Sunday, August 30, 2015

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Monday Baseball Preview & Pick

MLB Preview: New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)


When: 7:10 PM ET, Monday, August 31, 2015
Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
Televised: ESPN

Odds: Boston opened as a favorite of -125 and it has been bet down to them being favored at -115. The OU line currently stands at 9 with juice to the Over (-115)

The pitching matchup for this game pits Ivan Nova of the Yankees against Eduardo Rodriguez of the Red Sox.  

Ivan Nova has spent much time on the DL this year and as a result he has just 11 starts. He has struggled for the most part, going just 5-6 with a 4.55 ERA overall, but he has pitched better on the road where he is 3-2 with a 3.60 ERA. He also doesn’t have good numbers vs the Sox, going just 3-4 with a 5.05 ERA in 10 appearances (9 Starts) vs them. At Fenway he is 2-3 with a 4.91 ERA in 6 app (5 starts).

Eduardo Rodriguez is in his first year in the Majors and has really been mediocre at best as he is 7-5 with a 4.39 ERA in 16 starts. At home he has gone 4-2 but with a 4.44 ERA. He has pitched well s the Yankees this year, going 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA in 2 starts.

Important Stats: On the road this year the Yankees have hit .248 overall, including .240 vs righties, while scoring 4.85 rpg. Their pitching has not been so great on the road, where they have a 4.10 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. The Red Sox have been a good offensive team at home, hitting .288 overall and .289 vs righties, while putting up a very healthy 5.31 rpg. Pitching has not been so good for them at Fenway as they have a 4.51 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP here for the year.   

The Over has gone 9-1-1 in the Sox last 11 home games vs righties and the Over is also 9-2 when the Yanks take to the road vs a team with a losing record. Yup I’m going over the total here. The Yanks offense really came alive again after putting up 38 runs in their 3 game series vs the Braves. On Sunday they scored 20 runs and on Friday they put up 15 runs and that is in a park that is not as hitter friendly as Fenway is. The Boston offense has been vs good at home, where they average 5.32 rpg, plus the Sox have had good success vs Nova in this career, as he has a 5.05 ERA vs them and a 4.51 ERA in this park. Eduardo Rodriquez has a winning record ay home, but with a high 4.44 ERA. His home starts have averaged 11.78 rpg on the year. Both offenses are dealing it right now and will face very suspect pitching, which should put this game easily into double digits.

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