Wednesday, September 16, 2015

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Thursday Night Football Preview & Pick

NFL Preview: Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

 


When: 8:20 PM ET, Friday, September 18, 2015
Where: Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
Televised: CBS/ NFL Network


Odds: The line opened with Kansas City listed as 1 point favorites and has now been bet up to Kansas City as 3 point favorites. The OU line is steady at 42.

The Broncos are still the favorites to win the AFC West this year, but the gap is closing and one of the teams closing the gap is the Chiefs. Denver has really owned this series of late, as they have won the last 6 between the teams, but this year may be a bit different. Both teams got wins in their openers as the Broncos took out Baltimore by a 19-13 score, while Kansas City went on the road and beat Houston by a score of 27-20.  

Neither team looked all that impressive in their wins as the Chiefs were outgained by 66 yards in their contest, while the Broncos put up a total of 219 yards of offense. That’s really bad for this team, but you could see a decline coming in their offense as they have lost a lot of talent at the WR and TE positions, plus Manning hasn’t really looked right from the 2n nd half of last year and in this first game. Age just may be catching up with him. The Broncos may have to rely more on their run game this year and they have a good one, although they put up just 69 yards on the ground vs the Ravens. It may be just as tough for them to penetrate this tough Kansas City from wall. The Chiefs Chiefs allowed Houston just 98 yards on the ground, but they were picked apart by an average Houston passing game allowing 298 yards through the air in the game. That is very un-chief like and you can bet that they will be looking to have a better showing in this one.

The Offense for Kansas Did just enough to win the Game vs Houston, but did not really look good overall, while the Broncos had a stellar defensive game vs the high flying Ravens as they held them to just 173 yards on total offense, including just 100 yards through the air. That is impressive vs Flacco and company.

Trends Of Note: The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday night games as a favorite and 4-0 ATS on Thursday night with revenge vs an opponent that is .500 or better, but they are 1-11 ATS as division favorites of 6 or less. The Broncos are 5-1 ATS their last 6 games played here and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on Thursday Night, but they are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a dog.


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Free Pro Football Pick
[102] Kansas City -3 over Denver
I feel that it’s time for the Chiefs to get a big win in this series and break their losing streak to the Broncos. Neither team looked good in the Opener, but the Chiefs do play much better at home than on the road. The Broncos may be in trouble this year if they don’t fin away to jump start their offense. Manning didn’t look god at the tail end of last year and it has carried over to this year. Andy Reid is an excellent coach and the Broncos are going through a coaching change and trying to lean new schemes. The defense caught on, but the offense did not. Denver looks very mediocre right now and this could be the best possible spot for the Chiefs to beat them. KC by 7 here.  






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