Showing posts with label Baylor Bears. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Baylor Bears. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 23, 2016

Kansas Jayhawks vs Baylor Bears Tuesday College Basketball Betting Preview & Free Pick

College Basketball Preview: Kansas Jayhawks vs Baylor Bears
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)


When: 8:00 PM ET, Tuesday, February 23, 2016
Where: Ferrell Center in Waco Texas
Lines: Kansas -2
Total: 149.5
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The Kansas Jayhawks enter this game having won their last seven games and as a result they now own a game and a half lead over West Virginia for the top spot in the Big 12. The Jayhawks are home to have the same success they had vs Baylor the first time in  which they won the game 102-74. A big reason for their seven game win streak has been a defense that has allowed just 63.6 ppg in their last six games. The Jayhawks had some defensive deficiencies earlier in the year, but not any more and they now check in at 97th in the nation in points allowed, giving up just 68.6 ppg and on just 40.2% shooting which is 41st in the land. Perry Ellis leads the offense for the Jayhawks at 16.5 ppg, while also leading them in rebounding at 6.3 rpg, plus he also hits 47.9% from downtown. He is their best player, while also having solid years is Wayne Selden (14.1 ppg) and Frank Mason (13.3 ppg). They are the core of a team that ranks 15th in the nation in scoring (82.7 ppg), 14th in shooting (49%) and 4th in three-point shooting (42.3%).

The Baylor Bears have had a solid year as they come in at 20-7 overall, including 15-3 at home and 9-5 in the Big 12. All three of their home losses this year have come in Big 12 play, while in two of their four Big 12 home wins they have needed OT to get the job done. This has not been a great home team in league play this year, while they are 5-2 on the road, but of those losses was by 28 points at Kansas. The Bears will be looking for revenge in this game, but if they hope to get it then their defense will really need to step up after allowing 104 points in the first meeting. That defense has not been great of late as they have allowed 76.2 ppg (Regulation) in their last five games. That won’t get it done vs this Jayhawk attack. The Bears go about nine deep and are lead by Taurean Prince, who averages 15.1 ppg, which Rico Gathers leads the team in rebounding at 10.0 rpg and is 2nd in scoring at 12.2 ppg. This has been a very solid offensive team that comes in ranked 51st in scoring (78.9 ppg), 32nd in shooting (47.6%) and 71st from long range (37%).    

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Free College Basketball Play
[739] Baylor/ Kansas Over 149.5
The first meeting put up 176 points and with the Way both teams can score, plus the way that Baylor has been playing defense of late, this one should easily been played in the 150s. The Jayhawks have really locked it down on defense of late, but Bayor averages a strong 80.5 ppg at home and should be able to hit the 75 point mark in this one. The Kansas offense has averaged just 70.5 ppg on the road and Baylor has allowed just 66.7 ppg, but Kansas has put up 78.4 ppg in their last five games overall and 73.8 ppg in their last four Big 12 road games and with the way Baylor has struggled of late on defense they should be able to get at least 75 of their own. I expect 155+ points in this one.       
 


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Tuesday, February 16, 2016

Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears College Basketball Betting Preview & Free Pick

College Basketball Preview: Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
When: 9:00 PM ET, Tuesday, February 16, 2016
Where:  Ferrell Center in Waco, Texas
Lines: Baylor -4
Total: 158
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The Iowa State Cyclones come into this game at 18-7 overall and 7-5 in the Big 12, which has them tied for 4th in the league with both Baylor and Texas. They do come in struggling a bit as they have lost three of their last five games and one of their conference losses this year was 94-89 loss at home vs Baylor. The Cyclones are just 3-4 in Big 12 road play and their last Big 12 road game was a loss to a mediocre Texas Tech squad in OT. The Cyclones go about seven deep, but all seven average at least 9.6 ppg. Georges Niang is the leader of the offense as he puts in 19.2 ppg, hitting a solid 52.2% of his shots overall, including 38.87% from downtown.  Matt Thomas (43.8%) and Deonte Burton (44.4%) are also deadly from beyond the arc. The Cyclones have been a very strong offensive team this year as they come in ranked 18th in the nation in scoring at 82.3 ppg, while hitting 52% of their shots overall (3rd) and 37.8% of their shots from long range (45th). The defense is another matter, but when teams play as fast as they do, they tend to give up a lot of points. ISU ranks 231st in the nation in scoring defense (73.8 ppg) and 170th in defensive FG% (43.3%).
The Baylor Bears are also 18-7 on the year and 7-5 in the Big 12. They come in having lost three of their last four games, which includes a bad 84-66 home loss to Texas Tech in their last game. The Bears were 10 point favorites in that game. That was actually their 3rd big 12 home loss in a row as they were also beaten here by Texas and Oklahoma in their previous two Big 12 home games. The Bears are 4-4 SU in their last eight games, but just 1-6-1 ATS in those games. This is not a team that is playing great ball at the moment. The Bears have eight players that average at least 4.5 ppg and four players that score in double figures. They are led by Taurean Prince, who averages 15.1 ppg, while Rico Gathers is 2nd on the team in scoring at 12.4 ppg and first in rebounding at 10.2 ppg. Baylor has a couple of sharp shooters from long range in Prince (37.1%) and Al Freeman (41%). This has been a solid offensive team this year as they come in ranked 66th in scoring 978.1 ppg), 53rd in shooting overall (46.8%) and 88th from beyond the arc (36.8%). They have been a decent team on defense, allowing just 68.9 ppg (110th), but on 44.3% shooting overall (231st) and 36.5% from long range (288th).    




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Free College Basketball Play
[549] Iowa State +4 over Baylor
I will go with the Cyclones in this game as they look for revenge for that earlier loss at home to the Bears. Baylor does allow fewer points than Iowa State, but they struggle at defending the three-ball and I feel that will be their downfall here. The Bears are just 1-6-1 ATS their last eight games overall and they have lost their last three big 12 games at home, so they can be beaten here. Iowa State has the offensive edge and they have just a home game vs TCU on deck, while Baylor has a revenge road game vs Texas on deck. I feel that the Cyclones can and will win this game outright.      
 

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Thursday, November 12, 2015

Oklahoma Sooners vs Baylor Bears College Football Preview & Free Pick

CFB Preview: Oklahoma Sooners vs Baylor Bears
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
When: 8:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 14, 2015
Where: McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas
Televised: ABC
Odds:  The game opened up with Baylor as 7 point favorites and and heavy money has come in on the Sooners as the Bears are now just 2.5 point favorites. The OU line currently sits at 77.5.




The Oklahoma Sooners come in at 8-1 on the year and they have shaken off their loss to Texas to win their last four games by an average of 45.5 ppg. This is a tough stretch of games for them as they have a home date vs TCU and a road game vs Oklahoma State still on deck, so if they win out their should be no reason at all for them to be left out of the college football playoffs. This is a very talented team that comes in very strong on both sides of the ball. QB Baker Mayfield leads an offense that comes in ranked 6th in the nation in total yards (549.3 ypg) and 3rd in scoring at 46.3 ppg. On defense they have been very good as well as they rank 21st in yards allowed and 16th in points allowed, giving up just 18.1 ppg.  
The Baylor Bears come in having won all 8 of their games thus far and they don’t have all that easy of a rad left as they have road games vs Oklahoma State and Texas Tech, plus a home game vs Texas on deck. Now making it harder for them is the fact that they are now without QB Seth Russell for the rest of the year. Jarrett Stidham has played well for the Bears this year, but still in his lone start the bears were only good for 31 points, which is far below their average for the year and it it their lowest scoring output of the year. That may not get it done for the Bears who are not really a strong defensive squad, as they allow 25 ppg, which is 58th in the nation.



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Free College Football Pick
[187] Oklahoma +2.5 over Baylor
I know I lost some value, but I will follow the money here and back the Sooners. They are by far the most complete team in the Big 12 and that makes them the most complete team in the this game as well. Baylor still has a strong offense but I don’t feel they can score enough vs this tough Oklahoma defense to offset the fact that Oklahoma should have a field day vs the Baylor defense that isn’t all that strong. The Sooners have averaged 58 ppg their last four games and it will be their offense vs teh Baylor defense that will be the difference in this game.   
 

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Thursday, November 5, 2015

Baylor Bears vs Kansas State Wildcats College Football Betting Preview & Prediction

Baylor Bears (7-0 SU, 4-2-0 ATS, 5-2-0 OU) vs Kansas State Wildcats (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS, 4-3-0 OU)
When: 7:30 PM ET, Thursday, November 5, 2015
Where: Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium in Manhattan, Kansas
Lines: Baylor -17
Total: 67.5


The first playoff poll came out this week and once again Baylor is on the outside looking in, even though they are undefeated and Notre Dame and Alabama both have one loss. Still that isn't the worst thing that has happened to Baylor this week as they have now lost QB Seth Russell for the season. Jarrett Stidham will step in and he has looked great in mop up duties, but now he will be getting his first start on the year, in Manhattan and vs a HOF coach. That is not a good combination. Last week Baylor did struggle some on offense once Russell was out of there and they were able to put up just 45 points in the game, which is the first time all year that they have failed to score at least 56 points in a game. Stidham will have the advantage of having a few extra days to prepare for this game. Baylor hasn't played that tough a schedule yet, but after this one it gets brutal as they have a home game vs Oklahoma and BB road games vs Oklahoma State and TCU on deck, before closing out at home vs Texas. If they get through that gauntlet of games with a backup QB then you can bet they will jump over both Notre Dame and Alabama.
Kansas State has not had a good season so far as they are 3-4 on the year and have been outscored 78-9 in their last 2 games. They are 0-4 in the Big 12, but the rest of their schedule is rather manageable. Prior to their last two games they did play very well in their losses, losing by just 2 points at Oklahoma State and by just 7 points at home to TCU. Their offense was also very good, putting up 79 points in the two games, unfortunately they allowed 88 points in the two games as well. Kansas has struggled on both sides of the ball this year as they are 121st in total offense and 84th in total defense, but still this is the kind of game they can very well get up for and may also catch a Baylor team that just may be looking ahead to their gauntlet.   



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Pick: Under 67.5

Ok having said all that I will look at the Under in his game. The Baylor offense will be much more run oriented this week and Kansas State has a solid run defense that ranks 47th in the land and they allow just 4.1 ypc on the year so far. That should chew some clock. For Kansas State, they have scored just 9 points total in their last two games and that should negate the fact that Baylor's defense has been average at best this year. Kansas State will look to shorten the game the game with their rushing attack. I also look for Baylor to slow the game down some should they get out to a big lead. They have a massive three games coming up and they know they won't have to score a ton here to get the win. I see around 60 points at best here.




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Wednesday, October 21, 2015

Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears College Football Preview & Free Pick

The Iowa State are off a 45-21 loss at home to TCU, which now puts them at 2-4 on the year, while the Baylor Bears come in at 6-0 off their runaway win over West Virginia and have now been inserted as the number one team in the ESPN power rankings. Written by David Hess Follow Me on Twitter @DavidHess311
Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes
Iowa State              +37
Baylor                     -37

Over/ Under:           79.5
    


You have to feel sorry for the Iowa State Cyclones moving forward. Yes they have two wins so far, but they may not get another one the rest of the year. After taking on highly ranked TCU last week, they must now take on the powerful Baylor Bears. Following the Bears it is a home game vs Texas, a trip to Oklahoma, home vs Oklahoma State and then trips to Kansas State and West Virginia to close out the year. Ouch. That would be a tough schedule for a team with talent to handle.  
The Cyclones do have a win in the Big 12, but that was vs lowly Kansas, who will not get a win this year. I this game they will take on a Baylor team that is ranked 2nd in the nation and they really don’t stand a chance of winning this one, especially after allowing 66 points and 45 points the last two games to Texas Tech and TCU. The Cyclones rank 49th in total offense and 81st is scoring (26.8 ppg), while on defense they rank 112th in yards allowed and 96th in points allowed (32 ppg).
The Baylor Bears come in at 6-0 on the year and ESPN has just put them atop their power rankings, while Baylor also ranks 2nd in the national polls. This is a dangerous team that is playing very well right now. Not only are the Bears unblemished this year, but they have beaten their opponents by an average of 39 ppg, while outgaining them by 338 ypg. This has truly been a dominant team this year.
The Bears are led by an incredible offense that has racked up 719.7 ypg and they are a very balanced offensive team, putting up 371 ypg through the air and 348.7 ypg on the ground. There is just no way to stop this team or even hope to contain them. Seth Russell has taken over nicely a QB, completing 63.2% of his passes for 1907 yards with 27 TDs and just 5 INTs. Put any at QB in the Baylor system and they will be successful.   
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Free College Football Pick
[370] Baylor -37 over Iowa State
The Bears are playing for a spot in the playoffs at the end of the year and they need to keep winning big. They have already beaten teams by an average of 39 ppg this year and They should be able to cover this one as well. Two years ago Baylor beat the Cyclones here by a score of 71-7 and this team is better than that group. Iowa State can score some ;points, but they just won’t come up with nearly enough stops to keep the Bears from routing them. Baylor may win this one by 50.






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