Holiday Bowl Preview: USC Trojans vs Wisconsin Badgers
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
When: 10:30 PM ET, Wednesday, December 30, 2015
Where: Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California
Lines: USC -3.5
Total: 50.5
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The Wisconsin Badgers come in at 9-3 on the year, but they were just 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS vs bowl teams this year and their SOS was one of the lower of the bowl teams. That means they really beat up on the weaker teams they played. The Badgers have done it this year with a stout defense that comes in ranked 3rd in the nation in yards allowed, giving up just 267.1 ypg, while ranking first in points allowed, giving up just 13.1 ppg. The Badgers allowed 35 points to Alabama in their opener and they allowed more than 21 points just one other time this year and that was at Maryland. The offense is a conservative one, but with their defense they can afford to be. Joel Stave is the QB and he did throw for 2470 yards, but also threw just 10 TDs to 11 INTs. What’s more alarming for this offense is that they are 97th in the nation in rushing. That is not Wisconsin football. This is a team that is used to being in the top 20 in the nation in rushing. Still they have scored 27.1 ppg, which has been more than enough because of the defense they have.
The USC Trojans come in at 8-5 n the year, which really is not what they were expecting. This is a team hat had loads of talent coming back from last year and were supposed to have a much better year than they did. Still they played in the weak Pac-12 South and won the division, before losing 41-22 to Stanford in the Pac-12 Title game. USC faced the third toughest schedule of all the bow teams and were 6-5 SU & 5-6 ATS in their games vs Bowl teams. The Trojans are just the opposite of the Badgers are they are much stronger on offense than on defense. The offense is led by Cody Kessler, who had a strong year, but more was expected. He did throw for 3315 yards and 28 TDs, but that was 500 yards less and 11 TDs than the year before. Offensively hey are 34th in total yards and 30th in scoring, putting up 34.9 ppg. The defense was to be the real strength of this team this year, but that was not the case as they ranked 66th in yards allowed, 99th vs the pass and 52nd in points allowed, giving up 25.9 ppg.
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[255] Wisconsin +3.5 over USC
I’m going with the Badgers in this one. Their defense has been excellent this year and I feel that will be the difference in this game. The Trojans have been good on offense this year, but they have also been inconsistent and they have struggled vs some good defenses like the second meeting vs Stanford (22) and an earlier meeting vs Washington (12). This will be the best defense they will have faced so far this year. USC does not have that kind of defensive presence this year and the Wisconsin offense should wear them down enough to put up enough points to get the outright win here.
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