Saturday, August 29, 2015

MLB Baseball Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets Preview & Free Pick

MLB Preview: Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)


When: 1:10 PM ET, Sunday, August 30, 2015
Where: Citi Field in New York
Televised: TBS

Odds: The Line opened up at New York as a favorite of -180 and has been bet down slightly to -175. The OU line currently stands at 7.5 with juice on the under (-120)

The pitching matchup for this game has Wade Miley of the Red Sox taking on Noah Syndergaard of the Mets.

Wade Miley has not been great in his first year in Boston as he has gone 10-10 with a 4.51 ERA overall for the year and he is coming off a bad outing vs the White Sox, in which he allowed 5 ERs on 13 hits in 6.2 innings. That start was on the road and he is now 4-6 with a 4.56 ERA away from home. Wade has just 3 career starts vs the Mets and he is 0-1 with a 3.71 ERA in those starts.

Noah Syndergaard has turned into one of the better starters on this New York staff and comes into this game with an 8-6 record and a 3.19 ERA overall. At home he has been exceptional, going 7-1 with a 1.82 ERA and that compares to going 1-5 with a 4.91 ERA on the road and h is 3-0 with a 1.78 ERA in 4 day starts. He has not faced the Red Sox in his career.

Important Stats: On the road this year the Red Sox have hit just .234 overall, including .229 vs righties, while scoring 3.76 rpg. Their pitching has not been god on the road at all, where they have a 4.60 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP. The Mets at home have hit .232 overall, but they have struggled vs lefties, hitting just .215 off of them at home. They have scored 4.09 rpg at home. Their pitch has been very good at Citi Field, where they have a 2.99 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP.  

The Mets have been involved in many high scoring games of late, but that came to an end Saturday afternoon when they lost to Boston 3-1. I expect another low scoring game here. Wade Miley has not been good on the road this year, but vs the Mets he doesn’t really have to be great as they have hit just .219 vs southpaws at home. The Sox have hit righties at just .229 on the road and they wil face a very tough on in Noah Syndergaard, who is 7-1 with a 1.82 ERA at home. His home starts have gone 7-2 to the Under with just 6.67 rpg being scored. Both offenses will struggle to score in this one.

Take the Under 7.5 here.

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