Armed Forces Bowl Preview: Air Force Falcons vs California Golden Bears
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
When: 2:00 PM ET, Tuesday, December 29, 2015
Where: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas
Lines: California -7
Total: 67.5
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The Air Force Falcons are in the Armed forces Bowl. Something just seems right about that. Air Force comes in at 8-5 on the year which included a loss in the MWC Title game to San Diego State. The Falcons have gone just 3-5 vs bowl teams this year, but 5-3 AT in those games. The Falcons run the triple option offense and are led by QB Karson Roberts, who threw for 1446 yards and also ran for 674 yards on the year. The Falcons have 7 players on their team that have totaled at least 300 yards on the ground this year, which makes this offense very tough to stop as you don’t know who to key on, especially if you don’t see this style of offense all that much. The Falcons come in at 2nd in the nation in rushing at 322.1 ypg and while they don’t throw it a lot, when they do it’s usually for big plays as they are 2nd in the nation in yards per pass attempt at 10.7. The Falcons average 33.9 ppg on the year, while on defense they are 24th in yards allowed and 40th in points allowed, giving up just 23.2 ppg.
The Cal Bears didn’t have a great year as they are 7-5 overall and just 4-5 in the Pac-12. They went just 4-5 SU and 3-6 vs bowl teams this year, but did outgain they by 24 ypg. The Bears were expecting a whole lot more this year, especially with QB Jared Goff running the offense. Goff did have a strong year as he threw for 4247 yards, with 37 TDs and 13 INTs. Goff has many solid targets to throw to as 6 players have caught at least 36 passes and 460 yards on the year, including Bryce Treggs, who leads the team with 813 yards. The Bears bring in the 4th best passing offense in the nation and it will be interesting to see them go up against Air Force’s 24th ranked passing defense. Offense was not a problem for his team as they ranked 23rd in the nation in scoring, putting up 36.5 ppg. The problem for the Bears has been a leaky defense, that ranks 110th in total yards allowed and 88th in points allowed, giving up 30.2 ppg. The Bears have really struggled against the run, where they are 104th in the nation and that is without facing an option team this year.
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Free CFB Bowl Play
[241] Air Force/ California Over 67.5
Let’s look for a high scoring game here. Both teams play an uptempo style and while Air Force likes to run the ball a lot they will be going up against a team that is 104th in the nation vs the run and that is without seeing the option yet. The Falcons will get the Bears to suck their defense in closer to the line and then they will be able to hit big plays downfield for some easy scores. The Bears have a high power passing attack and one that the Falcons haven’t seen yet this year so I look for their 24th ranked passing defense to struggle in this one. The over is 22-7-1 in Cal’s last 30 non-conference games, while the Over is 7-3 in the Falcon’s last 10 games in December. This one has 70+ points written all over it.
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