College Basketball Preview: North Carolina Tar Heels vs Virginia Cavaliers
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
When: 6:30 PM ET, Saturday, February 27, 2016
Where: John Paul Jones Arena Charlottesville, Virginia
Lines: Virginia -3.5
Total: 139
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The North Carolina Tar Heels have dealt with some inconsistent play this year, but through it all they are still at 23-5 overall, while they lead the ACC with a 10-3 mark. The Heels have won their last two games following a 1 point home loss to Duke and they have struggled on the road vs the good teams in the league, losing at Notre Dame and Louisville. Part of the Heels inconsistent play has been due to Marcus Paige, who has been in a slump and hasn’t really been the dominant player the Heels were hoping he would be this year, after having two strong years in a row. Paige has averaged just 12.2 ppg and 2.2 rpg, while hitting just 40.4% of his shots. In all the Heels have 8 players that average at lead 5.1 ppg and are led by Brice Johnson, who averages 17.0 ppg and also leads the team in rebounding at 10.6 ppg. As a team the Heels are very strong on offense as they come in ranked 9th in the nation in scoring at 83.8 ppg and 21st in shooting overall at 48.3%, but they are very weak from long range, where they have hit just 31.4% of their shots, which is 303rd. The defense has been decent as they come in ranked 142nd in points allowed (70.3 ppg) and 82nd in defensive FG% (41.4%), but they are 283rd at defending the 3-ball (36.3%)
The Virginia Cavaliers have also had their good and bad moments this year, but still they are 20-6 overall, 105 in ACC and a perfect 13-0 at home. The Cavs come in having lost two of their last three games, but both those loses were on the road at Duke and Miami and they really should have won the Duke game. Virginia also has a strong 63-47 road win over Louisville on their resume as well. The Cavs are a team that is led by their defense, which comes in ranked 3rd in the nation, allowing just 59.7 ppg on 41.8% shooting, which is 91st. That defense has been even stronger of late as they come in allowing just 53.3 ppg in their last seven games. Now that is playing some defense. Virginia is not a real deep team as they have just 4 players that average more than 4.9 ppg. Three of them average in double figures and the team is led by Malcolm Brogdon, who averages 18.2 ppg. As a team the Cavs are 241st in the nation in scoring, putting up just 70.7 ppg, but they are a great shooting team hitting 49.3% of their shots overall (8th) and 40.1% from long range (11th).
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Free College Basketball Play
[518] North Carolina/ Virginia Under 139
If there is any team in the nation that can slow down an uptempo team it is the Virginia Cavaliers and they have allowed Carolina an average of just 655.3 ppg in their last 3 meetings. The Cavs defense has been awesome of late and they did hold high powered Duke to just 63 points in that loss. Virginia has allowed just 54.7 ppg at home and their home games have averaged just 129.8 ppg, while their last seven games overall have averaged just 117.7 ppg, with no more than 126 points being scored in any of those games. The Heels have played a lot of high scoring games this year, but you can throw all those numbers out when taking on a Virginia team that will not be sped up in their pace of play, especially at home. The last five games between these teams at Virginia has averaged just 124.2 ppg and I can’t see much more than that being scored in this one.
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