Thursday, November 5, 2015

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Missouri Tigers Thursday College Football Preview & Prediction

CFB Preview: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Missouri Tigers

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)

When: 9:00 PM ET, Thursday, November 5, 2015
Where: Faurot Field in Columbia, Missouri
Televised: ESPN

Odds:  The game opened with Mississippi State as 7.5 point favorites and it has pretty much stayed the same all week, while the OU line has been bet up to 43 from 39.   




The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 6-2 on the year, but just 2-2 in the SEC. They come off a three game hoe stand, in which they scored 42 or more in all three games, while allowing 20 or less in all three. Here's the catch. Their last three games have been vs Troy, La Tech and Kentucky. Not murderer's row and neither is Missouri, but the Tigers do know how to play defense and those teams don't. Mississippi State has scored 35.1 ppg overall, but just 23.98 ppg in SEC play. Defensively they have allowed a solid 17.8 ppg overall and 19 ppg in SEC play. The Bulldogs have really played much better outside their conference than inside it it and they will face a tough defense in this one.

The Missouri Tigers are not having a good year. Yes they are 4-4 overall, but just 1-34 in the SEC and the main culprit is an offense that couldn't score even if they were playing 11 on 7. This is a bad offense that comes on having score just 12 points total on their last 3 games. They are ranked 126th in the nation in total offense and 127th in scoring offense, putting up just 14.9 ppg. The thing that is keeping them afloat right now is their defense that has been stellar, ranking 6th overall, 6th vs the pass and 3rd in points allowed (12.5 ppg). If this was just an average defense then this team might have one ot two wins at most.




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Free College Football Pick
[316] Mississippi State/ Missouri Under 43
I really can't understand why the line has gone up in this one. Missouri can't score, while on defense they don't allow squat. So far their SEC games have put up 34 points or less in all 5 games and the last two have seen just 15 and 13 points being scored. Mississippi State has played some higher scoring games of late, but they also have played a 17-9 game vs Auburn and a 21-19 game vs LSU. The Bulldogs offense has been good overall, but in 3 SEC games vs teams not named Kentucky they have averaged just 17.7 ppg and have scored just 17 points in each of their two roadies in the SEC, while Missouri has averaged just 9.8 ppg in their 5 SEC games. Points will not come easily here in what should be a real yawner of a game.




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