Thursday, October 8, 2015

Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals MLB Playoffs Game 1 Preview & Pick

MLB Preview: Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)



When: 7:37 PM ET, Thursday, October 8, 2015
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
Televised: Fox Sports 1


Odds: Kansas city Opened as -142 favorites and the line has come down slightly to -137. The OU line is currently at 7.5, with juice to the Under (-115)
       



The Divisional playoffs are here and we get a nice matchup between the Houston Astros and the Kansas City Royals. The Royals have spent most of the year a top the the AL Central and finished the year with the best record in the AL and 3rd best overall. Houston had a very good year and may be ahead of schedule in terms of were the team is at right now. The had their ace on the mound for the playoff between with the Yanks and Keuchel shut them out 3-0, so that Houston could move on. 

Getting the ball for Houston in Game 1 of this series will be Collin McHugh, who went  19-7 with a 3.89 ERA in 32 starts this year. On the road he wasn't as good, going just 7-4 with a 4.05 ERA. Colin has 1 career start vs the Royals (2014) and he allowed 0 ERs in 7 innings.

Taking mound for Kansas City will be Yordano Ventura, who has a 13-8 record and a 4.08 ERA on the year overall, while at home he has gone 7-5 with a 3.84 ERA.  Ventura is 2-1 with a 3.89 ERA in 3 career starts vs Houston. 

The offenses for both teams have been solid as Houston comes in ranked 6th in the league in scoring (4.50 rpg), 21st in hitting and 2nd in homers. Houston has hit .246 and has scored 4.49 rpg on the road this year.

 The Kansas City offense comes into the game ranked 7th i the league in scoring (4.47 rpg), 3rd in hitting and 24 in home runs. At home this year they have scored 4.64 rpg and have hit .274


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Free Baseball Pick
[904] Houston/ Kansas City Under 7.5
I feel that the Under is the way to go here. The Houston offense is very good, but they rely a lot on the homerun and this is one of the hardest parks to hit them in. Houston was a pretty high scoring team this year, but in 3 games at Kansas City they hit just 1 homer and scored 6 total runs in the 3 games. They will take on Ventura who has been very good down the stretch, posting a 1.80 ERA in his last 3 starts. Colin McHugh seems to get more energy as the season goes on. Check this out. He is 9-0 with a 2.83 ERA in 10 starts during Sept/ Oct the last 2 years. He will face a Royals team that struggled to hit down the stretch, scoring just 3.5 rpg in their last 10 games.  Playoff baseball breeds pitchers duels and behind both starters are very good bullpens. I expect at the most 5 runs in this one.



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