College Basketball Preview: Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
When: 9:00 PM ET, Tuesday, February 16, 2016
Where: Ferrell Center in Waco, Texas
Lines: Baylor -4
Total: 158
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The Iowa State Cyclones come into this game at 18-7 overall and 7-5 in the Big 12, which has them tied for 4th in the league with both Baylor and Texas. They do come in struggling a bit as they have lost three of their last five games and one of their conference losses this year was 94-89 loss at home vs Baylor. The Cyclones are just 3-4 in Big 12 road play and their last Big 12 road game was a loss to a mediocre Texas Tech squad in OT. The Cyclones go about seven deep, but all seven average at least 9.6 ppg. Georges Niang is the leader of the offense as he puts in 19.2 ppg, hitting a solid 52.2% of his shots overall, including 38.87% from downtown. Matt Thomas (43.8%) and Deonte Burton (44.4%) are also deadly from beyond the arc. The Cyclones have been a very strong offensive team this year as they come in ranked 18th in the nation in scoring at 82.3 ppg, while hitting 52% of their shots overall (3rd) and 37.8% of their shots from long range (45th). The defense is another matter, but when teams play as fast as they do, they tend to give up a lot of points. ISU ranks 231st in the nation in scoring defense (73.8 ppg) and 170th in defensive FG% (43.3%).
The Baylor Bears are also 18-7 on the year and 7-5 in the Big 12. They come in having lost three of their last four games, which includes a bad 84-66 home loss to Texas Tech in their last game. The Bears were 10 point favorites in that game. That was actually their 3rd big 12 home loss in a row as they were also beaten here by Texas and Oklahoma in their previous two Big 12 home games. The Bears are 4-4 SU in their last eight games, but just 1-6-1 ATS in those games. This is not a team that is playing great ball at the moment. The Bears have eight players that average at least 4.5 ppg and four players that score in double figures. They are led by Taurean Prince, who averages 15.1 ppg, while Rico Gathers is 2nd on the team in scoring at 12.4 ppg and first in rebounding at 10.2 ppg. Baylor has a couple of sharp shooters from long range in Prince (37.1%) and Al Freeman (41%). This has been a solid offensive team this year as they come in ranked 66th in scoring 978.1 ppg), 53rd in shooting overall (46.8%) and 88th from beyond the arc (36.8%). They have been a decent team on defense, allowing just 68.9 ppg (110th), but on 44.3% shooting overall (231st) and 36.5% from long range (288th).
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[549] Iowa State +4 over Baylor
I will go with the Cyclones in this game as they look for revenge for that earlier loss at home to the Bears. Baylor does allow fewer points than Iowa State, but they struggle at defending the three-ball and I feel that will be their downfall here. The Bears are just 1-6-1 ATS their last eight games overall and they have lost their last three big 12 games at home, so they can be beaten here. Iowa State has the offensive edge and they have just a home game vs TCU on deck, while Baylor has a revenge road game vs Texas on deck. I feel that the Cyclones can and will win this game outright.
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