NFL Best & Worst ATS & Best Over/ Under Teams
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
Football is almost here and I thought it would be a good time to recap some spread stats from last year. In this blog we will take a look at the Top 5 and Worst 5 NFL teams against the spread from last year, and also will look at the top over and top under teams from last year.
Oddly enough the top 3 teams ATS last year were all in the NFC West as the Seattle Seahawks, Arizona Cardinals and the San Francisco 49ers all had 11-5 ATS marks last year. Very odd that the top three teams were from the same division. One this s that I wouldn't expect to see San Francisco on this list this year.
Checking in at number 4 are both the Denver Broncos and the Cincinnati Bengals. I'm not sure the Broncos will be on this list this as they are a bit down, but Cincinnati could be a surprise team this year and just might land on it again.
Let's start the bottom 5 with a three way tie between Tampa Bay, Detroit and Cleveland, who were all 6-10 ATS. I really can't see Detroit being near the bottom again and Tampa may be a bit more competitive, which should allow them to cover some more spreads, but Cleveland is bad, especially on offense and I just can't see them see them scoring enough points to cover many of the spreads that they will be big dogs in.
At 29th is Jacksonville, who was 5-10-1 ATS and while they are improved, they should have a rough year ATS again. At 30th is Washington, who went 5-11 ATS, while Chicago was next at 4-11-1 and bringing up the rear was Houston at 4-12 ATS. Chicago and Washington could end up on this list again, but I don't see Houston being here again as they are an improved team that should be able to cover more spreads.
On to Totals where the top Over teams in the league were Chicago and Minnesota, who were both 12-4 to the over last year. Minnesota will be good on offense, but their defense could be one of the best, so I don't expect them to be in the top 5 here. Chicago will be improved on offense and still bad on defense and they should again be on this list.
At number 3 is Denver, who was 11-5 to the Over last year, but their offense is down this year and their play calling will be a bit more conservative, so I wouldn't look for them to be in a ton of high scoring games this year. At number 4 was Cincinnati, who went 10-5-1 to the Over, while at number 5 was Buffalo, at 10-6 to the Over. Both should have solid defenses, so I'm not sure they will be on this list this year.
The best Under team was Carolina at 5-11 to the Under and I have a feeling they will be on this list again as their offense is still week, while their defense is solid again. Next is Seattle at 6-10-0 to the Under. Not sure here as they are improved on offense, while their defense could be down a tick with the loss of DC Dan Quinn.
New Orleans was also at 6-10 to the Under last year, but I don't expect that again as their offense will be explosive, while their defense will still struggle. Next is both San Diego and Kansas City, who were at 7-9 to the Under a year ago and with both teams style of play I can see them as under teams once again.
There you have it. The best and worst teams against the spread, along with the best Over and Under teams as well. Soon the games will begin and I for one just cannot wait.
Join Our 2015
Pro Football Super Contest. It's FREE and the winner has a shot at
being the next Expert Handicapper here at SportsBetCappers. Do you have
what it takes to win it? CLICK HERE to
Sign Up.
SportsBetCappers.com - Sports
Picks Forums, The Best Sports Expert Sports Picks, Sports Blogs, Sports Odds,
Free Picks, and much more!
