NFL Thursday Night Football Free Pick

Indianapolis Colts (2-2) @ Houston Texans (1-3) 8:25 PM Eastern

By: Charles Beckham

The Line: 

Open: PK

Currently: Houston -4

Total:
Open: 45
Currently: Over/Under 41
Injury Updates:
Andrew Luck (Out), Vontae Davis (Q), Mike Adams (Q)
Nate Washington (Out), Cecil Shorts (Out), Jonathan Grimes (Out), Whitney Mercilus (Q)
The Houston Texans will take on the Indianapolis Colts at NRG Stadium in Houston to kick off week 5 of the NFL Season. The Texans have really struggled this season on the offensive side of the football ranking 24th in points scored per game at 19.2 and 21st in rushing yards at just over 99. The Colts have been equally as bad tied for 26th in points scored at 18 and 26th in rushing yards at 87.5. The Texans should boast one of the better defenses in the league and I think tonight they show that as Andrew Luck has been ruled out for tonight. Matt Hasselbeck will be taking his place, but he was in the hospital late Tuesday night. This does not bode well for the quarterback who already has one of the worst offensive lines in the league. The Under is 9-2 in the Colts last 11 games and is 7-2 in the las 9 games of the series. The Texans are looking to get their first win against the Colts in their last 5 tries. I think this game stays way Under the 41 posted, so do many sharps as the line has moved from 45 to 41. Buy the Half point to 41.5 at -120.

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Free NFL Pick: [302] Indianapolis Colts/Houston Texans Under 41.5 -120 2 Units

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans Thursday Night Football Preview & Pick

NFL Preview: Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 8:30 PM ET, Thursday, October 8, 2015

Where: NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas

Televised: CBS/ NFL Network

Odds: The Game opened as a Pick and we now see Houston as a 2.5 point favorite. The OU Line currently sits at 44.5, after opening up at 45.

      

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The Indianapolis Colts got off to an 1-2 start and were without Andrew Luck for their last game, but luckily it was vs the Jaguars. Still the Colts didn’t play well in that game and needed OT to win it by a 16-13 score. Luk did make the trip to Houston and he is listed as probable for this one. Still when he has played this year he hasn’t been effective at all as he has hit just 56% of his passes for 753 yards, throwing 5 TDs and 7 INTs so far. His QBR on the season is just 65.1. Those are not Luck like numbers at all and a big reason why the Colts are just 26th in the league in scoring, putting up just 18 ppg.  Another reason is a ground attack that ranks 26t in the league, putting up just 85.5 ypg on the ground. The defense has also struggled some as they have allowed 387.5 ypg, which is 26th in the league and 23.2 ppg, which is 16th. The Colts were picked by some o reach the Super Bowl, but they do not look like an elite team right now.

The Houston Texans have also not played well in the early going and just like the Colts, it has been their offense that has really let them down. Houston is 1-3 on the year and while they have put up 3842 ypg on the year, they have only scored just 19.2 They just bog down when they get to the redzone, plus have had many untimely Penalties and turnovers. Ryan Mallet is the QB and has some bad overall numbers, just like Luck does. So far Ryan has hit just 51.8% of his passes for 720 yards. He has 3 TDs and 3 INTs and his QBR is just 65.3 on the year so far. Looks like Hoyer mat take over at QB after throwing for 232 yards with 2 TDs and zero INTs in relief of Mallet last week.Defensively they have played decent in allowing just 344 ypg overall and 228.8 ypg through the air, but still tey have allowed 27 ppg, which is 26th in the league. That is due to the offense putting the defense in bad positions. Last week the Falcons return 2 fumbles back for TDs vs the Texans. Turnovers have been a problem for his team.   

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[302] Houston -2 over Indianapolis

Going with the Texans at home here as Indy just hasn’t played as expected this year and Luck may still not be at 100%. Even at 100% he wasn’t that good this year as his OL has struggled to protect him and the running game has been non-existent. Houston hasn’t had many problems moving the ball and I feel that the switch to Hoyer will help this offense put the ball in the endzone, would a switch be made. The Texas are also better on defense and the home team is 7-2-1 the last 10 in the series. Look for the Texans to get a big 2win in this one.

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Houston Texans vs Carolina Panthers Odds - Sunday September 20 2015 | SportsBetCappers.com

Houston Texans vs Carolina Panthers Odds - Sunday September 20 2015 | SportsBetCappers.com

By: Bankerz Bets (Follow Me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)

The Houston Texans will be on the road to face the Carolina Panthers on NFL Sunday and televised on CBS at 1:00pm eastern time.

Houston Texans @ Carolina Panthers Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes

Houston Texans              +3 (+100)         

Carolina Panthers             -3 (-120)        

Over/Under:

o40 (-110)

u40 (-110)

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The Texans average 5.4 (18th) yards per play while allowing 4.9 (12th) yards per play defensively. Their 3rd down conversion rate is 21.43% and they rank 7th in first downs. They also average 20 (19th) points per game. From a betting perspective, they are 0-1 against the spread overall and 0-0 (5-2-1 last year) against the spread in road games. When betting on the Total in the Texans games, they have a 1-0 Over/Under record overall and a 0-0 (4-4 last year) OVER/Under record in road games.

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The Panthers average 3.9 (30th) yards per play while allowing 4.0 (4th) yards per play defensively. Their 3rd down conversion rate is 47.06% and they rank 24th in first downs. They also averaged 20 (19th) points per game. From a betting perspective, they are 1-0 against the spread overall and 0-0 (5-4 last year) against the spread in home games. When betting on the Total in the Panthers games, they have a 0-1 Over/Under record overall and a 0-0 (3-6 last year) OVER/Under record in home games.

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[261] Houston Texans +3 (+100)

Carolina Panthers @ Houston Texans - OVER 40 (-110)

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans Free Pick and Betting Odds

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans Free Pick and Betting Odds

By: Bankerz Bets (Follow me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)

The Kansas City Chiefs will be on the road to face the Houston Texans on NFL Sunday and televised on CBS at 1:00pm eastern time.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Houston Texans Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes

Kansas City Chiefs             (pk)         

Houston Texans                 (pk)        

Over/Under:

o40.5 (-110)

u40.5 (-110)

The Chiefs averaged 5.3 (17th) yards per play while allowing 5.2 (5th) yards per play defensively. Their 3rd down conversion rate was 39.8 and they ranked 20th in first downs. They also averaged 22.1 (15th) points per game. From a betting perspective, they went 10-6 against the spread overall and 4-4 against the spread in road games. When betting on the Total in the Chiefs games, they had a 5-11 Over/Under record overall and a 2-6 OVER/Under record in road games.

The Texans averaged 5.2 (24th) yards per play while allowing 5.2 (6th) yards per play defensively. Their 3rd down conversion rate was 36.57 and they ranked 18th in first downs. They also averaged 23.2 (14th) points per game. From a betting perspective, they went 9-6-1 against the spread overall and 4-4 against the spread in home games. When betting on the Total in the Texans games, they had a 8-8 Over/Under record overall and a 4-4 OVER/Under record in home games.

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Kansas City Chiefs @ Houston Texans - UNDER 40.5 (-110)

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2015 Houston Texans Season Preview & Betting Odds

2015 Houston Texans Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes

By: Bankerz Bets (Follow me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)

 

 

Season Win Total Odds: 8.5

Odds to win the AFC South: +475

Odds to win the AFC Championship: +2000

Odds to win the Super Bowl: +5000

The oddsmakers have set the betting odds on the Houston Texans season win total at 8.5 for the 2015-2016 NFL season. Last season, the Texans went over their season win total of 8.5. They finished 2nd in the AFC South and 8th in the AFC Conference with a 9-7 record, going 5-3 in home games and 4-4 in road games. The offense averaged 5.2 yards per play (24th) and 23.2 points per game (14th) while the defense allowed an average of 5.2 yards per play (6th) and 19.2 points per game (6th).

NFL sports bettors that bet on the Houston Texans against the spread went 9-6-1 overall, 4-4 in home games, and 5-2-1 in road games. As favorites against the spread, the Cardinals went 6-2, and as the underdog they went 3-4-1. They covered the spread in 60% of their games, which ranked 7th in the league. They also had the 32nd ranked strength of schedule. Betting on the Total (Over/Under) in Arizona Cardinals games went 8-8 overall, 4-4 in home games, and 4-4 in road games. 

Here is a list of the arrivals and departures made during the offseason:

Arrivals: QB Brian Hoyer, RB Chris Polk, WR Cecil Shorts, WR Nate Washington, NT Vince Wilfork, S Rahim Moore, S Stevie Brown, CB Kevin Johnson, ILB Benardrick McKinney, and WR Jaelen Strong.

Departures: QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB Case Keenum, WR Andre Johnson, G Cody White, C Chris Myers, DE/DT Tim Jamison, DE/OLB Brooks Reed, S D.J. Swearinger, and S Danieal Manning.

2014 Season Rankings

Rushing

Offensive Rushing Yards per Play: 22nd (3.9 RYpP)

Defensive Rushing Yards per Play: 9th (4 RYpP)

Rushing Yards per Play Differential: 16th (-0.1 RYpP)

Passing

Offensive Passing Yards per Play: 19th (7.1 PYpP)

Defensive Passing Yards per Play: 7th (6.7 PYpP)

Passing Yards per Play Differential: 10th (+0.4 PYpP)

Luck (Points Scored Not By Offensive TD)

Offensive Luck: 15th (3.2 PpG)

Defensive UnLuck: 9th (2.7 PpG)

Luck Differential: 12th (+0.5 PpG)

2015-16 Houston Texans Schedule

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Prediction

There will be no prediction for the Houston Texans season wins. The Texans will have a new starting quarterback, a position they have struggled to remain consistent at, and the most important position on an NFL team. Defensively, they will remain solid on the defensive line with J.J. Watt. However, this team will take on a totally new identity this season and it will be hard to gauge on how they perform this season so I am passing.

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