Wisconsin Badgers vs Nebraska Cornhuskers College Football Betting Preview & Prediction

Wisconsin Badgers vs (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 2-3 OU) vs Nebraska Cornhuskers (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 OU)

When: 3:30 PM ET, Saturday, October 10, 2015

Where: Memorial Stadium in Lincoln, Nebraska

Lines: Nebraska -1.5

Total: 48.5

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This is a huge game for these teams as both have started out 0-1 in the Big 10 this year so far. Nebraska started with a loss to Illinois in the closing seconds, while Wisconsin was thoroughly outplayed on their own field in a very sluggish 10-6 loss to Iowa.   

Wisconsin is 3-2 on the year, but still this offense is not playing well at all. The Badgers really have missed Melvin Gordon at RB as they have put up just 167.8 ypg rushing this year, compared to 320 ypg last year. A power run game has been the staple of the Badgers for year, but this year they have had to rely on the passing game of Joel Stave, which is not what you want to have to do. Joel really hasn’t been a good QB for the Badgers and while he has thrown 44 TDs in his career, he has also thrown 30 INTs. Not a good ratio at all. This year he has 7 TDs to 4 INTs. Again that is not a good ratio.

The Badgers do seem like a confused tea on offense as they really don’t have an identity of what kind of offense they are running. This is a power running team that is having to throw the ball more, which will make for a sputtering offense like the e they have. The Badgers put up just 17 and 6 points n their 2 losses and even in two of their wins vs Hawaii and Troy they were able to manage just 28 points in each game. They would have run right over those teams in previous years, but this year they just can’t.

The Nebraska Cornhuskers have had some late game bad luck this year and it started in their opener vs BYU, when Tanner Magnum came in off the bench to hit a hail mary pass in the final seconds of the game, giving BYU the 33-28 win. Last week vs Illinois it wasn’t a hail mary, but Wes Lunt did hit Geronimo Allison for a 1 yd TD pass with just 10 seconds to go i the game, giving Illinois the 14-13 win. Now let’s add those two losses to the OT loss at Miami and you have a Nebraska team that is just a few plays away from being 5-0 and ranked in the top 10. Just heartbreaking losses for this team that is looking to turn things around with a new coaching staff and attitude.

Offensively the Cornhuskers have been very good as they have put up 474 ypg and 31.8 ppg on the year so far. The defense has been a different story, especially their late game defense. So far this year the Cornhuskers have allowed 12.8 ppg through the first 3 quarters, but in quarter #4 alone they have allowed 10.6 ppg. Prior to the season starting, defensive depth looked like it was going to be an issue for this team and so far it has been. The have been wearing down late in games.

 

Trends

Wisconsin Is:

• 5-0 ATS their last 5 games vs a losing team
• 20-7 ATS after rushing for less than 100 yards

Nebraska is:

• 0-7 ATS at home vs a Big 10 opponents off a SU loss
• 1-4 ATS their last 6 Big 10 games
• 0-4 ATS in the last 4 in the series

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Free College Football Pick: [403] Wisconsin +1.5

I know I didn’t discuss it above, but one thing that the Badgers do have is an excellent defense that comes in allowing just 278 ypg and 9.6 ppg on the year. Granted they haven’t played the best of offenses this year, but still those are some solid numbers. Nebraska has played decent offensive teams and they have struggled so far, allowing 438 ypg and 24 ppg so far. Wisconsin gets the clear edge on defense in this game. I do look for them to run the ball a bit more here as that should really tire out the Nebraska defense that has already shown they will tire late. This game will be won in the 4th quarter and Wisconsin has allowed just 1.4 ppg in that quarter, while Nebraska has allowed 10.6 ppg in the final frame. Nebraska loses another game late.

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Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Miami Hurricanes College Football Preview & Pick

CFB Preview: Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Miami Hurricanes

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

 

When: 3:30 PM ET, Saturday, September 19, 2015
Where: Sun Life Stadium in Miami, Florida

Televised: ABC Or ESPN 2

Odds: Miami opened as 5 points favorites and money has come in on the dog in this one so far and the Canes now are just 3.5 point favorites. The OU Line opened as 56.5 and has been bet up to 57.5.

The Nebraska Cornhuskers have high hopes this year, especially with the hire of Mike Riley, who inherits a team that has 15 starters back from last year. This is a good team, but they didn’t start off on the right foot as BYU hit a hail mary to upset them in game 1. The Huskers lost 33-28 in that game and were outgained by 66 yards by the Cougars. Nebraska did bounce back in their next game vs South Alabama, beating the Jaguars by a score 48-9, while outgaining them by 229 yards in the game. Nebraska is usually a run first offense, but so far this year they have thrown for 311 ypg, while rushing for 192. This is now a more diversified offense that will make it tough for teams to stop. Their defense has 8 starters back and should improve over the 26 ppg they allowed last year.

Miami comes in at 2-0 on the year, beating Bethune Cookman 45-0 and Florida Atlantic 44-20. Miami has high hopes of competing for the ACC title, but it may be tough for them as they have just 10 starters back and must overtake both Virginia Tech and Georgia Tech, who look like they will be very solid this year, especially the Yellow Jackets. Miami still will be a good team this year, especially their defense, which has allowed just 234 ypg through two games. Offensively Miami has been balanced s far as they have averaged 210 ypg on the ground and 242 ypg through the air. They did really struggle with FAU in their last game, before eventually pulling ahead for the big 24 point win. If the start out slow in this game they could be in trouble.

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Free College Football Pick

[157] Nebraska/ Miami Under 57.5

Going to expect a low scoring game here. Miami is a solid defensive team and they should find a way to ground the Cornhuskers in this one. Nebraska is throwing the ball a little bit more this year, but the Miami pass defense looks very good so far, which means that Nebraska may have to turn to the run a bit more. The Miami offense is erratic and I see them struggling vs a very underrated Nebraska defense. This should be a tight game that is also lower scoring than is expected.  

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BYU Cougars vs Nebraska Cornhuskers College Football Preview & Pick

College Football Preview: BYU Cougars vs Nebraska Cornhuskers

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 3:30 PM ET, Saturday, September 5, 2015
Where: Lincloln Memorial Stadium in Lincoln, Nebraska
Televised: ABC

Odds:  Nebraska opened as 7 points favorites and it has been bet down slightly to 6.5. The Total took a pretty big hit as it was bet down from 65.5 to 60.

The BYU cougars has a solid 8-5 season a year ago, but their season did end on a down not with a 55-48 2OT loss to Memphis is the Miami Beach Bowl. This year's team is loaded and are one of the teams that are not from a power 5 conference that have aspirations of making it to the playoffs. Even if the run the table they will still need help. The Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, including QB Taysom hill, who missed a lot of time last season. Christian Stewart did a fine job but he s not the dual threat QB that Hill is. Taysom really makes defenses defend so much more when he is in there. Hill will have his top RB back from last year and 3 of the 4 top pass catchers, while the OL is very good. This team will put up a lot of points this year. The defense allowed 27.5 ppg last year and they return just 5 starters from that group, but they also have 23 lettermen back on defense and one of the better DLs around, so I do expect some improvement on this side of the ball.    

Nebraska went 9-4 last year, but their season didn't end on an up note as they lost to USC in Holiday Bowl in a thrilling 45-42 game. The Huskers do jave their sights set higher this year, but it will not be easy as they have a new HC and just 12 starters back. They did lose just 16 lettermen and have 60 back this year, so this is a pretty experienced team. he Offense will be led by QB Tommy Armstrong, but the big loss for this offense s the departure of RB Ameer Abdullah, who ran for 1611 yards and 19 TDs last year. Terrell Newby takes over at RB and he does have some experience, but is no Ameer. The Huskers also lose top WR Kenny Bell, but 7 have experience as 9 of their top 11 pass catchers from last year all return.  A weak spot may be on the line where they rate as the 8th best in the league. Defense is really where this team must improve, especially aflter allowing 59, 28, 34 and 45 poin ts in their last 4 games last year. This defense got tired and they lost 4 of their top 5 tacklers from a year ago, but they did recuit well on tyhe defensive side of the ball and should not have the same late season collapse as last year. 

Both of these teams are run-first teams and that tends to chew up the clock. I look for that here. BYU has Taysom Hill back and he will run the ball a lot, but he will be going up against a very solid corps of LBs and a DL that rates as one of the better in the Big 10. When the Huskers have the ball they will have a new starter at RB and their OL is one of the Weaker in the Big 10, while BYU comes in with what looks like a very good DL. The strengths of these offenses will be the run, but the strength of these two defenses looks to be on the line. That will make it hard for these teams to just march up an down the field with easy. I just can't see these teams getting to 60 points in this one. 

Take (178) BYU/ Nebraska Under 60

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