Monday, August 24, 2015

Monday Night Baseball Houston Astros at New York Yankees Odds & Pick


MLB Preview: Houston Astros vs New York Yankees

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)



When: 7:05 PM ET, Monday, August 24, 2015
Where: Yankee Stadium In the Bronx, New York
Televised: MLB Network

Odds: The line for this game opened with Pittsburgh as a favorite of -132 and has been bet up slightly to -142, with buy back on the Astros being at +132. The OU Line opened at 8.5 and has been bet down to 8 with juice on the over (-120).

The pitching matchup for this game has Scott Feldman squaring off against Nathan Eovaldi.

Feldman spent some time on the DL this year and only has 16 starts for Houston. He has been very average in those starts, going 5-5 with a 4.05 ERA. He has pitched much better on the road than at home this year as he is 3-1 with a 2.78 ERA in 7 road starts, compared to going just 2-4 with a 5.16 ERA at home. He has pitched decently n 5 career starts in this park, but is still just 2-3 in those starts.

Nathan Eovaldi has one of the best records in baseball at 13-2, but he also has a high 4.24 ERA in his 24 starts this year. That’s rather odd to see such a strong record with a weak ERA. At home he is 5-0 with a better 3.46 ERA. He has 2 career starts vs the Astros and is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in those starts. He faced them once this year and won that game 3-2, allowing just 2 ERs in 6 innings.
Offensively the Astros hit righties much better, especially on he road where they hit them at .240, compared to hitting lefties at just .218 away from home. Houston has averaged a solid 4.17 rpg on the road, while their road ERA is 3.74.
The Yanks have been a solid offensives squad at home, where they have averaged 5.08 rpg, while hitting .265, compared to hitting lefties at a .249 clip at home. Their home ERA this year is 3.65.
The pitching matchup in this game is screaming for an Under play and I will oblige. Nathan Eovaldi has pitched very well of late, as he has allowed 3 ERs or less in 10 of his last 11 starts and Houston can't score right now as they have put up 3 runs or less in 6 straight games. This offense is starting to bog down. The Yanks have scored 5.08 rpg at home, but Feldman has been tough on the road with a 2.78 ERA and the Yanks have hit just .203 off of Houston itching this year. I expect a pitcher's duel in this one.    


  

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