Monday, April 25, 2016

St Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks Monday MLB Betting Preview & Free Pick

MLB Preview: St Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 9:40 PM ET, Monday, April 25, 2016
Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
Lines: Arizona -118/ St Louis +108
Total: 8
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Tonight the National League Central will meet the National League West as the St Louis Cardinals pay a visit to Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks in game one of their four game series. The Cardinals have won the last five games here at Arizona, while the Under is 8-3-2 the last 13 games in the series.

A Look At The St Louis Cardinals
The St Louis Cardinals are off to a nice start after, but prior to Sunday’s game vs the Padres they had lost four of their last seven games. The Cardinals have been a solid team in day games this year, but at night they are just 4-6 so far. In their last game they had won easily at San Diego, taking that game by a score of 11-2. The Cardinals have been a strong offensive team thus far this year, but they did score just seven total runs in their four games prior to putting up an 11 spot at Petco Park. Yadier Molina leads the team in hitting at .344, but has yet to hit a homer. The HR leader on the team is rookie Jeremy Hazelbaker with four, while Matt Carpenter leads them in RBIs with 12, but he is hitting just .226 so far.
The Cardinals come in ranked 2nd in the league in scoring, putting up 6.06 rpg, while also ranking 4th in hitting at .271 and 3rd in homers with 26. On the mound the Cards have been decent as they come in ranked 11th in the league in ERA at 3.63, while also ranking 12th in WHIP at 1.25 and 17th in Ks with 138. Cardinal starters come in with an ERA of 4.24, while their pen has an ERA of 2.37. Taking the hill for St Louis will be Jaime Garcia, who is 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA in three starts this year. Last year he was 10-6 with a 2.43 ERA in 20 starts, including 5-4 with a 3.25 ERA in the road. Garcia is a perfect 5-0 with a 2.51 ERA in five career starts vs the Diamondbacks, including 3-0 with a 1.62 ERA in three starts here at Chase Field.

A Look At The Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks got off to a slow start this year, but they have won six of their previous seven games prior to taking on the Pirates on Sunday. Their recent run has them sitting just a game and a half out of first place in the National League West. This was a team that was expected to challenge for the division title and they are now showing why as they are starting to get the pitching to complement their very solid offense. Jean Segura leads the offense, hitting .346 with three homers and 11 RBIs so far. Paul Goldschmidt needs to wake up some as he is hitting just .246 with three homers and 12 RBIs. Leading the team in homers is Welington Castillo, who has five of them.  
The Diamondbacks come in ranked 8th in the league in scoring, putting up 4.58 rpg, while also ranking 6th in hitting at .262 and 4th in homers with 25. On the mound Arizona comes in ranked 20th in the league in ERA at 4.15, while also ranking 20th in WHIP at 1.37 and 13th in Ks with 140. Arizona starters have an ERA of 4.99, while their pen has an ERA of 3.01. Getting the call for the Diamondbacks will be Zack Greinke, who is off  two solid starts in a row as he has allowed just three ERs on 12 hits in 14 innings of work in a 3-2 no-decision win over the Padres and a 2-1 win over the Giants. Both were on the road, but this one is at home where he has struggled so far, going 0-2 with a 9.90 ERA in two starts. Greinke is now 6-4 with a 4.25 ERA in 12 career starts here at Chase Field and he is 9-4 with a 3.03 ERA in 15 games (13 starts) in his career vs the Cardinals.
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Free Baselball Play
[905] St Louis +108 over Arizona
I like the Cardinals in a small upset here. Jaime Garcia has yet to lose to Arizona in his career, while Greinke has been horrible in his two home starts so far this year. He pitched well in both his road starts, but they were at San Diego and San Francisco, which are not hitters parks like Chase Field is.and he will be taking on one of the best offenses in the league in this one.  Overall both offenses are strong, but still the Cards have a bit more pitching in this one, especially in their pen, which has a 1.,47 ERA on the road, while the D-Backs have a 4.97 pen ERA at home. The Cards are 9-2 their last 11 vs the NL West, while the Diamondbacks are 2-12 their last 14 vs the NL Central and 8-20 their last 28 home games vs a southpaw. Good spot for the Cards to pick up a big road win.  
 
 

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Sunday, April 24, 2016

Cleveland Indians vs Detroit Tigers Sunday MLB Betting Preview & Free Pick

MLB Preview:Cleveland Indians vs Detroit Tigers
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 1:10 PM ET, Sunday April 24, 2016
Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
Lines: Cleveland -165/ Detroit +155
Total: 8.5 (u20)
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A couple of American League Central foes will hook up today as the Cleveland Indians take on the Detroit Tigers in game three of their three game series from Comerica Park in Detroit. The Indians won a pitcher’s duel in game one 2-1 and they have now won four of the last five meetings in this series overall.

A Look At The Cleveland Indians
The Tribe took game one of this series 2-1 behind a solid game from Josh Tomlin, who allowed just the one ER on four hits in 6.2 innings of work. He is now 2-0 on the year. The win got the Indians back to .500 for the year at 7-7, which includes a mark of 4-2 on the road. Francisco Lindor leads the team in hitting at .296, while Mike Napoli and Carlos Santana each have three homers and nine RBIs to lead the team in both categories. Lonnie Chisenhall is finally off the DL, but has just one hit in 11 ABs so far. He will get it going, plus they Tribe are still waiting for Michael Brantley to come off the DL and this offense should be much improved when that happens.
Overall the Indians check in at 16th in the league in scoring putting up 3.93 rpg, while also ranking 22nd in hitting at .234 and 21st in homers with 14. On the mound they have been average as they come in at 18th in ERA at 4.18, 6th in WHIP at 1.19 and 28th in Ks with 114. Indian starters have an ERA of 3.92, while their pen has an ERA of 4.68. Getting the start in this game for the Tribe will be Carlos Carrasco, who is 2-0 with a 2.79 ERA in three starts so far. Last year he was 14-12 with a 3.63 ERA 30 starts, including 9-4 with a 2.49 ERA on the road. He is 4-6 with a 6.29 ERA in 15 games (10 starts) vs the Tigers in his career, including 2-4 with an 8.42 ERA here at Comerica. Carrasco is not much for pitching in daytime as he is 8-13 with a 5.04 ERA in 34 day games (27 starts).  

A Look At The Detroit Tigers
The Detroit Tigers come in having lost four of their five games prior to saturday, but they have to be a little encouraged at the 2-1 loss that Verlander took, in game that he pitched well in. Still he is now just 1-2 with a 5.790 ERA on the year. The pitching has been decent overall for them this year, but still the are led by an offense that ranks 9th in the league in scoring putting up 4.53 rpg, while also ranking 5th in hitting at .264 and 11th in homers with 18. Ian Kinsler is the team’s leading hitter so far at .358, plus he has four homers and 12 RBIs. Jarrod Saltalamacchia leads the team in both homers (five) and RBIs (14). Miguel Cabrera is off to a slow start as he is hitting just .220 with one homer and six RBIs so far.
On the mound they have been decent as they come in at 10th in ERA at 3.59, 25th in WHIP at 1.41 and 29th in Ks with 109. Tiger starters have an ERA of 4.10, while their pen has been very solid, posting an ERA of 2.72. This is a team has not gotten good play from their pen the last few years. The Tigers will send out Shane Greene in this one and he is 1-1 with a 7.84 in his two starts this year. Last year as a starter he was 4-8 with a 6.72 ERA in 16 starts. Green is 1-1 with a 9.00 ERA in two career starts vs the Indians, while in 14 career Day starts he is 5-5 with a 4.42 ERA.   


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Free Baselball Play
[969] Cleveland -165 over Detroit
This is a tough one as Carrasco has bad numbers vs the Tigers, but he has very good numbers on the road overall in his career. Last year he was 9-4 away from home and is 21-15 on the road in his career, compared to just 14-23 at home. Shane Greene has been a bad pitcher overall in his career and he has a 9.00 ERA out the gate. I just can’t back him, so I will look for the Tribe to pick up another big road win here.  
 
 

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Thursday, April 14, 2016

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday MLB Preview & Free Pick

MLB Preview: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 10:10 PM ET, Thursday April 14, 2016
Where: Dodgers Stadium in Los Angeles, California
Lines: Los Angeles -137/ Arizona +127
Total: 7.5 (u20)
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A Look At The Arizona Diamondbacks
The Arizona Diamondbacks are off to a slow 3-5 start to the year, but they do come in off a 4-2 road loss over these Dodgers on Tuesday night. The offense has really been average for this team so far as they come in ranked 14th in hitting at .260, 13th in scoring at 4.62 rpg and 6th in homers with 10. They have scored just 8 total runs in their last 3 games, after scoring 34 runs in their first four games. Jean Segura has had a great start for his new team as he comes in hitting .387 with three homers and five RBIs, while Paul Goldschmidt has three homers as well so far with nine RBIs and his is hitting a decent .267 as well.  
The biggest reason for the slow start has been a pitching staff that comes in ranked 28th in the league in ERA at 6.00 and 28th in WHIP at 1.56. So far their starters have a combined 7.06 ERA, while the pen has a 4.04 ERA so far, so it has been the whole staff that has struggled.

Toeing the rubber for the Diamondbacks will be Robbie Ray, who had a no-decision in his 1st start of the year, which was a 3-2 Arizona win over Chicago. Last year he was 5-12 with a 3.52 ERA in 23 starts for Arizona, including 4-6 with a 2.49 ERA in 12 roads. Ray is 2-2 with a 2.28 ERA in four career starts vs the Dodgers, including 1-1 with a 1.42 ERA in two starts here at Dodgers Stadium.

A Look At The Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers came into this series off a bad four game set with the Giants in which they lost three of the four game, while being outscored 26-17 in the process. and lost three of them. That series followed a three game series vs the Padres in which they outscored them 25-0 in the three games. The staff that allowed zero runs to the Padres, allowed 26 runs in their 4 games vs the Giants. The Dodgers still have some solid numbers overall as they come in ranked 13th in the league in ERA at 3.80 and 2nd in WHIP at 1.04. So do the Dodgers really miss Greinke?
I would say not especially with rookies Ross Stripling and Kenta Maeda in the mix this year, plus of course Clayton Kershaw and new addition Scott Kazmir. Getting the start for the Dodgers will be Ross Stripling, who had a great 1st start of his career last time out as he threw 7.1 innings of no-hit ball before getting pulled and they eventually the Dodgers lost the game. Last year at AA Tulsa he was 3-6 with a 3.88 ERA in 13 starts.Offensively they have been very solid top start the year as they rank 5th in scoring at 6.0 rpg and 5th in hitting at 2.88 ERA.     


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Free Baselball Play
[962] Los Angeles -137 over Arizona
The Dodgers are not playing great baseball after a hot start and they took a loss in game one, but still they are 15-4 their last 19 home games in this series. The Dodgers offense has struggled some of late, but they should get back on track here even though Robbie Ray has had good success on the road and vs the Dodgers in his brief career. I say the Dodgers take this one.
 
 

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Sunday, April 10, 2016

Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks Sunday MLB Preview & Free Pick

MLB Preview:Chicago Cubs vs Diamondbacks
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 4:10 PM ET, Sunday April 10, 2016
Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
Lines: Chicago -180/ Arizona +170
Total: 8 (u15)
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A little National League baseball today between the Chicago Cubs and the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field in Arizona. This is game four of a four game series. The Cubs took game one by a score of 14-6 and Arizona took game two by a score of 4-3. Chicago is 4-1 the last five games in this series.
Last year the Cubs were led mostly by their pitching, and now this year their hitting has caught up. Last year the Cubs ranked 29th in the league in hitting (.244) and they were 15th in runs scored (689), but so far after four games they are tops in the league in scoring (7.75 rpg) and 10th in hitting (.271). If this offense remains for real then the Cubs will be very tough to beat for most of this year. They are a very complete team, but they did lose a part of that offense on Friday when Kyle Schwarber, who had 16 Homers in just 69 games last year, was lost for the season. Still this is a very deep team and they will find away to get around his loss.
The pitching for the Cubs ranked 3rd in the league in ERA last year and 1st in K’s and while they are just 20th in Ks so far, they are also 4th in ERA (2.52) and 1st in WHIP (0.81). Getting the start in this game will be Jake Arrieta, who is off a year in which he won the Cy Young award. He started this year off in fine fashion as he beat the Angels 9-0, allowing just two hits in seven innings of work. Last year he was 22-6 with a 1.77 ERA overall, including 13-1 with a 1.60 ERA on the road. In his career vs the Diamondbacks he has gone 1-1 with a 2.63 ERA in three starts and he is 19-17 with a 3.37 ERA in day games in his career.  
The Arizona Diamondbacks have been picked by many to be a player in the NL West, but that just won’t happen until they get their pitching in order. Arizona was to have help this year on their staff when they brought in Zack Greinke from the Dodgers, but he was hit hard in his first game, allowing seven ERs on nine hits in just four innings of work. That may have been the worst start of his career. As a team the Diamondbacks are now 27th in the league in ERA at 7.00 and 25th in WHIP at 1.56. That is worse than last years rankings of 17th in ERA (4.04) and 21st in WHIP (1.33) They have taken on two very good offensive teams in the early going in the Cubs and Rockies, so we will see if they can get it together vas the season goes on.
For this game the Diamondbacks will send out Shelby Miller, who was 6-17 with a 3.02 ERA in 33 starts for the Braves last year. Including 3-8 with a 3.67 ERA on the road. Despite his bad year, he was still invited to the All-Star game. He had a very strong year ERA wise, but just couldn’t get much run support from his mates. This year in his first start he got 11 runs worth of support as his team beat the Rockies 11-6, but he got a no-decision and didn’t pitch well in the game, allowing six ERs on eight hits in just six innings of work. Miller is 1-2 with a 2.83 ERA in seven games (Six starts) in his career vs the Cubs. The offense has not been a problem for Arizona so far as they come in ranked 10th in scoring at 5.60 rpg and 5th in hitting at .288.   


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Free Baselball Play
[963] Chicago -1.5 (-110) over Arizona
Hard to go against Arrieta, who has just been dominant, especially on the road. The Cubs offense has been very hot so far and will take aim at Miller, who was hit very hard in his debut for the Diamondbacks. With the way the Chicago offense is rolling, the way that Arrieta has pitched on the road, plus the way the Arizona pitching staff is struggling, this is a nice spot to play the road team on the runline. Cubs roll here.  
 
 

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Monday, April 4, 2016

Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Indians Monday Night Baseball Betting Preview & Free Pick

MLB Preview: Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Indians
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 4:10 PM ET, Monday April 4, 2016
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
Lines: Boston -109/ Cleveland -101
Total: 6.5 (u20)
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Will the pitching hold up this year for the Sox? That will be the question this year. They will go only as far as their pitching will take them. They did upgrade it with the addition of David Price, but unfortunately for the Red Sox he can’t pitch every night. They have a few nice arms in Clay Buchholz, Joe Kelly and Eduardo Rodriguez, but they also have Rick Porcello and no depth should any of their starters go down. This team will really be in trouble if Price goes down as he is far and away their best starter. Porcello needs good defense behind him to be successful and he doesn’t have that, plus Buchholz is injury prone and Rodriguez is already on the DL. If only Price could pitch every day. The offense should again be solid for Red Sox and so is the bullpen, especially the backend with Kimbrel and Uehara, so if they don’t make the playoffs it will not be their fault. Getting the start in this one will be David Price, who went a combined 18-5 with a 2.45 ERA for the Tigers and Blue Jays, which includes an 11-2 mark with a 2.05 ERA on the road. He has some nice career numbers vs the Tribe, going 9-2 with a 2.19 ERA overall, including a mark of 4-0 with a 2.15 GAA in six career starts here at Progressive Field. Last year the Red Sox were 6th in the league in hitting (.265). 4th in runs scored (748) and 15th in homers (161). On the mound the numbers were not so good for this team as they were 25th in the league in ERA at 4.31 and 23rd in WHIP at 1.36. Those pitching numbers should improve some with the addition of Price.


The Cleveland Indians are usually the sexzy pick to win the American League Central and every year they disappoint their backers. Could this finally be their year? This is a team that has some nice young talent with Francisco Lindor at SS, Jason Kipnis and 2nd and Tyler Naquin in the OF. They will also patiently away the return of OF Michael Brantley, who will start the year on the DL. That young talent will mix with newcomers like Mike Napoli, Marlon Byrd and Juan Uribe. The pitching staff is led by 2014 CY Young award winner Corey Kluber. His is joined by some solid arms in Carlos Carrasco and Danny Salazar. Last year Tribe starters led the majors in strikeout rate at 24.2%. The Bullpen was not very good last year, but it has been upgraded with the addition of Joba Chamberlain. I do like the makeup of this team this year. Getting the start in this game for Cleveland will be Corey Kluber, who had a rough year after winning the CY Young in 2014. Last year he went just 9-16 with a 3.45 ERA in 32 starts, which includes going just 6-8 with a 2.83 ERA here at Progressive field in 16 starts. He has faced the Red Sox seven times in his career, with six of them being starts and he is just 1-2 with a 4.91 ERA in those appearances. Last year Cleveland was 11th in the league in hitting at .256, 18th in runs scored at 669 and 22nd in homers with 141. On the mound they were 8th in the league in ERA at 3.67 and 4th in WHIP at 1.19. If the offense can come around this year then the Tribe will fight for the division title all year.    
 
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Free Baselball Play
[967] Boston -109 over Cleveland
I like the Tribe this year to be a player in the AL Central this year, but I like the Sox in this game and the reason is that Cleveland still has a couple of questions on offense and David Price has dominated this team in his career, especially here where he has never lost. I also give Boston the edge in the pen as well, especially the backend, plus their offense gets the edge as well. Boston finished last year losing three straight to the Tribe and they have lost their last six here, but that streak will come to an end behind the arm of David Price.
 
 

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Sunday, April 3, 2016

New York Mets vs Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Preview & Free Pick

MLB Preview: New York Mets vs Kansas City Royals
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 8:37 PM ET, Sunday April 3, 2016
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
Lines: NY Mets -120/ Kansas City +110
Total: 7.5 (o15)
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Last the Mets were led by their pitching staff and they will be looking for that staff to help them dominate the NL East this year. That has been carefully put together the last few year and it finally paid off in last year’s amazing run to the World Series. Now this young staff is a year old and has more experience, which will benefit them greatly this year, especially in the postseason. Matt Harvey, Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndergaard and Steven Matz all all capable of posting a shutout every time they take to the mound and having a staff like that can really help take the pressure off a very average offense. That offense was upgraded some last year and it includes Yoenis Cespedes, Travis d’Arnaud, Lucas Duda, Michael Conforto and Curtis Granderson, which is a nice nucleus and then when he is healthy they also have David Wright. Still, this offense will not have to do a whole lot this year, but a more solid offense does make them a more complete team. Getting the start in this game for the Mets is Matt Harvey, who started 26 games last year and went 9-5 with a 2.27 ERA in those games, while on the road he went 5-5 with a 3.42 ERA. He did go 2-0 in four interleague starts last year during the regular season with an 0.68 ERA. In the World Series he started two games vs the Royals and he got a no-decision in both games, while allowing five earned runs in 14 innings of work in the two games. Last year the Mets were 28th in the league in hitting at .244 and they were 17th in runs scored (683), but they had some pop in their bats as they were 8th in homeruns at 177. On the mound they were 4th in ERA (3.43) and 2nd in WHIP (1.18).
The Kansas City Royals are the defending World Series champs and they really had an easy time of it in beating the mets four games to one in the World Series. Now the question is do they have enough to repeat. The Pitching will be solid again and they have added Ian Kennedy to the staff and Joakim Soria to the bullpen. The heart of the Royals is Alex Gordon, who was 4th last year among outfielders in Wins Above Replacement. Re-Signing him was key for the Royals this year. Lorenzo Cain is also back and may be the Royals best overall player. Those two will join Eric Hosmer and Mike Moustakas to give them a solid offensive nucleus that will score plenty of runs like last year. The Bullpen is very good and is even better with the addition of Soria, who could serve as the setup man for Wade Davis, who just may be the game’s best closer. Getting the start in this game will be Edinson Volquez, who made 34 appearances last year, with 33 of them being starts and he was 13-9 with a 3.55 ERA in those games. At Kauffman Stadium he was 8-4 with a 3.48 ERA in 16 starts. He was 3-0 with a 2,.67 ERA in five starts vs the National League last year during the Regular Season and He face the Mets twice in the World Series and he didn’t get a decision in either game, while allowing four runs in 12 innings of work. Last year the Royals were 3rd in the league in hitting at .269, while ranking 7th in runs scored (724) and 24th in homers (139). On the mound they were 10th in ERA at 3.73 and 13th in WHIP (1.28).
 
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Free Baselball Play
[907] New York Mets -120
The Mets took it on the chin last year in the World Series, but I look for them to come out and get a little revenge in this one. They have a clear edge on the mound and their offense should be better than last year’s group and the Royals are not totally healthy as they will be missing Jarrod Dyson (OF) for a couple of more weeks. The Mets have a great shot here at starting off with some revenge and overall I do believe they are the more complete team.
 
 

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