Tuesday, July 28, 2015

2015 Dallas Cowboys Betting Odds & Season Preview

2015 Dallas Cowboys Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes
By: Bankerz Bets (Follow me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)



Season Win Total Odds: 9.5

Odds to win the NFC East: +120

Odds to win the NFC Championship: +875

Odds to win the Super Bowl: +1825

The oddsmakers have set the betting odds on the Dallas Cowboys season win total at 9.5 for the 2015-2016 NFL season. Last season, the Cowboys went over their season win total of 8. They finished 1st in the NFC East and 3rd in the NFC Conference with a 12-4 record, going 4-4 in home games and 8-0 in road games. The offense averaged 6.0 yards per play (3rd) and 28.4 points per game (5th) while the defense allowed an average of 5.8 yards per play (27th) and 22.1 points per game (15th).

NFL sports bettors that bet on the Dallas Cowboys against the spread went 11-7 overall, 3-6 in home games, and 7-1 in road games. As favorites against the spread, the Cardinals went 6-6, and as the underdog they went 5-1. They covered the spread in 61.1% of their games, which ranked 6th in the league. They also had the 25th ranked strength of schedule. Betting on the Total (Over/Under) in Arizona Cardinals games went 9-8-1 overall, 2-6-1 in home games, and 6-2 in road games.

Here is a list of the arrivals and departures made during the offseason:

Arrivals: RB Darren McFadden, FB Jed Collins, DE Greg Hardy, OLB Keith Rivers, ILB Jasper Brinkley, ILB Andrew Gachkar, CB Byron Jones, DE/OLB Randy Gregory, OT Chaz Green, ILB Damien Wilson, and DE Ryan Russell.

Departures: RB DeMarco Murray, OT Jermey Parnell, DE Anthony Spencer, DE George Selvie, DT Henry Melton, OLB Bruce Carter, CB Sterling Moore, CB Corey White, and KR Dwayne Harris.

2014 Season Rankings
Rushing
Offensive Rushing Yards per Play: 3rd (4.6 RYpP)
Defensive Rushing Yards per Play: 15th (4.2 RYpP)
Rushing Yards per Play Differential: 9th (+0.4 RYpP)

Passing
Offensive Passing Yards per Play: 1st (8.4 PYpP)
Defensive Passing Yards per Play: 20th (7.5 PYpP)
Passing Yards per Play Differential: 4th (+0.9 PYpP)

Luck (Points Scored Not By Offensive TD)
Offensive Luck: 6th (3.8 PpG)
Defensive UnLuck: 20th (3.3 PpG)
Luck Differential: 11th (+0.5 PpG)

2015-16 Dallas Cowboys Schedule


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Prediction
Dallas Cowboys UNDER 9.5 (+120) Season Wins
First and foremost, let me preface this with saying that I am NOT a Dallas Cowboys hater. In fact, I do not hate, despise, or bet against any team in any sport just because I do not like the team. On the other hand, I also don’t bet on any team or players that I am personally a fan of. A lot of recreational sports gamblers bet against teams or players just because they despise the team and/or player. However, if you want to be a professional sports gambler that is a BIG no-no. At the end of the day, it’s all about making a profit and getting every edge against the sportsbook you possibly can. The reason I said all of the above is because I understand that the Dallas Cowboys are a very loved, yet very hated team, that is probably the most popular team in the NFL. Looking at last season’s stats, the Cowboys shined in almost every statistical aspect, albeit their defense could have done better. However, they did remain positive in all the differential categories listed above. That is a very hard and rare feat to accomplish and it is a true gauge on each team’s identity and the value they offer. The Cowboys shocked the public after news that Murray would be heading to their divisional rival Philadelphia Eagles. However, when we dig deeper into DeMarco Murray’s past season performances, we see them plagued with costly turnovers. Was Murray’s 2014 season breakout performance just a one-time deal? Obviously the Cowboys front office believes so and I do as well. The offensive line had a lot to do with the success of the running game and I believe the running game will stay intact again for the Cowboys this season. Everything else should remain the same and I think the Cowboys will win the NFC East division. However, I do believe they will incur some regressions after their 12 win season last year and that is why I like them to go under 9.5 wins. My algorithm projects a 9 win season for the Cowboys. One major note that I would like to make is that the Cowboys are the most public bet team in the NFL and they were actually a profitable team against the spread with an 11-7 ATS record. I certainly do not expect that to happen again this season and for their first 8 games of the season, you can probably make a profit betting against them blindly.

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Monday, July 27, 2015

2015 Cleveland Browns Betting Odds & Season Preview

2015 Cleveland Browns Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes
By: Bankerz Bets (Follow me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)


Season Win Total Odds: 6.5

Odds to win the AFC North: +1150

Odds to win the AFC Championship: +6000

Odds to win the Super Bowl: +12500

The oddsmakers have set the betting odds on the Cleveland Browns season win total at 6.5 for the 2015-2016 NFL season. Last season, the Browns went over their season win total of 6.5. They finished 4th in the AFC North and 12th in the AFC Conference with a 7-9 record, going 4-4 in home games and 3-5 in road games. The offense averaged 5.1 yards per play (26th) and 18.7 points per game (27th) while the defense allowed an average of 5.2 yards per play (8th) and 21.1 points per game (9th).

NFL sports bettors that bet on the Cleveland Browns against the spread went 9-5-2 overall, 4-3-1 in home games, and 5-2-1 in road games. As favorites against the spread, the Cardinals went 2-4-1, and as the underdog they went 7-1-1. They covered the spread in 64.3% of their games, which ranked 3rd in the league. They also had the 30th ranked strength of schedule. Betting on the Total (Over/Under) in Arizona Cardinals games went 5-11 overall, 2-6 in home games, and 3-5 in road games.

Here is a list of the arrivals and departures made during the offseason:

Arrivals: QB Josh McCown, WR Dwayne Bowe, WR Brian Hartline, TE Rob Housler, DT Randy Starks, CB Tramon Williams, P Andy Lee, NT Danny Shelton, C Cameron Erving, DE/OLB Nate Orchard, RB Duke Johnson, DE/DT Xavier Cooper, S Ibraheim Campbell, and WR Vince Mayle.

Departures: QB Brian Hoyer, WR Miles Austin, TE Jordan Cameron, NT Ahtyba Rubin, DE/OLB Jabaal Sheard, CB Buster Skrine, and P Spencer Lanning.

2014 Season Rankings
Rushing
Offensive Rushing Yards per Play: 28th (3.6 RYpP)
Defensive Rushing Yards per Play: 28th (4.5 RYpP)
Rushing Yards per Play Differential: 29th (-0.9 RYpP)

Passing
Offensive Passing Yards per Play: 14th (7.3 PYpP)
Defensive Passing Yards per Play: 3rd (6.4 PYpP)
Passing Yards per Play Differential: 5th (+0.9 PYpP)

Luck (Points Scored Not By Offensive TD)
Offensive Luck: 10th (3.7 PpG)
Defensive UnLuck: 2nd (1.9 PpG)
Luck Differential: 1st (+1.8 PpG)

2015-16 Cleveland Browns Schedule



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Prediction
Cleveland Browns UNDER 6.5 (-145) Season Wins
There will be a lot of new things happening, a new NFL season, new uniforms, new faces on different teams, new head coach’s on new teams, new rules in the new season, yet something that won’t be new, is a winning season that will see the Cleveland Browns in the Playoffs. Sorry Cleveland fans, but the Cavs are the only thing you guys have to look forward to in the near future. At least Cleveland fans will have a major sport team to look forward to. Hell, in New Orleans, we only had the Saints for a very long time and they were just as bad if not worst than the Cleveland Browns will be this year, so I can certainly sympathize and feel your pain. Quarterback struggles will continue this season, but the Browns are getting what they asked for by wasting their draft pick on Manziel. Did anyone really think he could ever be a legitimate starting quarterback in the NFL? I certainly didn’t and based on his rare appearances as a starting quarterback, my prediction has been right thus far. This will be a rebuilding season for the Browns (what’s new?) and as bad as the offense will most likely be, the defense will be pretty solid. I will certainly be looking towards betting the under in the 1st half for the Browns games as they only averaged 8.8 points per game (27th) offensively in the first half while only allowing 10.8 points per game (20th) defensively in the first half. The majority of 1st half odds for the over/under are set around 24 and in specific situations, I will be looking to play the under.

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Sunday, July 26, 2015

2015 Cincinnati Bengals Betting Odds & Season Preview

2015 Cincinnti Bengals Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes
By: Bankerz Bets (Follow me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)


Season Win Total Odds: 8.5

Odds to win the AFC North: +235

Odds to win the AFC Championship: +1500

Odds to win the Super Bowl: +3450

The oddsmakers have set the betting odds on the Cincinnati Bengals season win total at 8.5 for the 2015-2016 NFL season. Last season, the Bengals went over their season win total of 9. They finished 2nd in the AFC North and 5th in the AFC Conference with a 10-5-1 record, going 5-2-1 in home games and 5-3 in road games. The offense averaged 5.4 yards per play and 22.1 points per game while the defense allowed an average of 5.5 yards per play and 21.8 points per game.

NFL sports bettors that bet on the Cincinnati Bengals against the spread went 8-8-1 overall, 4-3-1 in home games, and 4-5 in road games. As favorites against the spread, the Cardinals went 2-5-1, and as the underdog they went 6-3. They covered the spread in 50% of their games, which ranked 16th in the league. They also had the 13th ranked strength of schedule. Betting on the Total (Over/Under) in Arizona Cardinals games went 6-11 overall, 5-3 in home games, and 1-8 in road games.

Here is a list of the arrivals and departures made during the offseason:

Arrivals: QB Josh Johnson, WR Denarius Moore, DE Michael Johnson, LB A.J. Hawk,
OT Cedric Ogbuehi, OT Jake Fisher, TE Tyler Kroft, LB Paul Dawson, CB/S Josh Shaw, DE/DT Marcus Hardison, and TE C.J. Uzomah.

Departures: QB Jason Campbell, WR Greg "Mr. Reliable" Little, TE Jermaine Gresham, OT Marshall Newhouse, C Mike Pollak, DE Robert Geathers, CB Terence Newman, and S Taylor Mays.

2014 Season Rankings
Rushing
Offensive Rushing Yards per Play: 10th (4.4 RYpP)
Defensive Rushing Yards per Play: 16th (4.2 RYpP)
Rushing Yards per Play Differential: 11th (+0.2 RYpP)

Passing
Offensive Passing Yards per Play: 18th (7.1 PYpP)
Defensive Passing Yards per Play: 6th (6.6 PYpP)
Passing Yards per Play Differential: 8th (+0.5 PYpP)

Luck (Points Scored Not By Offensive TD)
Offensive Luck: 23rd (2.7 PpG)
Defensive UnLuck: 5th (2.4 PpG)
Luck Differential: 13th (+0.3 PpG)

2015-16 Cincinnati Bengals Schedule




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Prediction
Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 8.5 (+110) Season Wins
Although Andy Dalton isn't the best quarterback in the league, he certainly isn’t the worst. With that being said, he doesn’t have to be the best quarterback with the receiving core that he has. A.J. Green is in the top tier of wide receivers in the league but, he must remain healthy for the Bengals to remain successful. The other wide receivers must also step up to further the success of this team as well. The defensive end will be just as important as the offensive side and may end up being more important than the offensive side. The defense could very well determine how successful this season ends up being. However, I think the defense will end up being the main reason why the Bengals do not go over 8.5 season wins. The Bengals and Steelers will most likely fight for the 2nd place seed in the AFC North division.

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Saturday, July 25, 2015

2015 Buffalo Bills Betting Odds & Season Preview

2015 Buffalo Bills Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes
By: Bankerz Bets (Follow me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)


Season Win Total Odds: 8.5

Odds to win the AFC East: +500

Odds to win the AFC Championship: +2000

Odds to win the Super Bowl: +5300

The oddsmakers have set the betting odds on the Buffalo Bills season win total at 8.5 for the 2015-2016 NFL season. Last season, the Bills went over their season win total of 6.5. They finished 2nd in the AFC East and 10th in the AFC Conference with a 9-7 record, going 5-3 in home games and 4-4 in road games. The offense averaged 5.0 yards per play and 21.4 points per game while the defense allowed an average of 4.9 yards per play and 18.1 points per game.

NFL sports bettors that bet on the Buffalo Bills against the spread went 9-7 overall, 3-4 in home games, and 5-3 in road games. As favorites against the spread, the Cardinals went 3-5, and as the underdog they went 6-2. They covered the spread in 56.2% of their games, which ranked 10th in the league. They also had the 12th ranked strength of schedule. Betting on the Total (Over/Under) in Arizona Cardinals games went 3-13 overall, 1-6 in home games, and 2-6 in road games. 

Here is a list of the arrivals and departures made during the offseason:

Arrivals: QB Matt Cassel, QB Tyrod Taylor, RB LeSean McCoy, FB Jerome Fulton, FB John Conner, WR Percy Harvin, TE Charles Clay, G Richie Incognito, CB Ronald Darby, G John Miller, and RB Karlos Williams.

Departures: RB C.J. Spiller, TE Scott Chandler, TE Lee Smith, OT Chris Hairston, G Erik Pears, ILB Kiko Alonso, ILB Brandon Spikes, and S Da'Norris Searcy.

2014 Season Rankings
Rushing
Offensive Rushing Yards per Play: 26th (3.7 RYpP)
Defensive Rushing Yards per Play: 14th (4.1 RYpP)
Rushing Yards per Play Differential: 27th (-0.4 RYpP)

Passing
Offensive Passing Yards per Play: 28th (6.7 PYpP)
Defensive Passing Yards per Play: 3rd (6.4 PYpP)
Passing Yards per Play Differential: 12th (0.3 PYpP)

Luck (Points Scored Not By Offensive TD)
Offensive Luck: 18th (3.0 PpG)
Defensive UnLuck: 4th (2.3 PpG)
Luck Differential: 9th (+0.7 PpG)

2015-16 Buffalo Bills Schedule



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Prediction
There will be no prediction on the Buffalo Bills season win totals for the 2015-16 season. My algorithm has projected the Buffalo Bills to win exactly 8.5 games, the exact number that the oddsmakers have released. Now, one would think that I like OVER 8.5 games and that is how the oddsmakers have the line shaded at -115. However, I’d much prefer to play UNDER 9 season wins due to injuries that may happen. Also, the Bills have made some big moves in the offseason so the chemistry is an unknown at this point in time. Especially with the acquisition of their new head coach Rex Ryan. Their are too many intangibles to make a decision on how this team will perform. Only time will tell and I hope you can utilize the information I have provided to get a good gauge on how the Bills will perform this upcoming season.

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2015 Carolina Panthers Betting Odds & Season Preview

2015 Carolina Panthers Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes
By: Bankerz Bets (Follow me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)


Season Win Total Odds: 8.5

Odds to win the NFC South: +240

Odds to win the NFC Championship: +1800

Odds to win the Super Bowl: +4200

The oddsmakers have set the betting odds on the Carolina Panthers season win total at 8.5 for the 2015-2016 NFL season. Last season, the Panthers went under their season win total of 8.5. They finished 1st in the NFC South and 8th in the NFC Conference with a 7-8-1 record, going 4-4 in home games and 3-4-1 in road games. The offense averaged 5.2 yards per play and 21.3 points per game while the defense allowed an average of 5.3 yards per play and 23.4 points per game.

NFL sports bettors that bet on the Carolina Panthers against the spread went 9-9 overall, 5-4 in home games, and 4-5 in road games. As favorites against the spread, the Cardinals went 3-3, and as the underdog they went 6-6. They covered the spread in 50% of their games, which ranked 15th in the league. They also had the 14th ranked strength of schedule. Betting on the Total (Over/Under) in Arizona Cardinals games went 10-8 overall, 3-6 in home games, and 7-2 in road games. 

Here is a list of the arrivals and departures made during the offseason:

Arrivals: RB Jordan Todman, WR Jarrett Boykin, ILB Jason Trusnik, CB Charles Tillman, S Kurt Coleman, KR Ted Ginn, LB/S Shaq Thompson, WR/TE Devin Funchess, and OT Daryl Williams.

Departures: RB DeAngelo Williams, OT Byron Bell, C Fernando Velasco, DE Greg Hardy, OLB Chase Blackburn, and S Thomas DeCoud.

2014 Season Rankings
Rushing
Offensive Rushing Yards per Play: 13th (4.3 RYpP)
Defensive Rushing Yards per Play: 27th (4.5 RYpP)
Rushing Yards per Play Differential: 23rd (-0.2 RYpP)

Passing
Offensive Passing Yards per Play: 23rd (7 PYpP)
Defensive Passing Yards per Play: 12th (7 PYpP)
Passing Yards per Play Differential: 15th (0 PYpP)

Luck (Points Scored Not By Offensive TD)
Offensive Luck: 22nd (2.7 PpG)
Defensive UnLuck: 7th (2.5 PpG)
Luck Differential: 14th (-0.2 PpG)

2015-16 Carolina Panthers Schedule


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Prediction
Carolina Panthers UNDER 8.5 (-145) Season Wins
The Carolina Panthers enjoyed the sadness of their division rivalries last season as the Panthers limped into the Playoffs with only a 7 win season. Newton had an awful season statistically and played with nagging injuries, yet their divisional foes still found a way NOT to win. I really don’t have high hopes for this division for the 2015 season. One thing I can say is that despite the horrendous season by Newton, they did still manage to get 7 wins. They haven’t made any major moves in the offseason, however, they should be a healthier team this season. I expect them to get 7 or 8 wins this season with a much better and healthier Cam Newton, but yet and still UNDER the total of 8.5.

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2015 Chicago Bears Betting Odds & Season Preview

2015 Chicago Bears Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes
By: Bankerz Bets (Follow me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)

 
 
Season Win Total Odds: 7

Odds to win the NFC North: +1500

Odds to win the NFC Championship: +3800

Odds to win the Super Bowl: +6000

The oddsmakers have set the betting odds on the Chicago Bears season win total at 7 for the 2015-2016 NFL season. Last season, the Bears went under their season win total of 8.5. They finished 4th in the NFC North and 14th in the NFC Conference with a 5-11 record, going 2-6 in home games and 3-5 in road games. The offense averaged 5.2 yards per play and 19.9 points per game while the defense allowed an average of 6.0 yards per play and 27.6 points per game.

NFL sports bettors that bet on the Chicago Bears against the spread went 7-9 overall, 3-5 in home games, and 4-4 in road games. As favorites against the spread, the Cardinals went 2-2, and as the underdog they went 5-7. They covered the spread in 43.8% of their games, which ranked 24th in the league. They also had the 15th ranked strength of schedule. Betting on the Total (Over/Under) in Arizona Cardinals games went 8-8 overall, 2-6 in home games, and 6-2 in road games. 

Here is a list of the arrivals and departures made during the offseason:

Arrivals: RB Jacquizz Rodgers, WR Eddie Royal, TE Bear Pascoe, G Vlad Ducasse, C Will Montomgery, DE/DT Jarvis Jenkins, DE/OLB Pernell McPhee, DE/OLB Sam Acho, ILB Mason Foster, CB Alan Ball, S Antrel Rolle, WR Kevin White, DT Eddie Goldman, C Hroniss Grasu, RB Jeremy Langford, and S Adrian Amos.

Departures: WR Brandon Marshall, C Roberto Garza, C Brian De La Puente, DE/DT Ray McDonald, DT Stephen Paea, OLB Lance Briggs, ILB D.J. Williams, CB Charles Tillman, S Chris Conte, and S Danny McCray.

2014 Season Rankings
Rushing
Offensive Rushing Yards per Play: 16th (4.1 RYpP)
Defensive Rushing Yards per Play: 22nd (4.3 RYpP)
Rushing Yards per Play Differential: 21st (-0.2 RYpP)

Passing
Offensive Passing Yards per Play: 29th (6.6 PYpP)
Defensive Passing Yards per Play: 30th (8.1 PYpP)
Passing Yards per Play Differential: 31st (-1.5 PYpP)

Luck (Points Scored Not By Offensive TD)
Offensive Luck: 26th (2.5 PpG)
Defensive UnLuck: 29th (3.8 PpG)
Luck Differential: 29th (-1.3 PpG)

2015-16 Chicago Bears Schedule


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Prediction
Chicago Bears UNDER 7 (-140) Season Wins
Despite the fact that I do like some of the off-season moves made by the Chicago Bears, I cannot and will not back a team with Jay “I don’t give a fuck” Cutler as the starting quarterback. Cutler reminds me of the spoiled brat kid in the neighborhood whose parents buy him everything and the also the kids who quits when he is losing and taking his ball home so the other kids can’t play. The Bears will be much better everywhere this season, yet they will still struggle as they deal with the contagious attitude of Cutler. The Bears should have dropped Cutler because his personality will not help the new coaching staff. Bears fans should expect another down season and continue to expect such results with Cutler in the starting role. I look at this season as a rebuilding season and wouldn't be shocked to see 4 or less wins by the Bears.

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Friday, July 24, 2015

2015 Baltimore Ravens Betting Odds & Season Preview

2015 Baltimore Ravens Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes
By: Bankerz Bets (Follow me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)



Season Win Total Odds: 9

Odds to win the AFC North: +168

Odds to win the AFC Championship: +1000

Odds to win the Super Bowl: +2250

The oddsmakers have set the betting odds on the Baltimore Ravens season win total at 9 for the 2015-2016 NFL season. Last season, the Ravens went over their season win total of 8.5. They finished 3rd in the AFC North and 6th in the AFC Conference with a 10-6 record, going 6-2 in home games and 4-4 in road games. The offense averaged 5.7 yards per play and 26.1 points per game while the defense allowed an average of 5.3 yards per play and 19.7 points per game.

NFL sports bettors that bet on the Baltimore Ravens against the spread went 9-8-1 overall, 4-4 in home games, and 5-4-1 in road games. As favorites against the spread, the Cardinals went 5-6-1, and as the underdog they went 4-2. They covered the spread in 52.9% of their games, which ranked 14th in the league. They also had the 18th ranked strength of schedule. Betting on the Total (Over/Under) in Arizona Cardinals games went 8-9-1 overall, 2-6 in home games, and 6-3-1 in road games. 

Here is a list of the arrivals and departures made during the offseason:

Arrivals: QB Matt Schaub, CB Kyle Arrington, S Kendrick Lewis, WR Breshad Perriman, TE Maxx Williams, DT Carl Davis, DE/OLB Za'Darius Smith, RB Buck Allen, and CB Tray Walker.

Departures: QB Tyron Taylor, RB Bernard Pierce, WR Torrey Smith, TE Owen Daniels, C Gino Gradkowski, NT Haloti Ngata, DE/OLB Pernell McPhee, CB Antoine Cason, S Darian Stewart, S Jeromy Miles, and KR Jacoby Jones.

2014 Season Rankings
Rushing
Offensive Rushing Yards per Play: 9th (4.4 RYpP)
Defensive Rushing Yards per Play: 3rd (3.6 RYpP)
Rushing Yards per Play Differential: 2nd (+0.8 RYpP)

Passing
Offensive Passing Yards per Play: 15th (7.2 PYpP)
Defensive Passing Yards per Play: 18th (7.3 PYpP)
Passing Yards per Play Differential: 18th (-0.1 PYpP)

Luck (Points Scored Not By Offensive TD)
Offensive Luck: 21st (2.8 PpG)
Defensive UnLuck: 27th (3.7 PpG)
Luck Differential: 28th (-0.9 PpG)

2015-16 Baltimore Ravens Schedule


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Prediction
Baltimore Ravens UNDER 9 (+115) Season Wins
Because Joe Flacco is coming off his best season, I expect a regression this season. The newly hired Marc Trestman (former Head Coach of the Chicago Bears) will be the offensive coordinator for the Ravens. This acquisition will take some time to adjust to and I think the Ravens will get off to a slow start this season. They lost Torrey Smith along with Jacoby Jones, who I believe played a bigger role than the lack of media attention that he receives. Flacco will struggle to find open targets as they won’t appear as often as they did in the past. This struggle may lead to Flacco spending too much time in the pocket which will convert to more sacks this season. I don’t expect the Ravens the go above or even match the 26.1 points per game that they averaged last season. If the oddsmakers release a Total of 45 or higher, I would strongly suggest to look towards playing the UNDER in the Ravens games. The defense will most likely allow more points per game than last season due to the fact that they will be on the field longer due in part to a struggling offense. However, they were the 6th best defense last season in points allowed so they shouldn’t allow more than 4 more points than last season’s average of 19.7 points allowed per game.

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Thursday, July 23, 2015

2015 Atlanta Falcons Betting Odds & Season Preview

2015 Atlanta Falcons Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes
By: Bankerz Bets (Follow me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)

 

Season Win Total Odds: 8.5

Odds to win the NFC South: +205

Odds to win the NFC Championship: +2000

Odds to win the Super Bowl: +4500

The oddsmakers have set the betting odds on the Atlanta Falcons season win total at 8.5 for the 2015-2016 NFL season. Last season, the Falcons went under their season win total of 8. They finished 3rd in the NFC South and 12th in the NFC Conference with a 6-10 record, going 3-5 in home games and 3-5 in road games. The offense averaged 5.8 yards per play and 23.8 points per game while the defense allowed an average of 6.1 yards per play and 26.1 points per game.

NFL sports bettors that bet on the Atlanta Falcons against the spread went 7-9 overall, 3-4 in home games, and 3-5 in road games. As favorites against the spread, the Cardinals went 2-5, and as the underdog they went 5-4. They covered the spread in 43.8% of their games, which ranked 23rd in the league. They also had the 21st ranked strength of schedule. Betting on the Total (Over/Under) in Arizona Cardinals games went 6-10 overall, 4-3 in home games, and 2-6 in road games. 

Here is a list of the arrivals and departures made during the offseason:

Arrivals: WR Leonard Hankerson, TE Tony Moeaki, TE Jacob Tamme, OT Tyler Polumbus, G Chris Chester, G Mike Person, DE Adrian Clayborn, DE O'Brien Schofield, OLB Brooks Reed, OLB Justin Durant, CB Phillip Adams, DE/OLB Vic Beasley, CB Jalen Collins, RB Tevin Coleman, WR Justin Hardy, and DT Grady Jarrett.

Departures: RB Steven Jackson, RB Jacquizz Rodgers, WR Harry Douglas, TE Bear Pascoe, OT Sam Baker, G Justin Blalock, G Gabe Carimi, DT Corey Peters, OLB Sean Weatherspoon, OLB Prince Shembo, CB Robert McClain, CB Josh Wilson, and S Dwight Lowery.

2014 Season Rankings
Rushing
Offensive Rushing Yards per Play: 20th (4 RYpP)
Defensive Rushing Yards per Play: 18th (4.2 RYpP)
Rushing Yards per Play Differential: 20th (-0.2 RYpP)

Passing
Offensive Passing Yards per Play: 8th (7.5 PYpP)
Defensive Passing Yards per Play: 32nd (8.2 PYpP)
Passing Yards per Play Differential: 27th (-0.7 PYpP)

Luck (Points Scored Not By Offensive TD)
Offensive Luck: 11th (3.5 PpG)
Defensive UnLuck: 30th (4 PpG)
Luck Differential: 24th (-0.5 PpG)

2015-16 Atlanta Falcons Schedule



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Prediction
Atlanta Falcons UNDER 8.5 (-115) Season Wins
The key to the success of the 2015-16 will rely on the defensive side for the Atlanta Falcons. They have made transactions in hopes to secure the defensive adjustments, but in my opinion, I don't think they have. I believe this will be the third year in a row that the Falcons find themselves outside the playoffs. Their running backs have shown glimpses of being very good but are way too inconsistent. Ryan does pretty good but this team needs more than a QB that can throw for over 250yds per game. This division, in general, does not look to be a strong division but my projections have this division being a battle between the Carolina Panthers and the New Orleans Saints. I project the Falcons to have 8 or less wins this season as my algorithm projects a 7 win season.

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