Wednesday, October 28, 2015

West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs College Football Betting Preview & Pick

CFB Preview: West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 7:30 PM ET, Thursday, October 29, 2015
Where: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas
Televised: ESPN

Odds:  The game opened with TCU as 14.5 point favorites ad have been bet down slightly to -14. The OU line currently stands at 75





The West Virginia Mountaineers started the year at 3-0, but then Big 12 play started and they now have lost their last 3 games in a row. The Mountaineers have really been crushed in their two big 12 road games so far as they lost by 20 at Oklahoma and then last week they lost by 24 at Baylor. West Virginia allowed just 23 total points in their three non-conference games to start the year, but once Big 12 play has begun that defense has been torched to the tune of 494 ypg and 36.3 ppg. I see a patter here and that defense may not have any better luck vs the high-powered Horned Frogs in this one. The Offense For West Virginia has been very good as expected as they come in ranked 19th in the nation in total offense and 29th in scoring (36.3 ppg). Offense is clearly not an issue for this team. 

The TCU Horned Frogs were picked by many to have the best shot at knocking off Ohio State in the run for the national title and they were raked 2nd in the nation to start the year, but they have been plagued by injuries to their defense and haven't been as dominating as expected and as a result they have dropped one spot in the polls. This team is still very good, but until they fix that leaky defense they will be at risk of losing every week. The Horned Frogs did allowed just 24 points in their first two games and they allowed 7 points Texas later in the year, but in their other 4 games this year they have given up 38.8 ppg. They could have similar problems in this one, but i'm not sure they will care much about that as their high powered offense will take aim at a weak West Virginia defense. That offense for TCU is high powered as they average 616.3 ypg and 50.1 ppg on the year so far.   



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Free College Football Pick
[111] West Virginia/ TCU Over 75
This one should be a lot of fun as we have two high powered offenses taking on shaky defenses/ TCU has averaged 50 ppg this year and Baylor put up 68 points on this defense, so see no reason why the Horned frog will put up less tan 55 here. The TCU defense has really struggled at times this year and that should continue vs a West Virginia offense that is capable of 30+ points any time they step on the field. Both offense run uptempo and that just creates many more chances to score. three of TCU's last 5 games have put up 93 or more points, while West Virginia's 3 Big 12 games have put up 75.7 ppg. I can see this one hitting the 80s rather easily.




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