Wednesday, September 30, 2015

Miami Hurricanes vs Cincinnati Bearcats College Football Betting Preview & Free Pick

The Miami Hurricanes come into this game with a perfect 3-0 mark, which includes a 36-33 win in OT at home over Nebraska 12 days ago. The Cincinnati Bearcats were picked by many to win their division in the AAC, but so far they are 0-2 in the conference and 2-2 overall. The game will be played in Cincinnati and will be televised on ESPN at 7:30 PM (ET) Written by David Hess Follow Me on Twitter @DavidHess311



Betting Odds provided by 5Dimes
Miami                          -6.5
Cincinnati                   +6.5


Over/ Under:                68


Miami- So far the Canes have looked good this year, but two of their wins were vs Bethune Cookman and Florida Atlantic. No big deal there. They then played Nebraska on their home field and vs they did win the game, but it wasn’t easy as they let Nebraska outscore them 23-3 in the 4th quarter to send the game to OT, where the Canes eventually won the game. Brad Kaaya leads this offense and he has been solid so far, completing 61.4% of his passes for 839 yards with 5 TDs and just 1 INT. In the win over Nebraska he threw for 379 yards, but the Huskers do have a porous secondary. Overall this year Miami ranks 36th in total offense, 36th in passing and 20th in scoring (41.7 ppg). The Defense for Miami has been good, but they did allow Nebraska  462 yards of total offense and they could have similar problems vs the High powered Bearcats in this one.


Cincinnati- The Bearcats have not had the year they were expecting t so far as they currently stand at 2-2 overall and 0-2 in the ACC. They were supposed to to be the main contender for the conference title, but it just hasn’t panned out that way. Now to make matters worse for them they may be without QB Gunner Kiel, who took a vicious hit to the head in the loss to Memphis last Thursday night. The way the hit looked it is unlikely that he will make it back for this game. Backup QB Hayden came in and did a very nice job as he threw for 552 yards and 4 TDs in the game, but also had two picks. He was highly recruited out of HS and showed that he has all the tools to be a very good College QB. The Bearcat offense comes in ranked 3rd in the nation in total yards at 623 ypg and 24th in scoring at 40.3 ppg. It hasn’t been their offense that has them at 2-2, but their defense that ranks 74th in yards allowed and 99th in points allowed at 32.5 ppg.
    


Free College Football Pick
[104] Cincinnati +6.5 over Miami
I am going to look for the Bearcats to keep this one close. I know That Gunner Kiel is out, but Hayden Moore showed last week that he is more than capable of running this offense, after thrown for 557 yards vs Memphis. Now he has a week to prepare, so he should do well in this game, especially in front of the home crowd and on National TV. In their last game, the Canes faced their first real offense of the year (Nebraska) and allowed 33 points and 462 yards in the game, including 309 through the air. Moore should have a good game vs this defense. 

The Clinchers: Miami is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games, while Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on Thursday night.

The Bearcats will give up some points, but I feel their offense will score enough to keep the game close.





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