Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Los Angeles Clippers vs Golden State Warriors Wednesday NBA Betting Preview & Free Pick

NBA Preview: Los Angeles Clippers vs Golden State Warriors
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)




When: 10:30 PM ET, Wednesday March 23, 2016
Where: Oracle Arena in Oakland, California
Lines: Golden State -9.5
Total: 225


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The Clippers have had a solid year so far as they are 43-26 overall, including 21-14 on the road, but they are just 1-4 in their last 5 games and are off a bad 109-105  loss at New Orleans. Still this team will be ready once the playoffs begin as they should have Blake Griffin back at that point. They have gone 25-13 without him, but still they are better with him. The team in scoring is Chris Paul, who averages 20.0 ppg and 9.9 apg, which is 4th in the league. JJ Reddick has had a solid season as he has averaged 16.8 ppg hits 48.5% from long range, while and DeAndre Jordan is 2nd in the league in rebounding at 13.9 rpg and chips in with 12.7 ppg. Jamal Crawford (13.6 ppg) and Jeff Green (10.1 ppg) round out the double digit scorers on the team. Overall the Clippers come into this game ranked 6th in the league in scoring, putting up 104.6 ppg,  while also ranking 7th in shooting overall and 6th from long range, but they are weak from the charity stripe where they are 28th. The defensive numbers are solid as they come in ranked 10th in points allowed, giving up just 101.1 ppg, while also ranking 7th defensive FG% and 10th in 3-point defense. On the road this year the Clippers have averaged 104.6 ppg on 46.3% shooting, while allowing 102.8 ppg on 44.9% shooting.


The Golden State Warriors are having another incredible year as they come in at 63-7 overall, including a perfect 32-0 at home. The Warriors are chasing history as they look to best the 1995-96 Bulls team that won 72 games. Golden State has 12 games left and must go 10-2 in those game to do it. It does help that 9 of their last 12 games are at home. The Warriors have 6 players that average at least 7.1 ppg and are led by the best player in the league right now in Steph Curry (Sorry Lebron)., Curry comes in leading the league in scoring at 30.1 ppg, while hitting 45.4% from downtown. Klay Thompson has had another solid season as he averages 22 ppg and hits 42.4% from long range. Draymond Green leads the team in rebounding at 9.6 ppg and is 3rd on the team in scoring at 13.7 ppg, while rounding out the double digit scorers is Harrison Barnes at 11.3 ppg. This is the best offensive team in the league as they come in ranked tops in the league in scoring, putting up 115.3 ppg,  while also ranking 1st in shooting overall and 1st from long range, but they are not great from the charity stripe where they are 18th. The defensive numbers are solid as they come in ranked 21st in points allowed, giving up just 104.2 ppg, while also ranking 3rd defensive FG% and 3rd in 3-point defense. At home the Warriors average 115.9 ppg on 49.1% shooting, while allowing 100.3 ppg on 44.3% shooting.
 
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[723] LA Clippers +9.5 over Golden State
I feel like the Clippers will be able to keep this one close. They are not playing well right now, but the Dog is 4-1 ATS the last 5 in the series and the pressure looks like it could be mounting on the Warriors as they were able to beat Minnesota by just 4 points in their last game in the game before that they were able to score just 79 points vs the Spurs. All three meetings this year have been decided by 7 points or less and I expect this one to as well. The Clippers will put their best effort forward and while they will not win outright I do expect them to keep it close.  
 
 




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Sunday, March 20, 2016

Wisconsin Badgers vs Xavier Musketeers NCAA Tournament Betting Preview & Free Pick

College Basketball Preview: Wisconsin Badgers vs Xavier Musketeers
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)


When: 8:40 PM ET, Saturday March 20, 2016
Where: Scottrade Center in St Louis Missouri
Lines: Xavier -4
Total: 136

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The Wisconsin Badgers are making their 18th consecutive trip to the NCAA Tournament and they did make it to the finals last year, but this is a much different team that that squad. The Badgers knocked of Pitt in a low scoring 47-43 slugfest in their opening round game and they are now 9-5-2 ATS vs Tournament teams this year and they are also 7-1 ATS in the tournament with the line being -5 to +5, but they were also just 5-7 ATS vs non-conference teams this year and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 50 points in their previous game. The Badgers have 5 players that average at least 7.5 ppg and are led by Nigel Hayes, who scores 16.3 ppg. Bronson Koenig is 2nd at 13.1 ppg, while Ethan Happ is 3rd at 12.2 ppg and he leads the team in rebounding at 7.8 rpg. Wisconsin has not been a good  offensive team this year as they come in ranked 279th in the nation in scoring, putting up just 68.2 ppg, while also ranking 248th in shooting overall, 144th in 3-point shooting and 146th at the charity stripe. On defense they have been solid as usual as they come in ranked 19th in the nation in points allowed, giving up just 63.9 ppg, but they are just 136th in defensive FG% overall and 325th in 3-point defense. The Badgers come in at 220th in the nation in rebounding, while they commit just 10.8 turnovers per game (30th) and force just 12.1 turnovers per game (212th).  

The Xavier Musketeers had another solid season and spent much of the year ranked in the top 10 in the polls. Their made it past their first round matchup with Weber State rather easily in the 71-53 win. Xavier is now 21-3 ATS in their last NCAA Tournament games and they are 7-0 ATS their last seven in round two, but they are also just 2-3 ATS in their last five games overall and just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games on Sunday. The X-Men have 7 players that average at least 6.2 ppg and they are led by Trevon Bluiett, who averages 15.3 ppg and hits 39.7% of his shots from long range. Edmond Sumner and James Farr both put in 11 ppg and Farr leads the team in rebounding at 8.0 rpg. Rounding out the double digit scorers is Myles Davis at 10.9 ppg.  Xavier has been a very good offensive team this year as they come in ranked 18th in the nation in scoring, putting up 81.0 ppg, while also ranking 110th in shooting overall, 94th in 3-point shooting and 49th at the charity stripe. On defense they have been decent as they come in ranked 140th in the nation in points allowed, giving up 70.5 ppg, while also ranking 70th in defensive FG% overall and 28th in 3-point defense. The Badgers come in at 11th in the nation in rebounding, while they commit just 12.7 turnovers per game (181st) and force 14.0 turnovers per game (62nd).  


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Free College Basketball Play
[723] Wisconsin +4.5 over Xavier
I like the Badgers in this game, despite some solid ATS numbers by the Musketeers in this tournament. The Badgers play solid defense and they also make you play at their pace, which should frustrate Xavier. They have played decent defense, but nothing like Wisconsin has. The Badgers were one of the hotter teams in the nation down the stretch this year and I feel it will continue here and it will be again that defense that leads them. Wisconsin is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs a team with a winning record, so they do play up to their competition. I look for the outright win by Wisconsin here.  
 
 



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Thursday, March 17, 2016

Seton Hall Pirates vs Gonzaga Bulldogs NCAA Tournament Betting Preview & Free Pick

College Basketball Preview: Seton Hall Pirates vs Gonzaga Bulldogs
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)




When: 9:55 PM ET, Thursday March 17, 2016
Where: Pepsi Center in Denver, Colorado
Lines: Gonzaga -1.5
Total: 145


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The Seton Hall Pirates really surprised many this year as they come in at 25-8 overall and 23-9 ATS. They most likely would have made it to the big dance anyway, but they made sure of it by winning the Big East Tournament Title game over Villanova. The Pirates did go 12-5 SU & ATS in road/ neutral games this year and they were also 10-2 SU and 6-5 ASTS vs non-conference teams this year, plus they have gone 9-2 ATS vs tournament teams. They have had a strong year. The Pirates have just five player that average more than 5.0 ppg and are led by Isaiah Whitehead, who averages 18.4 ppg on the year, while Angel Delgado leads them in rebounding at 9.4 rpg and is 4th on the team in scoring at 10.0 ppg. Rounding out the double digit scorers on the team is  Khadeen Carrington (14.3 ppg) and Desi Rodriguez (12.5 ppg).  Seton Hall has been a decent offensive team as they come in ranked 142nd in scoring, putting up 74.8 ppg, while also ranking 129th in shooting overall and 148th from long range, but they struggle at the stripe where they are 298th. The defense is where this team’s bread is buttered as they come is ranked 76th in points allowed, giving up just 67.8 ppg, while also ranking 33rd in defensive FG% overall and 37th in 3-point defense. The Pirates come in at 23rd in the nation in rebounding, while they commit 13.8 turnovers per game (285th) and force 13.6 turnovers per game (87th).


The Gonzaga Bulldogs have had another solid year, but still they needed to win the WCC tournament in order to gain a berth to their 18th NCAA Tournament in a row. They will try and recapture last year’s magic that saw them go to the Elite 8. The Zags are 26-7 on the year and they went 8-4 SU vs non-conference teams this year, but just 2-8 ATS in those games, plus they were 0-2-1 ATS vs NCAA Tournament teams this year and the Zags have gone just 2-9 ATS their last 11 times they were a favorite in round’s 1-2. Gonzaga has 6 players that average at least 6.5 ppg and they are led by ex-Kansas transfer Kyle Wiltjer, who averages 20.7 ppg and hits 42.4% from distance. 2nd is Domantas Sabonis, who averages 17.4 ppg and leads the team in rebounding at 11.6 rpg. Rounding out the double digit scorers on the team are Eric McClellan (10.6 ppg) and Josh Perkins (10.3 ppg). Gonzaga checks in at 30th in the nation in scoring, putting up 79.7 ppg, while also ranking 12th in shooting overall, 41st from beyond the arc and 13th at the stripe. On defense they come in at 46th in points allowed, giving up just 66.2 ppg, while also ranking 27th in defensive FG% overall and 3rd at defending the arc. The Bulldogs are 36th in the nation in rebounding, while they commit 11.2 turnovers per game (50th) and force just 10.1 turnovers per game (337th).
 


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[748] Seton Hall +1 over Gonzaga
The Pirates have had a very good year and they do not want it to end here. And they have gone 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, plus we note that the Big East champion seeded No. 6 or higher is 20-3 SU in opening-round NCAA tournament games. The Bulldogs have gone just 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games and they are just 3-9 ATS in the NCAA Tournament vs an opponent off a SU win. The Zags haven’t played a tough schedule at all, while the Pirates have been battle tested and just look like the overall better team here. This should be a good game, but in the end I see the better and more determined Seton Hall team coming out on top
 
 




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NBA Free Pick and Betting Odds - Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Thursday March 17 2016 | SportsBetCappers.com

By: Bankerz Bets (Follow Me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)

 NBA Free Pick and Betting Odds - Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Thursday March 17 2016 | SportsBetCappers.com

We have an Southeast divisional matchup this NBA Thursday between the Miami Heat (39-28) and the Charlotte Hornets (37-29). This divisional game will be televised on NBA League Pass at 7:35pm eastern time.


Charlotte Hornets @ Miami Heat Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes
Charlotte Hornets             +4 (-110)         
Miami Heat                        -4 (-110)        

Over/Under:
o210 (-110)
u210 (-110)

The Charlotte Hornets will be on the road to take on their divisional rival Miami Heat. The Hornets are currently 37-29, with a 12-19 record in road games, and a 5-7 divisional record. The Heat are currently 39-28, with a 22-12 record in home games, and a 8-4 divisional record.

The Miami Heat have won 2 of the last 3 meetings, with an average score of 94.3 points per game and an average scoring margin of -1.6. Meanwhile, the Charlotte Hornets have averaged 96 points per game in their last 3 meetings. The Miami Heat have a Miami Heat record against the spread and an 1-2 OVER/UNDER record in the last 3 meetings between these two teams as well.


More recently, the last time these divisional rivals met, the Miami Heat defeated the Charlotte Hornets with a final score of 98-95. The Miami Heat covered the +4 point spread and the game went Under the 194.5 point total. The Miami Heat won the turnover battle with a +4 turnover margin, shooting 45.7% from the field while the Charlotte Hornets shot 44.4% from the field.

Situational Betting Trends
  • In Road games, the Charlotte Hornets are 16-15 against the spread, averaging 100.2 points per game, and allowing 102.6 points per game with a 16-15 Over/Under record
  • As the betting Underdog, the Charlotte Hornets are 17-15 against the spread with a 17-16 Over/Under record
  • Against a Southeast Divisional opponent, the Charlotte Hornets are 5-6 against the spread with a 5-7 Over/Under record
  • In Home games, the Miami Heat are 17-16 against the spread, averaging 101.6 points per game, and allowing 97.7 points per game with a 14-20 Over/Under record
  • As the betting Favorite, the Miami Heat are 22-18 against the spread with a 18-23 Over/Under record
  • Against a Southeast Divisional opponent, the Miami Heat are 8-4 against the spread with a 5-6 Over/Under record


Head to Head Betting Trends
  • The Miami Heat are 12-3 straight up (SU) versus the Charlotte Hornets in their last 15 games
  • The Miami Heat are 10-5 against the spread versus the Charlotte Hornets in their last 15 games
  • 9 of the last 15 games have gone Over the Total

Charlotte Hornets Injury Report
Name

POS
Status
Date
Injury
Returns
Spencer Hawes

F/C
Sidelined
Feb 18
back
Day-to-day
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist

F
Sidelined
Feb 10
shoulder
Out for season

Miami Heat Injury Report
Name

POS
Status
Date
Injury
Returns
Hassan Whiteside

C
Sidelined
Mar 16
foot
Probable for Thursday
Chris Bosh

F/C
Sidelined
Feb 12
calf
Out indefinitely
Tyler Johnson

G
Sidelined
Jan 29
shoulder
Likely out for season

NBA Free Pick Against the Spread
Charlotte Hornets @ Miami Heat - OVER 210

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Thursday, March 10, 2016

Iowa State Cyclones vs Oklahoma Sooners Big 12 Tournament Betting Preview & Free Pick

College Basketball Preview: Iowa State Cyclones vs Oklahoma Sooners
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)




When: 9:30 PM ET, Thursday March 10, 2016
Where: Sprint Center in Kansas City, Missouri
Lines: Oklahoma -4.5
Total: 161


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The Oklahoma Sooners come in at 24-6 overall and they are the 3rd seed in the Big 12 Tournament. This is a team that has spent some time at number one in the country and despite going just 4-3 in their last 7 games they are still number 6. Oklahoma is led by the best player in the nation in Buddy Hield, who averages 25.1 ppg. Hield has hit the 30 point mark 8 times this year and has averaged 24.5 ppg in his two games vs ISU this year. He is also one of the best long range shooters in the nation, hitting 47.3% of his shots from downtown. Isaiah Cousins (13.0 ppg), Jordan Woodard (12.9 ppg) and Ryan Spangler (10.8 ppg) also average in double figures, while no one else scores more than 5.5 ppg. The Sooners are a very good offensive team as they come in ranked 22nd in scoring, putting up 80.9 ppg, while also ranking 85th in shooting overall and 2nd from three-ball land. On defense they are 136th in points allowed, giving up 70.3 ppg, while also ranking 39th in defensive FG% overall and 112th in 3-point defense.   


The Iowa State Cyclones come into this game at 21-10 on the year and they are the 6th seed here in the Big 12 Tournament. The Cyclones have been very mediocre down the stretch asd they are just 6-5 in the last 11 games, but still no matter what happens in this tournament they will be headed to the Big Dance. The Cyclones go about seven deep, with all seven averaging at least 10.0 ppg. Georges Niang is the leader of the offense as he puts in 19.3 ppg, hitting a solid 54.2% of his shots overall, including 37.8% from downtown, while Jameel McKay is the team’s leader in rebounding at 8.9 ppg, while also chipping in with 11.2 ppg. The Cyclones have been a very strong offensive team this year as they come in ranked 15th in the nation in scoring at 82.0 ppg, while also ranking 2nd in shooting overall and 38th from long distance. On defense they struggle as they come in ranked 255th in points allowed, giving up 74.8 ppg, while also ranking 177th in defensive FG% overall and 155th in 3-point defense.     



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[748] Oklahoma -4 over Iowa State
The Cyclones did not play great ball down the stretch, while the Sooners won 4 of their last five games. Oklahoma is the better team here, especially at the defensive end of the floor and it will be that defense that allows them to pull away late for the cover. Buddy Hield should have a big shooting game vs this soft defense, while I look for the Cyclones to struggle shooting the ball vs an Oklahoma team that has allowed just 40.9% shooting in their last 5 games. Oklahoma has allowed just  65.0 ppg in their last five games and just 62.3 ppg in their three neutral site games this year, while the Cyclones have allowed 75.2 ppg in their last five games and 73.2 ppg in their four neutral site games. This one will be close for much of it, but the Sooners will pull away late thanks to their defense.  
 
 




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