuries hit and Brandon Weedon and Matt Cassell just haven’t been able to get the offense moving. The Cowboys have averaged just 19 ppg on the year, including just 12.7 ppg in their last 3. The Dallas ground attack has been solid this year (7th), but that passing game ranks 24th in the league. The defense for dallas has been decent, ranking 9th in yards allowed and 10th vs the pass, but hey do allow 24.4 ppg, which is 18th.


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Free NFL Football Pick
[471] Philadelphia/ Dallas Over 43.5
Both teams should be able to score some points in this one. The Cowboys offense has sputtered, but Cassell should b able to get them moving in what should be an uptempo game. He will get more chances on offense thanks to Eagles Pace. The Eagles have had extra time to get their offense going and it did look very good in their three games before the bye week and should look even better with the extra prep time. I look for this one to be played in the upper 40s.



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Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts NFL Football Preview & Prediction

NFL Preview: Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)


When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, November 8, 2015
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana
Televised: CBS
Odds: Line opened with Denver as 2.5 point favorites and has been bet up to -4, while the OU line currently stands at 45.5.
       

The Denver Broncos come into this game off a rather easy home win of the Green Bay Packers. The defense for the Broncos was awesome as they allowed the high flying packer attack just 140 yards of total offense and just 10 points. It was an amazing game plan by the Broncos, who own the league’s best defense. It wasn’t all defense in the game as the offense put up 500 yards of offense, including 340 yards through the air. Many have questioned whether Peyton Manning still has anything left and if he can still hit the deep pass. Well he put those concerns to rest as he hit many big plays down the field in the win. Denver is now 7-0 on the year.
The Indianapolis Colts have really struggled this year so far as they come in at just 3-5 on the year, but still in the AFC South that is good enough for them to be leading the division. This is a team that was picked by many to represent the AFC in the super bowl. That is highly unlikely now, but still they can win their division and make it to the playoffs, but they have to start playing with more consistency. Their last couple games they have been behind early big and have made furious comebacks only to fall short in both games. It has been their offense that has been a problem for them, but they have started to show signs that they are coming out of it after putting up 24.7 ppg in their last 3 game.    

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Free NFL Football Pick
[469] Denver/ Indianapolis Over 45.5
The Colts offense is starting to come around and while hey will be taking on the top defense in the league, I look for that defense to struggle some as they really went al out vs Green Bay last week. The Colts defense has allowed 30 ppg in their last 3 games and we know that the Broncos can put up points in bunches. This one could be a shootout.



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Monday, November 2, 2015

Indianapolis Colts vs Carolina Panthers Monday Night Football Betting Odds & Free Pick

The Indianapolis Colts have not had the year they were expecting so far as they come in at 3-4 on the year, but still that has been good enough for them to lead the South Division. They will be taking on a Carolina Squad that has year to lose a game this year.
Written by David Hess Follow Me on Twitter @DavidHess311
Indianapolis Colts vs Carolina Panthers Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes
Indianapolis              +5.5           
Carolina               -5.5
Over/Under:       46



The Indianapolis Colts have really struggled out the gate this year, posting a 3-4 record. They have actually played better on the road this year (2-1) than at home (1-3). A big reason for heir early season struggles seems to be the play of Andrew Luck, who has posted a 76.3 QBR thus far, with 11 TDs and 9 INTs. He has missed a couple of games and in stepped Matt Hasselbeck, who led them to two wins in a row, while posting a 95 QBR in the process. That had many Colt fans wondering if they needed to make the change permanent. The fans are wondering even more now as the Colts have lost their last two with Luck back in the lineup. The defense has also been an issue for this team as they rank 31st in the league in total defense and 21st in points allowed (24.9 ppg). 

 Carolina comes in at 6-0 on the year and have really been the biggest surprise so far this season. The Panthers have been doing it this year with a ground attack that leads the league in rushing and a very good defense. The ground attack is led by Jonathan Stewart who has 423 yards rushing so far, while Can Newton has chipped in with 245 yards and 4 TDs. Cam has not had a great year passing the ball, but he has don enough to win games. He also hasn't needed to do a whole lot as the defense has been very good for this tar, ranking 10th in yards allowed and 5th in points allowed, giving up just 18.3 ppg on the year.

 


Free Monday Night Football Pick
[275] Indianapolis +5.5 over Carolina
The Colts are due and so is Andrew Luck and I feel it will happen in this game. The Panthers have been a very good team this year, but they are not a team that has enough offense to blow teams out and I can't see them being able to do that here vs a fired up ad desperate Colts team that had such high hopes heading into the year. The Colts are 7-0 ATS as dogs off a SU loss, while the Panthers are 2-8 ATS in the 2nd off BB home games and they are in the middle of a Philadelphia/ Green Bay sandwich. I like the Colts to win this one outright.



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Thursday, October 29, 2015

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots Thursday Night Football Preview & Free Pick

NFL Preview: Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 8:30 PM ET, Thursday, October 19, 2015
Where: Gillette Stadium In Foxboro, Massachusetts
Televised: CBS
Odds: The line opened with New England being 7.5 point favorites and hey are now 9 point favorites in most spots. The OU line has come down from 51.5 to 50.5.
       

Miami started the year slow and Joe Philbin was let go as head coach and all they have done since the change is go 2-0, while outscoring Tennessee and Houston by a combined 82-36. Yikes. Miami was supposed to have an improved offense this year, but they did fail to score more than 20 points in each of their first four games. Now they are playing a bit more like they were expected to, but New England does have a bit tougher defense that the two that Miami faced recently, so it will be interesting to see how they do in this game. On Defense Miami has not been great, ranking 21st overall, 30th vs the run and 15th in points allowed (22.8 ppg). Miami is clearly playing better than they were with Philbin, but this is a much tougher test than they faced in their last two games.  
Ya have to wonder how much the Pats have left as they took out Indy two weeks ago and the Jets last week. Both games were highly emotional for the Pats, but still New England did win both to stay undefeated this year. The Patriots have done it this year with what else but a high powered offensive attack that comes in ranked 2nd in the league in total yards and 1st in scoring, putting up 35.5 ppg so far. I’d say Brady is a little pissed over the whole Deflatgate issues and will now take it out on opposing defenses. The New England defense has been very average this year as they come in ranked 15th in total yards allowed and 12th in points allowed, giving up just 21 ppg so far. So Far this year it is clear that New England is the best team in the AFC.


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Free Pro Football Pick
[101] Miami/ New England Over 51
There will be some wind during the game, but still I feel that both teams will be able to score here.The Patriots have been awesome on offense all year so far and at home they have put up 36.3 ppg. The Miami offense started slow, but they have now come on to score 82 points in their last two games and they have averaged 25.3 ppg on the road. Miami will have to throw to keep pace with New England and Tannehill has been hot of late, so I feel he will be up t the task here. Hey the Jets and Pats put up 53 points on this field last week, so why can’t the Dolphins and Pats. I look for a Thursday night shootout here.   




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Saturday, October 24, 2015

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions NFL Football Betting Preview & Free Pick

NFL Preview: Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 25, 2015
Where: Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan
Televised: FOX
Odds: The line opened with Minnesota listed as a 1 point favorite and now it is a PK at most shops. The OU line has held steady at 44.5 all week.
       

The Minnesota Viking had a bad opening game vs the 49ers on the road, but since then they have been living up to the expectations that many had for them this year. The Vikings have now won three of their last 4 games and that includes a 10 point home win over these same lines. Their one loss in the last 4 games, was on the road at Denver and they lost that game by just 3 points and were outgained by just 19 yards. Coming into the year the offense was supposed to be improved, but rather average and so far that has not been the case, as they come in ranked 30th in total offense and 29th in scoring (19.2 ppg) . The return of Peterson has helped that is 6th in the league in rushing (126 ypg). This is a struggling offense, but they are at 4-2 of the year because of their defense. The Vikes are middle of the pack in terms of yards allowed, but they clamp down when it counts and are 2nd in the league in points allowed (16.6 ppg).

 The Detroit Lions have not had a good year so far as they are 1-5 so far in the early going. They did lose their first 5 games before knocking off Chicago 37-34 in OT last week at home. A big reason for the fall is a defense that has struggled mightily this year as they have really felt the loss of Suh and Fairley. Last year the Lions had the 2nd best defense in the league, but so far this year they rank 27th in yards allowed (386 ypg), 26th vs the pass and 29th in points allowed (28.7 ppg). Last year they allowed just 302 ypg and 18 ppg. On offense they have moved the ball, especially through the air where they rank 5th in the league, but they just can't score as they have put up 20 ppg, which is 27th in the league. Clearly the lions are 1-5 on the year because they have issues on both sides of the ball. 
 


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Free Pro Football Pick
[461] Minnesota PK over Detroit
Yes I will go with the Vikings in this one. They are playing very well right now, while Detroit isn't. The Viking ground attack should have great success vs a Detroit run defense that ranks 20th in the league. Getting their ground attack going will help Bridgewater hit some big plays down field, which is what this offense has been missing. The Detroit offenses is solid, but they just can't find the endzone, and I don't expect them to all that much vs this very tough Minnesota defense. Minnesota is 6-2-1 the lat 9 in this series, while Detroit is 5-16-1 ATS their last 22 after allowing 30 or more points. Vikings get the big road win here.




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