Showing posts with label TCU Horned Frogs. Show all posts
Showing posts with label TCU Horned Frogs. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 28, 2015

West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs College Football Betting Preview & Pick

CFB Preview: West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
When: 7:30 PM ET, Thursday, October 29, 2015
Where: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas
Televised: ESPN
Odds:  The game opened with TCU as 14.5 point favorites ad have been bet down slightly to -14. The OU line currently stands at 75





The West Virginia Mountaineers started the year at 3-0, but then Big 12 play started and they now have lost their last 3 games in a row. The Mountaineers have really been crushed in their two big 12 road games so far as they lost by 20 at Oklahoma and then last week they lost by 24 at Baylor. West Virginia allowed just 23 total points in their three non-conference games to start the year, but once Big 12 play has begun that defense has been torched to the tune of 494 ypg and 36.3 ppg. I see a patter here and that defense may not have any better luck vs the high-powered Horned Frogs in this one. The Offense For West Virginia has been very good as expected as they come in ranked 19th in the nation in total offense and 29th in scoring (36.3 ppg). Offense is clearly not an issue for this team. 

 The TCU Horned Frogs were picked by many to have the best shot at knocking off Ohio State in the run for the national title and they were raked 2nd in the nation to start the year, but they have been plagued by injuries to their defense and haven't been as dominating as expected and as a result they have dropped one spot in the polls. This team is still very good, but until they fix that leaky defense they will be at risk of losing every week. The Horned Frogs did allowed just 24 points in their first two games and they allowed 7 points Texas later in the year, but in their other 4 games this year they have given up 38.8 ppg. They could have similar problems in this one, but i'm not sure they will care much about that as their high powered offense will take aim at a weak West Virginia defense. That offense for TCU is high powered as they average 616.3 ypg and 50.1 ppg on the year so far.   



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Free College Football Pick
[111] West Virginia/ TCU Over 75
This one should be a lot of fun as we have two high powered offenses taking on shaky defenses/ TCU has averaged 50 ppg this year and Baylor put up 68 points on this defense, so see no reason why the Horned frog will put up less tan 55 here. The TCU defense has really struggled at times this year and that should continue vs a West Virginia offense that is capable of 30+ points any time they step on the field. Both offense run uptempo and that just creates many more chances to score. three of TCU's last 5 games have put up 93 or more points, while West Virginia's 3 Big 12 games have put up 75.7 ppg. I can see this one hitting the 80s rather easily.




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Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Texas Longhorns vs TCU Horned Frogs College Football Betting Preview & Pick

Texas Longhorns (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 OU) vs TCU Horned Frogs (4-0 SU, 1-3 ATS, 3-1 OU)
When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 3, 2015
Where: Aman G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas
Lines: TCU -15
Total: 71.5




The Texas Longhorns come in at 1-3 on the year and the seat under Charlie Strong seems to be getting hot. For the TCU Horned Frogs they have been dealing with many injuries on defense and at some point that may catch up to them in their quest for a National Title.  
  
Texas had some high hopes this year and they were supposed to be led by their defense, but that really hasn’t panned out. They brought back just 5 starters from last year, but they did have plenty of talent on the unit. Still they have taken some time to gel and come in ranked 115th in the nation in yards allowed (483 ypg), 107th vs the pass, 105th vs the run and 106th in points allowed (35.2). The defense isn’t the only area that they have had issues as their offense comes in ranked 110th in total yards and 78th in scoring (29 ppg). The offense was also supposed to be a strength of this team as they had 8 starters back from last year, including the entire OL. From the 4th quarter in the game vs Cal through the Oklahoma State 3 point loss the Longhorns have played much better, but this team still has issues on both sides of the ball and if they aren’t corrected then Texas will not get a bowl invite this year.  
The TCU Horned Frogs come in at 4-0 on the year, but their hopes of making it to the College football playoffs was almost dashed last week in their wild 55-52 win on the road vs Texas Tech. The Red Raiders really had them on the ropes and if it wasn’t for a miracle catch in the closing seconds by TCU then they would have lost that game. The big problem for the Horned Frogs in the last two games has been all the injuries to their defense and it has been the reason that they have allowed 89 points and 1115 yards in their last 2 games. Offensively there is nothing wrong with this team as they come in ranked 2nd in the nation in total yards (636.5 ypg) and 5th in scoring (51 ppg). The offense is led by Trevone Boykin, who should be one of the finalists for the Heisman trophy at the end of the year. So far he has thrown for 985 yards with 10 TDs and just 3 INT, while also rushing for 190 yards and 2 TDs.   



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Trends
Texas is:
3-8 ATS their last 11 games in October
Road team is 1-4 ATS the last 5 in the series
TCU is:
12-1 ATS off a SU Win vs an Opponent off BB SU losses
10-1 ATS their last 11 home games


Pick: TCU -15
Texas looked better in their last 2 games, but still this team is a mess and their defense is horrible. How will they stop the unstoppable TCU offense in this one. The answer is... They won’t. I don’t even see the best SEC defenses being able to stop this group. The Texas offense has come alive of late, but still they have consistency issues on that side of the ball and will be taking on a very angry TCU defense that has allowed 90 points in their last 2 games combined. TCU nearly lost their chance at the national title last week and I expect them to fight back this week and make sure that the game isn’t close at all. I see a blowout in this one.




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Tuesday, September 1, 2015

TCU Horned Frogs at Minnesota Golden Gophers Preview & Free Pick

College Football Preview: TCU Horned Frogs at Minnesota Golden Gophers

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)


When: 9:00 PM ET, Thursday, September 3, 2015
Where: TCF Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minnesota
Televised: ESPN

Odds:  TCU opened up at 16 points favorites and that has been bet down to -14. The OU line currently sits at 57.5 or 58.

The TCU Horned Frogs will be a scary team this year as they not only have a Heisman front runner at QB and are loaded on both sides of the ball, but they also have a huge chip on their shoulders after the playoff committee left them out last year. Trevone Boykin is back at QB and has 9 other starters returning with him, from a group that put up 46.5 ppg last year. Boykin can also run the ball as he ran for 707 yards and 8 TDs last year. His top RB returns, along with his top 3 receivers from last year, who combined for 2353 yards and 13 TDs last year. Oh and all these guys will set up behind the 7th best OL in the nation.  The Defense allowed just 19 ppg last year and while they have just 5 starters back I’d expect this defense to be very tough again. They have the 6th rated DL and 6th rated secondary in the nation, plus they also have very solid depth at every position. This is a loaded team on both sides of the ball and they have the talent to run the table, plus having a chip on their shoulder should help propel this team to very high heights this year. At the very least they will be in the NCAA Playoffs. 

The Minnesota Golden Gophers had a solid 8-5 season last year, but they have to do some rebuilding on offense if they hope to duplicate that feat. Yes QB Mitch Leidner is back, but he is only mediocre at best, as he threw for just 1798 yards with 11 TDs and 8 INTs last year. The Passing numbers can be expected to be down as this is more of a running team, but the Gopher’s lost top RB David Cobb, after he ran for 1626 yards and 13 TDs last year. Rodrick Williams played in 8 games and had 1 start last year, running for 114 yards on 25 carries in the process. He will get the nod this year and does have the luxury or running behind one of the better OLs in the league. The WR corp is very weak and has no depth at all after losing 4 of the top 5 pass catchers from last year. The defense was solid last year as they allowed just 24.2 ppg and it could be better this year with 7 starters back. They do lose their top 2 tacklers from last year, but return 7 of their next 9, plus they grabbed a few solid recruits as well. Two of those recruits are for a secondary that rates as 3rd best in the Big 10. The front 7 is not spectacular, but is very solid. The Gophers lost too much on offense to feel that they can duplicate their 8 wins from last year. Still there are enough wins on their schedule to get them back to a bowl game.  

Minnesota is a solid team, but they are not spectacular and that is the kind of team you will need to beat the Horned Frogs this year. TCU has a huge chip on their shoulders and I can see them running up scores this year, as to leave no doubt in the committee’s minds that they belong in the NCAA Playoffs. Minnesota is a solid defensive team, but TCU just very well may have the best offense in the Nation. An offense that can put up 50+ points whenever they want to. Minnesota’s offense is nowhere near that caliber and just won’t find enough points in this game to keep it close.


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