Wisconsin Badgers vs Xavier Musketeers NCAA Tournament Betting Preview & Free Pick

College Basketball Preview: Wisconsin Badgers vs Xavier Musketeers

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 8:40 PM ET, Saturday March 20, 2016

Where: Scottrade Center in St Louis Missouri

Lines: Xavier -4

Total: 136

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The Wisconsin Badgers are making their 18th consecutive trip to the NCAA Tournament and they did make it to the finals last year, but this is a much different team that that squad. The Badgers knocked of Pitt in a low scoring 47-43 slugfest in their opening round game and they are now 9-5-2 ATS vs Tournament teams this year and they are also 7-1 ATS in the tournament with the line being -5 to +5, but they were also just 5-7 ATS vs non-conference teams this year and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. The Badgers have 5 players that average at least 7.5 ppg and are led by Nigel Hayes, who scores 16.3 ppg. Bronson Koenig is 2nd at 13.1 ppg, while Ethan Happ is 3rd at 12.2 ppg and he leads the team in rebounding at 7.8 rpg. Wisconsin has not been a good  offensive team this year as they come in ranked 279th in the nation in scoring, putting up just 68.2 ppg, while also ranking 248th in shooting overall, 144th in 3-point shooting and 146th at the charity stripe. On defense they have been solid as usual as they come in ranked 19th in the nation in points allowed, giving up just 63.9 ppg, but they are just 136th in defensive FG% overall and 325th in 3-point defense. The Badgers come in at 220th in the nation in rebounding, while they commit just 10.8 turnovers per game (30th) and force just 12.1 turnovers per game (212th).  

The Xavier Musketeers had another solid season and spent much of the year ranked in the top 10 in the polls. Their made it past their first round matchup with Weber State rather easily in the 71-53 win. Xavier is now 21-3 ATS in their last NCAA Tournament games and they are 7-0 ATS their last seven in round two, but they are also just 2-3 ATS in their last five games overall and just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games on Sunday. The X-Men have 7 players that average at least 6.2 ppg and they are led by Trevon Bluiett, who averages 15.3 ppg and hits 39.7% of his shots from long range. Edmond Sumner and James Farr both put in 11 ppg and Farr leads the team in rebounding at 8.0 rpg. Rounding out the double digit scorers is Myles Davis at 10.9 ppg.  Xavier has been a very good offensive team this year as they come in ranked 18th in the nation in scoring, putting up 81.0 ppg, while also ranking 110th in shooting overall, 94th in 3-point shooting and 49th at the charity stripe. On defense they have been decent as they come in ranked 140th in the nation in points allowed, giving up 70.5 ppg, while also ranking 70th in defensive FG% overall and 28th in 3-point defense. The Badgers come in at 11th in the nation in rebounding, while they commit just 12.7 turnovers per game (181st) and force 14.0 turnovers per game (62nd).  

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[723] Wisconsin +4.5 over Xavier

I like the Badgers in this game, despite some solid ATS numbers by the Musketeers in this tournament. The Badgers play solid defense and they also make you play at their pace, which should frustrate Xavier. They have played decent defense, but nothing like Wisconsin has. The Badgers were one of the hotter teams in the nation down the stretch this year and I feel it will continue here and it will be again that defense that leads them. Wisconsin is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs a team with a winning record, so they do play up to their competition. I look for the outright win by Wisconsin here.  

 

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USC Trojans vs Wisconsin Badgers Holiday Bowl Betting Preview & Free Pick

Holiday Bowl Preview: USC Trojans vs Wisconsin Badgers

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 10:30 PM ET, Wednesday, December 30, 2015

Where: Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California

Lines: USC -3.5

Total:  50.5

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The Wisconsin Badgers come in at 9-3 on the year, but they were just 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS vs bowl teams this year and their SOS was one of the lower of the bowl teams. That means they really beat up on the weaker teams they played. The Badgers have done it this year with a stout defense that comes in ranked 3rd in the nation in yards allowed, giving up just 267.1 ypg, while ranking first in points allowed, giving up just 13.1 ppg. The Badgers allowed 35 points to Alabama in their opener and they allowed more than 21 points just one other time this year and that was at Maryland. The offense is a conservative one, but with their defense they can afford to be. Joel Stave is the QB and he did throw for 2470 yards, but also threw just 10 TDs to 11 INTs. What’s more alarming for this offense is that they are 97th in the nation in rushing. That is not Wisconsin football. This is a team that is used to being in the top 20 in the nation in rushing. Still they have scored 27.1 ppg, which has been more than enough because of the defense they have.     

The USC Trojans come in at 8-5 n the year, which really is not what they were expecting. This is a team hat had loads of talent coming back from last year and were supposed to have a much better year than they did. Still they played in the weak Pac-12 South and won the division, before losing 41-22 to Stanford in the Pac-12 Title game. USC faced the third toughest schedule of all the bow teams and were 6-5 SU & 5-6 ATS in their games vs Bowl teams. The Trojans are just the opposite of the Badgers are they are much stronger on offense than on defense. The offense is led by Cody Kessler, who had a strong year, but more was expected. He did throw for 3315 yards and 28 TDs, but that was 500 yards less and 11 TDs than the year before. Offensively hey are 34th in total yards and 30th in scoring, putting up 34.9 ppg. The defense was to be the real strength of this team this year, but that was not the case as they ranked 66th in yards allowed, 99th vs the pass and 52nd in points allowed, giving up 25.9 ppg.

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[255] Wisconsin +3.5 over USC

I’m going with the Badgers in this one. Their defense has been excellent this year and I feel that will be the difference in this game. The Trojans have been good on offense this year, but they have also been inconsistent and they have struggled vs some good defenses like the second meeting vs Stanford (22) and an earlier meeting vs Washington (12). This will be the best defense they will have faced so far this year. USC does not have that kind of defensive presence this year and the Wisconsin offense should wear them down enough to put up enough points to get the outright win here.

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Northwestern Wildcats vs Wisconsin Badgers Betting Preview & Free Pick

Northwestern Wildcats (8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS, 4-6-0 OU) vs Wisconsin Badgers (8-2 SU, 4-6-0 ATS, 4-6-0 OU)

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 21, 2015

Where: Camp Randall Stadium in Madison Wisconsin

Lines: Wisconsin -10

Total: 40

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The Northwestern Wildcats have been the surprise of the Big 10 thus far as they come in at 7-2 overall and 4-2 in the conference after taking out Purdue 21-14 this past week. The Wisconsin Badgers had the week off and prior to their bye they beat Maryland 31-24 on the road. Wisconsin is now 5-1 in the Big 10. Both Wisconsin and Northwestern are chasing Iowa in the Big 10 West.

Justin Jackson’s TD Lifts Wildcats Over Boilermakers

The Wildcats weren’t really supposed to be in a close game vs Purdue this past weekend, but that’s exactly what happened as they just couldn’t shake the pesky Boilermakers. The game was tied at 14 until Justin Jackson scored on a two-yard run with just over 10 minutes left in the game. That was the game winner. Jackson had 116 yards rushing in the game and that lone TD, while Warren Long had the other two TDs for the Cats.

The Wildcats only outgained the Boliermakers by just 22 yards in the game and just had a lot of trouble sustaining much offense vs a defense that ranked 101st overall and 107th in points allowed. Not a pretty offensive display for Northwestern, but really that is the way it has been this year for the Wildcats as they come in ranked 111th in total offense and 11th in scoring offense (21.1 ppg) Defense is where this team’s bread is buttered as they come in ranked 18th in yards allowed (320.4 ypg) and 12th in points allowed 17.6 ppg.  

Badgers Survive A Scare From Maryland

The Wisconsin Badgers are just a game behind Iowa in the Big 10 West and two weeks ago they took on a weak Maryland squad that had just two wins on the year coming in. Maryland fought hard in the game and it was tied at the half, before Wisconsin outscored them 14-7 in the 2nd half. Joel Stave had just 20 yards passing at the half, but had a much better second half as he finished with 188 yards and 1 TD for the game. Stave has now thrown 10 TD passes on the year, but he has 8 INTs as well.

Still it has been the passing game that has led this team a bit more than the power running game that they are used to in these parts. The passing game ranks 44th in the nation, which the running game is 89th. Wisconsin was able to must just 104 yards on the ground in the win over a Maryland squad that has allowed 160 ypg on the ground this year. Much like Northwestern, this isn’t an offensive team as their money is made on a defense that ranks 3rd in the nation in yards allowed (272 ypg) and 1st in points allowed (12.3 ppg).      

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Pick: Wisconsin/ Northwestern Under 40

The OU line here should be around 42 and I expect this game to be played in the 30’s. Both teams are very conservative on offense and they can afford to be as they have top-notch defenses backing them up. The Badgers have allowed just 12.3 ppg overall, including just 5.0 ppg at home and the Wildcats have averaged just 16.3 ppg on the road. Northwestern has allowed 25.3 pg on the road and Wisconsin has scored 32 ppg at home, but I just can’t see them getting that much in this one, especially knowing that their defense should really stifle the Wildcats, so they won’t have to score a whole lot to win the game. This game has 20-13 written all over it.

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Wisconsin Badgers vs Nebraska Cornhuskers College Football Betting Preview & Prediction

Wisconsin Badgers vs (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 2-3 OU) vs Nebraska Cornhuskers (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 OU)

When: 3:30 PM ET, Saturday, October 10, 2015

Where: Memorial Stadium in Lincoln, Nebraska

Lines: Nebraska -1.5

Total: 48.5

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This is a huge game for these teams as both have started out 0-1 in the Big 10 this year so far. Nebraska started with a loss to Illinois in the closing seconds, while Wisconsin was thoroughly outplayed on their own field in a very sluggish 10-6 loss to Iowa.   

Wisconsin is 3-2 on the year, but still this offense is not playing well at all. The Badgers really have missed Melvin Gordon at RB as they have put up just 167.8 ypg rushing this year, compared to 320 ypg last year. A power run game has been the staple of the Badgers for year, but this year they have had to rely on the passing game of Joel Stave, which is not what you want to have to do. Joel really hasn’t been a good QB for the Badgers and while he has thrown 44 TDs in his career, he has also thrown 30 INTs. Not a good ratio at all. This year he has 7 TDs to 4 INTs. Again that is not a good ratio.

The Badgers do seem like a confused tea on offense as they really don’t have an identity of what kind of offense they are running. This is a power running team that is having to throw the ball more, which will make for a sputtering offense like the e they have. The Badgers put up just 17 and 6 points n their 2 losses and even in two of their wins vs Hawaii and Troy they were able to manage just 28 points in each game. They would have run right over those teams in previous years, but this year they just can’t.

The Nebraska Cornhuskers have had some late game bad luck this year and it started in their opener vs BYU, when Tanner Magnum came in off the bench to hit a hail mary pass in the final seconds of the game, giving BYU the 33-28 win. Last week vs Illinois it wasn’t a hail mary, but Wes Lunt did hit Geronimo Allison for a 1 yd TD pass with just 10 seconds to go i the game, giving Illinois the 14-13 win. Now let’s add those two losses to the OT loss at Miami and you have a Nebraska team that is just a few plays away from being 5-0 and ranked in the top 10. Just heartbreaking losses for this team that is looking to turn things around with a new coaching staff and attitude.

Offensively the Cornhuskers have been very good as they have put up 474 ypg and 31.8 ppg on the year so far. The defense has been a different story, especially their late game defense. So far this year the Cornhuskers have allowed 12.8 ppg through the first 3 quarters, but in quarter #4 alone they have allowed 10.6 ppg. Prior to the season starting, defensive depth looked like it was going to be an issue for this team and so far it has been. The have been wearing down late in games.

 

Trends

Wisconsin Is:

• 5-0 ATS their last 5 games vs a losing team
• 20-7 ATS after rushing for less than 100 yards

Nebraska is:

• 0-7 ATS at home vs a Big 10 opponents off a SU loss
• 1-4 ATS their last 6 Big 10 games
• 0-4 ATS in the last 4 in the series

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Free College Football Pick: [403] Wisconsin +1.5

I know I didn’t discuss it above, but one thing that the Badgers do have is an excellent defense that comes in allowing just 278 ypg and 9.6 ppg on the year. Granted they haven’t played the best of offenses this year, but still those are some solid numbers. Nebraska has played decent offensive teams and they have struggled so far, allowing 438 ypg and 24 ppg so far. Wisconsin gets the clear edge on defense in this game. I do look for them to run the ball a bit more here as that should really tire out the Nebraska defense that has already shown they will tire late. This game will be won in the 4th quarter and Wisconsin has allowed just 1.4 ppg in that quarter, while Nebraska has allowed 10.6 ppg in the final frame. Nebraska loses another game late.

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Wisconsin Badgers vs Alabama Crimson Tide Preview & Free Pick

College Football Preview: Wisconsin Badgers vs Alabama Crimson Tide

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 8:00 PM ET, Saturday, September 5, 2015
Where: AT&T Stadium In Arlington, Texas
Televised: ABC

Odds:  The Crimson Tide opened up at favorites of 10 and it has been bet up slightly to 10.5. The OU line opened at 55.5 and has been bet down to 50.5.

The Wisconsin Badgers made it to the Big 10 Title game last year, but were then throttled 59-0 by Ohio State, which went on to be national champs. The Badgers have just 11 starters back this year, must replace a first round RB and have a new coach coming in, but still they are the favorites to win the West. Defensively the Badgers were very tough last year as they allowed just 20.8 ppg overall and just 17.9 ppg in Big 10 play, despite the fact that they returned just 3 starters. This year they have 6 starters back and look to be very solid up front and in the LB corps, while the secondary should be outstanding with 3 of 4 starters back and 3 of the 4 in the secondary are seniors. That secondary rates as 2nd best in the Big 10 and 14th in the nation. This will again be a very solid defense and will have to carry the team till the offense comes around. Joel Stave will be the QB and has really been inconsistent in his career so far. The Badgers do lose RB Melvin Gordon, who ran for 2587 yards and 29 TDs last year, but Wisconsin seems to have a plug and play system when it comes to RBs and Corey Clement did run for 949 yards (6.5 ypc) and 9 TDs last year. Even without Gordon this team still has the 2nd rated RB corps in the league and 11th in the nation. Clement will be running behind the 3rd rated OL in the league as the Badgers seem to always put a solid line on the field. Leading receiver Alex Erickson is back, but not a lot of depth at that position. This will be a very formidable team once again.

The Alabama Crimson Tide made it to the playoffs last year and were pretty big favorites in their game vs Ohio State, but their defense didn’t play well at all in that game and they ended up losing a 42-35 thriller. The defense was one of the best in the nation during the regular season last year and will again be one of the best in the nation as Nick Saban has 27 lettermen, including 7 starters back on that side of the ball. He also had good success in recruiting as he brought in the #4 & #% rated DB’s and the #9 rated DL that came out of HS last year. This is a loaded team on defense and they will have to step up until their offense catches up. That offense put up 36.9 ppg last year by returns just 3 starts this year. At QB it looks as if Jake Coker will take over for the departed Blake Sims. He is a senior and has had some experience in this offense, so the tide are expecting big things from him. They do return their top RB in Derrick Henry, but this RB corps isn’t as deep as in years past and the WR corps took some hits as they lose their top 3 from last year, including Amari Cooper, who grabbed 124 balls for1727 yards last year. They have some talent coming in in Calvin Ridley, who is the #2 WR recruit, plus they also have the 15th best recruit coming in as well. The WR corps is down as well, but the OL is a strength and rates as one of the best in the Nation. This team will again be a player in the hunt for the National Title, but their offense needs to gel pretty quickly.

Let’s see. Both of these teams lost a lot on offense from last year, while both teams will be fielding very strong defenses. Hmmm, which way will I suggest you go? Yes the Under. Both these teams will have to rely on their defenses this year, especially early in the year until their offenses catch up. Also I really look for both teams to run the ball a lot in this game. That is the way the Badgers operate anyway and I look for Alabama to do the same. That will chew clock. This should be a tight low scoring ballgame, so I will say to take the Under here.   

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NCAA Tournament Elite 8 Free Pick Arizona Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers Betting Odds

NCAA Tournament Elite 8 Free Pick Arizona Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers Betting Odds

Game Time: 6:05pm (est)

Broadcast: TBS

Spread: Arizona -1.5

Total: 133.5

By: Bankerz Bets (Follow me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)

Here we are folks, down to the Elite 8 in the NCAA Tournament with one heck of a matchup between the Arizona Wildcats vs. Wisconsin Badgers. However, don’t take my word for it; the oddsmakers also agree that it will be a great matchup as the Arizona Wildcats are 1.5-point favorites according to the most current betting odds. Perhaps this matchup may seem like deja vu because it was only a year ago when the Badgers defeated the Wildcats in the Elite 8 to advance to the Final Four. So you can go ahead and put a check mark next to the Revenge Factor for the Arizona Wildcats.

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The Arizona Wildcats have been a covering machine when betting ATS. They sport a 23-14 (62%) ATS record this season! ATS Betting on the Wildcats blindly would have netted you a profit without doing any research. Taking a look at the Wildcats opponents in the NCAA Tournament, they have faced the 15^th, 10, and 6^th seeded teams, an average seed of roughly 10 with an average scoring margin of +14. The Badgers have faced the 16^th, 8^th, and 4^th seeded teams, an average seed of roughly 9 with an average scoring margin of of +9.

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The Wildcats are also 21-12 (64%) after a win when betting ATS and have won their last 14 games on the Money Line. Statistically, the Wildcats will have the edge in both offense and defense efficiently. When we take a look at the Common Opponents between these two teams, the Wildcats have an average scoring margin of +25.75 while the Badgers have an average scoring margin of 11.8. Simply put, the Wildcats don’t just beat teams, they crush them. I believe this will be a back and forth game for the majority of it, but I expect the Wildcats to start pulling away with 2-3 minutes left in the game to get the victory!

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NCAA Tournament Elite 8 Free Pick

[513] Arizona Wildcats -115

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