Showing posts with label ncaa odds. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ncaa odds. Show all posts

Thursday, February 18, 2016

Let's continue riding the Minnesota Gophers SHOCKING trend!

#17 Maryland Terrapins at #140 Minnesota Golden Gophers trend and free pick
By: TheScientist (Follow Me on Twitter @thescientistsbc)

Diamond Stone forgets that heads are not for bouncing

We all won BIG the last time the Golden gophers played, at Iowa, and they almost came away with the road upsets, 71-75.  Now they take on a struggling Melo Trimble (29% shooting in L4 games) and the Maryland Terrapins, who had their 28-game home winning streak snapped by 30th ranked Wisconsin Badgers, 57-71... this one was never close.

Let's take a look at the trend below:

The Golphers are only losing to B1G teams ranked 50 or better by an average score of 6pts:
02/14 #16 Iowa Away L by 4
02/10 #31 Michigan Home L by 8
01/30 #14 Indiana Away L by 6
01/27 #11 Purdue Home L by 4
01/20 #31 Michigan Away L by 5
01/16 #13 Indiana Home L by 7
01/02 #1 Michigan St Home L by 8

The gophers seem to play to their competition, or vice versa... the good teams overlook them and the other teams, struggling to make even the NIT.

Versus teams ranked worse than 50, they lose by an astonishing 17ppg.
02/04 #67 Northwestern Away L by 24
01/23 #110 Illinois Home L by 5
01/12 #74 Nebraska Away L by 25
01/09 #67 Northwestern Home L by 25
01/05 #127 Penn State Away L by 9
12/30 #61 Ohio State Away L by 15

Let's continue with the trend and take the Golphers as they have nothing to play for except pride, and their first B1G win of the season... this game, today, is their Superbowl.

Maryland looked lost on offense in their last game versus the Badgers. They went almost the entire first half without making a FG made(actually it was about 14minutes.  Plus, they lost their starting C Diamond Stone to a one-game suspension for intentionally slamming Vito Brown's head into the floor.

Don't be surprised when the gophers get their first B1G win of the season


B1G Game of the Week for only $6.00 (64% on 2-5* hypotheses) here on my webpage

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16-8 on All Wisconsin sports in L2 months ATS/Totals
27-8 overall on HOTT selections
 
Final Hypothesis
Maryland 60
Minnesota 62

Conclusion

Minnesota +10

 *Ranking Explanation/FYI: I always use a predictive ranking model courtesy of teamrankings.com which is based upon an algorithm which includes RPI, SOS, margin of victory, and preseason expectations.  Personally, I believe the AP ranking is antiquated, subjective, and very biased system, and therefore the antithesis of science.


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Saturday, March 28, 2015

NCAA Tournament Elite 8 Free Pick Arizona Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers Betting Odds

NCAA Tournament Elite 8 Free Pick Arizona Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers Betting Odds
Game Time: 6:05pm (est)
Broadcast: TBS
Spread: Arizona -1.5
Total: 133.5
By: Bankerz Bets (Follow me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)

Here we are folks, down to the Elite 8 in the NCAA Tournament with one heck of a matchup between the Arizona Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers. However, don’t take my word for it; the oddsmakers also agree that it will be a great matchup as the Arizona Wildcats are 1.5-point favorites according to the most current betting odds. Perhaps this matchup may seem like deja vu because it was only a year ago when the Badgers defeated the Wildcats in the Elite 8 to advance to the Final Four. So you can go ahead and put a check mark next to the Revenge Factor for the Arizona Wildcats.

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The Arizona Wildcats have been a covering machine when betting ATS. They sport a 23-14 (62%) ATS record this season! ATS Betting on the Wildcats blindly would have netted you a profit without doing any research. Taking a look at the Wildcats opponents in the NCAA Tournament, they have faced the 15th, 10, and 6th seeded teams, an average seed of roughly 10 with an average scoring margin of +14. The Badgers have faced the 16th, 8th, and 4th seeded teams, an average seed of roughly 9 with an average scoring margin of of +9.

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The Wildcats are also 21-12 (64%) after a win when betting ATS and have won their last 14 games on the Money Line. Statistically, the Wildcats will have the edge in both offense and defense efficiently. When we take a look at the Common Opponents between these two teams, the Wildcats have an average scoring margin of +25.75 while the Badgers have an average scoring margin of 11.8. Simply put, the Wildcats don’t just beat teams, they crush them. I believe this will be a back and forth game for the majority of it, but I expect the Wildcats to start pulling away with 2-3 minutes left in the game to get the victory!

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NCAA Tournament Elite 8 Free Pick
[513] Arizona Wildcats -115

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