Showing posts with label MLB Betting Odds. Show all posts
Showing posts with label MLB Betting Odds. Show all posts

Monday, April 4, 2016

Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Indians Monday Night Baseball Betting Preview & Free Pick

MLB Preview: Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Indians
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 4:10 PM ET, Monday April 4, 2016
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
Lines: Boston -109/ Cleveland -101
Total: 6.5 (u20)
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Will the pitching hold up this year for the Sox? That will be the question this year. They will go only as far as their pitching will take them. They did upgrade it with the addition of David Price, but unfortunately for the Red Sox he can’t pitch every night. They have a few nice arms in Clay Buchholz, Joe Kelly and Eduardo Rodriguez, but they also have Rick Porcello and no depth should any of their starters go down. This team will really be in trouble if Price goes down as he is far and away their best starter. Porcello needs good defense behind him to be successful and he doesn’t have that, plus Buchholz is injury prone and Rodriguez is already on the DL. If only Price could pitch every day. The offense should again be solid for Red Sox and so is the bullpen, especially the backend with Kimbrel and Uehara, so if they don’t make the playoffs it will not be their fault. Getting the start in this one will be David Price, who went a combined 18-5 with a 2.45 ERA for the Tigers and Blue Jays, which includes an 11-2 mark with a 2.05 ERA on the road. He has some nice career numbers vs the Tribe, going 9-2 with a 2.19 ERA overall, including a mark of 4-0 with a 2.15 GAA in six career starts here at Progressive Field. Last year the Red Sox were 6th in the league in hitting (.265). 4th in runs scored (748) and 15th in homers (161). On the mound the numbers were not so good for this team as they were 25th in the league in ERA at 4.31 and 23rd in WHIP at 1.36. Those pitching numbers should improve some with the addition of Price.


The Cleveland Indians are usually the sexzy pick to win the American League Central and every year they disappoint their backers. Could this finally be their year? This is a team that has some nice young talent with Francisco Lindor at SS, Jason Kipnis and 2nd and Tyler Naquin in the OF. They will also patiently away the return of OF Michael Brantley, who will start the year on the DL. That young talent will mix with newcomers like Mike Napoli, Marlon Byrd and Juan Uribe. The pitching staff is led by 2014 CY Young award winner Corey Kluber. His is joined by some solid arms in Carlos Carrasco and Danny Salazar. Last year Tribe starters led the majors in strikeout rate at 24.2%. The Bullpen was not very good last year, but it has been upgraded with the addition of Joba Chamberlain. I do like the makeup of this team this year. Getting the start in this game for Cleveland will be Corey Kluber, who had a rough year after winning the CY Young in 2014. Last year he went just 9-16 with a 3.45 ERA in 32 starts, which includes going just 6-8 with a 2.83 ERA here at Progressive field in 16 starts. He has faced the Red Sox seven times in his career, with six of them being starts and he is just 1-2 with a 4.91 ERA in those appearances. Last year Cleveland was 11th in the league in hitting at .256, 18th in runs scored at 669 and 22nd in homers with 141. On the mound they were 8th in the league in ERA at 3.67 and 4th in WHIP at 1.19. If the offense can come around this year then the Tribe will fight for the division title all year.    
 
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Free Baselball Play
[967] Boston -109 over Cleveland
I like the Tribe this year to be a player in the AL Central this year, but I like the Sox in this game and the reason is that Cleveland still has a couple of questions on offense and David Price has dominated this team in his career, especially here where he has never lost. I also give Boston the edge in the pen as well, especially the backend, plus their offense gets the edge as well. Boston finished last year losing three straight to the Tribe and they have lost their last six here, but that streak will come to an end behind the arm of David Price.
 
 

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Sunday, April 3, 2016

New York Mets vs Kansas City Royals MLB Betting Preview & Free Pick

MLB Preview: New York Mets vs Kansas City Royals
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 8:37 PM ET, Sunday April 3, 2016
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
Lines: NY Mets -120/ Kansas City +110
Total: 7.5 (o15)
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Last the Mets were led by their pitching staff and they will be looking for that staff to help them dominate the NL East this year. That has been carefully put together the last few year and it finally paid off in last year’s amazing run to the World Series. Now this young staff is a year old and has more experience, which will benefit them greatly this year, especially in the postseason. Matt Harvey, Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndergaard and Steven Matz all all capable of posting a shutout every time they take to the mound and having a staff like that can really help take the pressure off a very average offense. That offense was upgraded some last year and it includes Yoenis Cespedes, Travis d’Arnaud, Lucas Duda, Michael Conforto and Curtis Granderson, which is a nice nucleus and then when he is healthy they also have David Wright. Still, this offense will not have to do a whole lot this year, but a more solid offense does make them a more complete team. Getting the start in this game for the Mets is Matt Harvey, who started 26 games last year and went 9-5 with a 2.27 ERA in those games, while on the road he went 5-5 with a 3.42 ERA. He did go 2-0 in four interleague starts last year during the regular season with an 0.68 ERA. In the World Series he started two games vs the Royals and he got a no-decision in both games, while allowing five earned runs in 14 innings of work in the two games. Last year the Mets were 28th in the league in hitting at .244 and they were 17th in runs scored (683), but they had some pop in their bats as they were 8th in homeruns at 177. On the mound they were 4th in ERA (3.43) and 2nd in WHIP (1.18).
The Kansas City Royals are the defending World Series champs and they really had an easy time of it in beating the mets four games to one in the World Series. Now the question is do they have enough to repeat. The Pitching will be solid again and they have added Ian Kennedy to the staff and Joakim Soria to the bullpen. The heart of the Royals is Alex Gordon, who was 4th last year among outfielders in Wins Above Replacement. Re-Signing him was key for the Royals this year. Lorenzo Cain is also back and may be the Royals best overall player. Those two will join Eric Hosmer and Mike Moustakas to give them a solid offensive nucleus that will score plenty of runs like last year. The Bullpen is very good and is even better with the addition of Soria, who could serve as the setup man for Wade Davis, who just may be the game’s best closer. Getting the start in this game will be Edinson Volquez, who made 34 appearances last year, with 33 of them being starts and he was 13-9 with a 3.55 ERA in those games. At Kauffman Stadium he was 8-4 with a 3.48 ERA in 16 starts. He was 3-0 with a 2,.67 ERA in five starts vs the National League last year during the Regular Season and He face the Mets twice in the World Series and he didn’t get a decision in either game, while allowing four runs in 12 innings of work. Last year the Royals were 3rd in the league in hitting at .269, while ranking 7th in runs scored (724) and 24th in homers (139). On the mound they were 10th in ERA at 3.73 and 13th in WHIP (1.28).
 
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Free Baselball Play
[907] New York Mets -120
The Mets took it on the chin last year in the World Series, but I look for them to come out and get a little revenge in this one. They have a clear edge on the mound and their offense should be better than last year’s group and the Royals are not totally healthy as they will be missing Jarrod Dyson (OF) for a couple of more weeks. The Mets have a great shot here at starting off with some revenge and overall I do believe they are the more complete team.
 
 

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Sunday, October 11, 2015

NLDS Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Pick and Betting Odds - Monday October 12 2015 | SportsBetCappers.com

NLDS Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Pick and Betting Odds - Monday October 12 2015 | SportsBetCappers.com
By: Bankerz Bets (Follow Me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)
NLDS Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Pick and Betting Odds - Monday October 12 2015 | SportsBetCappers.com
It is MLB Monday and the New York Mets will play host to the Los Angeles Dodgers. The game will be televised on TBS at 8:35pm eastern time. Taking the mound for the Mets will be Matt Harvey and the Dodgers will pit left-handed Brett Anderson on the opposing side. This will be the 3rd game of this 5 game NLDS series.
Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes
Los Angeles Dodgers             +170         +1.5 (-150)
New York Mets                        -180         -1.5 (+130)
Over/Under:
o6.5 (-115)
u6.5 (-105)
The Dodgers have went 5-2 in their last 7 games, averaging 3.3 runs per game and allowing 2.6 runs per game, with a 3-4 Over/Under record. With right-handed Harvey on the mound for the Mets, it is important to note that the Dodgers have went 68-52, averaging 4.2 runs per game, with an Over/Under record of 57-61 against right-handed starters.
The Dodgers average 4.1 runs per game (19th) with an overall run differential of +73 (7th). They also have an On Base Percentage of 0.325% (5th) and average 3.29 (8th) runners left in scoring position. Brett Anderson is 10-9 this season with a WHIP of 1.325. As the starting pitcher, Anderson has given up 18 HRs, allowed 46 walks, and struck out 116 batters with an Over/Under record of 15-15.
Meanwhile the Mets have went 2-5 in their last 7 games, averaging 1.7 runs per game and allowing 3 runs per game, with a 2-5 Over/Under record. With left-handed Anderson on the mound for the Dodgers, it is important to note that the Mets have went 21-16, averaging 3.9 runs per game, with an Over/Under record of 15-22 against left-handed starters.
The Mets average 4.2 runs per game (17th) with an overall run differential of +69 (8th). They have an On Base Percentage of 0.311% (21st) and average 3.36 (14th) runners left in scoring position. Matt Harvey is 10-9 this season with a WHIP of 1.030. As the starting pitcher, Harvey has given up 18 HRs, allowed 37 walks, and struck out 188 batters with an Over/Under record of 17-12.
Free MLB Pick
Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets - OVER 6.5 (-115)

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Thursday, October 8, 2015

Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals MLB Playoffs Game 1 Preview & Pick

MLB Preview: Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
When: 7:37 PM ET, Thursday, October 8, 2015
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
Televised: Fox Sports 1
Odds: Kansas city Opened as -142 favorites and the line has come down slightly to -137. The OU line is currently at 7.5, with juice to the Under (-115)
       

The Divisional playoffs are here and we get a nice matchup between the Houston Astros and the Kansas City Royals. The Royals have spent most of the year a top the the AL Central and finished the year with the best record in the AL and 3rd best overall. Houston had a very good year and may be ahead of schedule in terms of were the team is at right now. The had their ace on the mound for the playoff between with the Yanks and Keuchel shut them out 3-0, so that Houston could move on. 

 Getting the ball for Houston in Game 1 of this series will be Collin McHugh, who went  19-7 with a 3.89 ERA in 32 starts this year. On the road he wasn't as good, going just 7-4 with a 4.05 ERA. Colin has 1 career start vs the Royals (2014) and he allowed 0 ERs in 7 innings.

 Taking mound for Kansas City will be Yordano Ventura, who has a 13-8 record and a 4.08 ERA on the year overall, while at home he has gone 7-5 with a 3.84 ERA.  Ventura is 2-1 with a 3.89 ERA in 3 career starts vs Houston. 

 The offenses for both teams have been solid as Houston comes in ranked 6th in the league in scoring (4.50 rpg), 21st in hitting and 2nd in homers. Houston has hit .246 and has scored 4.49 rpg on the road this year.

  The Kansas City offense comes into the game ranked 7th i the league in scoring (4.47 rpg), 3rd in hitting and 24 in home runs. At home this year they have scored 4.64 rpg and have hit .274


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Free Baseball Pick
[904] Houston/ Kansas City Under 7.5
I feel that the Under is the way to go here. The Houston offense is very good, but they rely a lot on the homerun and this is one of the hardest parks to hit them in. Houston was a pretty high scoring team this year, but in 3 games at Kansas City they hit just 1 homer and scored 6 total runs in the 3 games. They will take on Ventura who has been very good down the stretch, posting a 1.80 ERA in his last 3 starts. Colin McHugh seems to get more energy as the season goes on. Check this out. He is 9-0 with a 2.83 ERA in 10 starts during Sept/ Oct the last 2 years. He will face a Royals team that struggled to hit down the stretch, scoring just 3.5 rpg in their last 10 games.  Playoff baseball breeds pitchers duels and behind both starters are very good bullpens. I expect at the most 5 runs in this one.



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Monday, October 5, 2015

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Wildcard Playoff Betting Preview & Free Pick

MLB Playoff Preview: Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
When: 8:00 PM ET, Wednesday, October 7, 2015
Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pa
Televised: ESPN
Odds:  Pittsburgh opened up as favorites of -110, but the money has com in heavily on the Cubs and they are now the favorites at -131. The OU line has been bet down from 6 to R.5, with juice on the Over (-115)   


The Chicago Cubs have made it back to the postseason,with hopes of going all the way to the World Series. This is a team built on youth and experience and anything can happen should they make it past the Pirates in this one. Chicago went 97-65 on the year and they were a solid team on the road where they went 48-33 for the year. the Cubes were 6-3 at PNC Park this year. 

Getting the Ball for the Cubs in this one is Jake Arrieta, who just may end up winning the Cy Young award this year. Arrieta has gone 22-6 on the year with a 1.77 ERA, while on the road he has gone a stellar 13-1 with a 1.60 ERA. Jake is 6-1 with a 1.68 ERA in 9 career starts vs Pittsburgh, which includes going 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA in 5 career starts at PNC Park. Jake has faced them 5 times this year and is 3-1 with an 0.75 ERA in those starts. 

The Cubs rank 16th in the league in scoring (4.25 rpg) 29th in hitting (.244) and 12th in homers (171). On the road they have hit just .243 and have scored 4.48 rpg. 

The Pittsburgh Pirates come in with the 2nd best record in all of baseball, which really seems unfair to them that hey are in this one game playoff and have to face Jake Arrieta to boot. Still Pittsburgh does have the advantage of playing at home where they have gone a very solid 53-28 on the year. 

Pittsburgh will send out their own ace in Cole Gerrit, who has gone 19-8 with a 2.60 ERA overall, while at home he went 9-3 with a 2.83 ERA. Gerrit also has goon numbers vs the Cubs in his career, going 7-1 with a 2.88 ERA in 9 starts vs them, including going 2-1 with a 2.13 ERA in 4 starts vs the Cubs this year. 

Pittsburgh comes in ranked 11th in the league in scoring (4.30 rpg), 9th in hitting (.260) and 23rd in homeruns (140). At home they have hit .254 and have scored 4.23 rpg on the year.  

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Free Baseball Pick
[934] Chicago/ Pittsburgh Under 5.5 I will be looking at the Under in this game. This is playoff baseball at it's finest as we have two pitchers that not only have great umber this year but also have great career numbers in their meetings with the tams they are facing in this one. Jake Arrietts has allowed just 2 ERs total in his last 9 starts and he has a career 1.68 ERA in 9 starts vs the Pirates. Gerrit Cole hasn't been as dominant as Jake has been this year, but he pitches well at home, has a career 2.88 ERA vs the Cubs and Chicago just isn't a good hitting team. This one has 2-1 written all over it.



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Houston Astros vs New York Yankees American League Playoff Preview & Pick

It’s time for the MLB playoffs to get under way and tonight is is the one-game playoff between the Houston Astros and the New York Yankees, which will take place in New York. Game time is set for 8:00 PM (ET) and will be televised on ESPN.
Written by David Hess Follow Me on Twitter @DavidHess311


Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes
Houston                -109
New York              -101
Over/ Under:         7o15
    


Houston- The Houston Astros led their division for much of the year until a 4 game sweep at the hand of the Rangers dropped them to second place in the West. From that point on Houston was in a three-way battle with Minnesota and Los Angeles for the 2nd wildcard slot. Houston finally won it and also won a trip to New york for the one game playoff.

For this game Houston will send out Dallas Keuchel on 3 days rest. This will be the first time this year he will pitch on such short rest, so it will be interesting to see how he does. Dallas had a great year as he went 20-8 with a 2.48 ERA overall, but he was 5-8 with a 3.77 ERA on the road. Dallas faced the Yanks twice this year and was 2-0 with an 0.00 ERA in those games. In 2 career starts at Yankee Stadium he is 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA.

The Astros were a good offensive team this year, ranking 6tyh in scoring (4.5 rpg) 21st in hitting (.250) and 2nd in homers (230).on the road they hit .244 and scored 4.47 rpg.
New York- The Yankees also led their division for a while this year, until the Toronto Blue Jays went out and got David Price and Troy Tulowitzki. That when everything changed in the AL East and the Yanks were relegated to playing for a wildcard slot. The Yanks had a big lead for much of the year in the Wildcard race ad they weren’t really in danger of losing it down the stretch.

Tonight the Yanks will send out Masahiro Tanaka, who did spend some time on the DL this year, but he is clearly their best pitcher in the starting rotation. Tanka was solid this year, going 12-7 with a 3.51 ERA in 24 starts, while at home he has gone 7-4 with a 3.71 ERA. Tanaka faced the Astros once on the road and got a no-decision in the 9-6 New York win. He allowed 6 ERs in 5 innings in that game.

The yanks were also a good offensive team this year as they ranked 2nd in the league in scoring (4.72 rpg), 17th in hitting (251) ad 4th in homers (212). At home they have averaged 4.7 rpg and hit .247.  




Free Baseball Pick
[931] Houston/ New York Over 7
I know that playoff baseball usually breeds low scoring games, but I have to feel this one will be different. Dallas Keuchel is not as strong on the road as at home as he has a 3.77 ERA in his away starts this year and his road starts have averaged 10.07 rpg. Masahiro Tanaka comes in with a 3.71 EDRA at home, with his home starts averaging 9.79 rpg, plus he was hit hard in his lone start vs the Astros this year. Both offense have been very good and both are in the top 5 in homers. This game should see at least 9 runs scored.  

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Tuesday, September 22, 2015

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Odds & Free Pick

MLB Preview: New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
When: 7:07 PM ET, Sunday, September 20, 2015
Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
Televised: ESPN
Odds: The Blue Jays opened as favorites of -181 and it has been bet down to -165. The OU Line is holding steady at 9.
The Yankees are running out of chances at catching the Blue Jays for first place in the AL East, But they did close the gap a little with last night’s 6-4 win in 10 innings.  Last week the Yanks lost 3 of 4 at home vs the Jays and  game 1 of this series, but after last night’s win they are now just 2.5 games behind the Jays.  
Tonight the Yanks will look to Ivan Nova to get them a big win. Nova spent most of the first part of the season on the DL and he hasn’t pitched good at all since coming off it as he has 6-8 record with a 5.11 ERA on the season. He has pitched a bit better on the road, posting a 3-3 record and a 3.75 ERA. Ivan is 2-2 with a 4.80 ERA in 6 games (5 starts) in this park in his career.

The Toronto Blue Jays made all the right moves this year and are now closing in on clinching the AL East. They have a current 2.5 game lead over the Yanks in the AL East and a 5.5 game lead in the wildcard race. The Jays have been an excellent home team this year and just look like they are getting ready for the playoffs. They clearly have the best offense in the league and their pitching was upgraded with the addition of David Price.

Now they get back Marcus Stroman, who  may one day be the Ace of this staff. So far this year he has made just 2 starts and he is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in those starts. Marcus has made 4 starts in his career vs the Yanks and is 3-1 with a 3.18 ERA in those starts.  


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Free Baseball Pick
[920] New York/ Toronto Under 9
Let’s look for this one to be rather low scoring. Marcus Stroman is a heck of a pitcher and he has looked good in his two starts this year so far.  He also has pitched well in his career vs the Yanks, posting a 3.18 ERA in 4 starts. Ivan Nova is anything but special this year, but he has pitched much better on the road, where he has a 3.75 ERA compared to at home where his ERA is 6.35. He has 2 starts vs the Jays this year and he allowed 6 ERs to them in his home start, but just 3 ERs in his road starts. This is a huge game for both teams and I expect both starters to pitch like it, while the offenses may just be a bit tense. This game has playoff atmosphere written all over it and those games tend to be a bit lower scoring. This one will as well.  




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