Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals Betting Odds & Free Pick

MLB Preview: Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 2:10 PM ET, Thursday, August 27, 2015
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri.
Televised: MLB Network

Odds: The Line opened up at Kansas City -140, but has been bet down slightly to Kansas City -135. The OU Line currently stands at 8, with juice to the Over (-115).

The pitching matchup for this game pits Chris Tillman of the Orioles vs Yordano Ventura of the Royals.

The last few years Chris Tillman has outpitched his advanced metrics, but this year it seems to have caught up to him. He is 9-8 on the year, but with a high 4.51 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. He has pitched better of late as he is 2-1 with a 3.65 ERA in his last 4 starts. On the road this year he has gone 4-2 with a 5.05 ERA. Chris does not have good numbers vs the Royals in his career as he is just 2-2 with a 6.21 ERA in 5 starts vs them.  

Yordano Ventura also has a winning record at 8-7, but just like Tillman he has a high ERA, which currently stands at 4.64. He comes at 3-0 with a 4.05 ERA in his last 5 starts, so he is pitching a bit better. At home this year he has gone 5-4 with a 4.23 ERA. In 2 career starts vs the Orioles he is 1-1 with a 1.26 ERA.

Important Stats: On the road this year the Orioles have hit .241 overall and .238 vs righties, while scoring 3.9 rpg. Their pitching has not been great away from home, with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. The Royals have hit a solid .273 at home, including .279 vs righties, while putting up 4.58 rpg. Their ERA has been solid at home at 3.28, with a WHIP of 1.20.

Chris Tillman’s numbers are starting to catch up with him as he has not been good at all this year as he has a 4.51 ERA overall, including a 5.05 ERA on the road, despite the fact that he is 4-2 on the road this year. Oh yeah he also has a 7.31 ERA in 7 day starts this year5 and those games have averaged 11.43 rpg. Ventura has pitched well since being called back up, but still has a 4.23 ERA overall and a 4.61 ERA in day starts. His 9 day starts this year have averaged 9.11 rpg. The Royals offense has been strong, especially at home, while the O’s offense woke up last night and I expect more of the same from them in this one.

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