Monday, February 1, 2016

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Louisville Cardinals College Basketball Betting Preview & Free Pick

College Basketball Preview: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Louisville Cardinals
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)


When: 7:00 PM ET, Monday, February 1, 2016
Where: KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky
Lines: Louisville -1
Total:  148.5

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What a dynamite game that ESPN has between these two ACC Rivals. The North Carolina Tar Heels come in on a roll as they have won their last 12 games and stand at 19-2 on the year, which now has them as the top ranked team in the nation. This is a team with plenty of talent and is deserving of their number one ranking. One of their two losses this year was without Marcus Paige, who is a huge part of the team. The Heels are not really a deep team, but they are balanced with their top 6 scorers putting up at least 9.9 ppg. Brice Johnson leads the team with 16.8 ppg while also leading them in rebounding at 10.2 rpg and he has 27 blocks as well on the year. Overall this is one of the best offensive teams in the nation as they rank 4th in scoring, putting up 85.8 ppg, while hitting 48.5% from the field overall, which is 20th. They do struggle from long range where they are 318th in the nation at 30.8%. The Heels do play at a very fast pace so their defensive numbers are not great as they rank 151st in points allowed (70.3 ppg), 115th in defensive FG% overall (42%) and 306th in three point defense (37.2%).

The Louisville Cardinals are off to a solid 17-4 start to the year, which includes a 6-3 mark in the ACC, but they do come in off one of their worst offensive performances under Pitino as they were held to just 47 points and a 63-47 loss at home to Virginia on Saturday. The loss was the Cards first home loss of the year. The Cards go about 8 deep on a regular basis and all 8 average at least 5.5 ppg. The cards are led by Damion Lee, who averages 16.7 ppg, while Trey Lewis (12.3 ppg) and Chinanu Onuaku (10.1 ppg) also average in double digits for the Cards. Onuaku is the team’s leader in rebounding at 8.5 rpg and he uses the underhanded free throw when at the line. He still hits just .59.% of his free throws. The Cards come in at 50th in the nation in scoring, putting up 79.3 ppg and on 48.5% shooting, which is 22nd. At the defensive end of the floor they are very stout as they allow just 60.2 ppg, which is 5th in the nation and on 37.7% shooting, which is 6th in the land.




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Free College Basketball Play
[519] North Carolina +1 over Louisville
I’m going with the Heels here as they are the better team, especially at the offensive end of the floor and they should have some success scoring non this tough Cardinals defense. The Cards are off a rather embarrassing home loss to Virginia as they really played a horrible game at the offensive end of the floor and that offense has been inconsistent this year, which is something you can’t have when taking on the powerful Heels. The Heels have more balance and have more star power than Cards do and they should win what should be a great game.    

 



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