College Basketball Preview: UCLA Bruins vs California Golden Bears
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
When: 9:00 PM ET, Thursday, February 25, 2016
Where: Haas Pavilion in Berkeley, California
Lines: California -7
Total: 146.5
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The UCLA Bruins are squarely on the bubble for an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament and that makes this a must win game for them. The are not playing very well down the stretch as they come in having won just 3 of their last 8 games and are sitting at 15-12 overall, including 6-8 in conference play. OK so maybe they are on the outside of the bubble looking it. The Bruins will probably have to win out and then have a strong showing in their conference tournament to make it to the big dance. UCLA is off a nice 24 point home win over the Buffaloes, but playing at Berkeley will be a different story as the Bears are a perfect 16-0 at home. The Bruins are not a deep team as just five players average more than 4.7 ppg on the year. They are led by Isaac Hamilton’s 17 ppb, which 2nd on the team, is Bryce Alford at 16.1 ppg. Tony Parker leads the team in boards with 8.8 rpg, while also chipping in with 12.7 ppg, which is 3rd on the team. The Bruins check in at 55th in the nation in scoring, putting up 78.7 ppg on 45.9% shooting, which is 86th. On defense they are not so good as they allow 75.7 ppg (272nd) on 42% shooting (101st).
The Cal Bears have had a heck of a season so far as they are currently 19-8 overall, including 16-0 at home. The Bears have won their last five games in a row and are 4th in the PAC-12 with a 9.5 mark, but they are just 1.5 games behind league leading Oregon. One would have to think that unless they have a total meltdown, the Bears will be in the Big Dance. The Bears are also not a real deep team as they have five players that average more than 4.1 ppg. Cal is led by Jaylen Brown, who averages 15.7 ppg, while 2nd is Tyrone Wallace at 15.5 ppg. Jordan Mathews (13.1 ppg) and Ivan Rabb (12.0 ppg) round out the double digit scorers for the Bears. Rabb is team’s leading rebounder at 8.3 rpg. The Bears come in ranked 129th in the nation in scoring, putting up 75.3 ppg, while hitting 47.1% of their shots, which is 40th. At the defensive end of the floor is where they have really excelled this year as they have allowed just 66.9 ppg, which is 55th in the nation and on just 38.9% shooting, which is 14th. This could be a dangerous team in the Big Dance.
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Free College Basketball Play
[760] California -7 over UCLA
Going with the Bears here as they have been much more consistent and they are at home where they are 16-0 and have outscored their opponents by 15.8 ppg on this floor. Let’s also note that they beat the Ducks by 20 on this floor. Defense is the key here as the Bears have allowed just 62.6 ppg on their home floor, while The Bruins have allowed 79 ppg on the road. That gives the Bears a huge edge at that end of the floor. The Bruins are playing to make it in the Big Dance, but the Bears are playing for a conference title and I feel they will be the more motivated team in this one. Cal by at least 10 here.
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