Saturday, September 19, 2015

California Golden Bears vs Texas Longhorns Betting Preview & Free Pick

CFB Preview: California Golden Bears vs Texas Longhorns

Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)


 

When: 7:30 PM ET, Saturday, September 19, 2015
Where: Darrell K Royal- Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas
Televised: Fox


Odds: The line opened with California as being 1.5 point favorites they have now been bet up to 6.5 point favorites. The OU line started out at 60 and has been bet down to 57.5.


The California Golden Bears have had a couple of easy wins to start their season at 2-0. They started with a 73-14 win over Grambling State, which was expected, but what wasn’t expected was their 35-7 destruction over a very solid San Diego State squad in week 2. That game may be a reason that so much money has come in on Cal in this one. Make no mistake, this is a good Cal team that returns 17 starters from last year and will contend in the Pac-12 South, but they totally dominated the Aztecs last week. The Bears outgaind the Aztecs by 160 yards in the game and their defense did a very nice job vs the pass, holding the Aztecs to just 173 yards on 14-32 passing. Defense was the emphasis on this team in the offseason after they allowed 39.8 ppg and 366 ypg through the air last year. So far they have allowed just 10.5 ppg and 171 ypg passing.

The Texas Longhorns season got off to a very rocky start as they were blasted 38-3 by Notre Dame. That was not a good game at all for them as they were held to just 163 yards of total offense, while being outgained by 364 yards. Their next game wasn’t great either, even though they beat Rice by a 42-28 score. In that game the Longhorns were outgained by 185 yards, they allowed the Owls to pile up 228 yards on the ground and allowed them to hit 14 of their 21 3rd down attempts. Charlie Strong is a good coach, but this team just isn’t right at the moment. The defense was expected to struggle early as they had just 5 starters back on that side of the ball, but the offense had 7 starters back, including Tyrone Swoopes and were expected to improve over last year’s team that put up 337 ypg and 21.4 ppg. So far Texas has averaged 22.5 ppg ad 220 ypg of offense.  This team has issues on both sides of the ball.




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Free College Football Pick

[103] California/ Texas Under 57.5
The Longhorns have had major issues on offense so far this year and it really showed in their game vs a weak Rice defense. In that game they put up just 11 FDs and 277 yards of offense. Now they take on a vastly improved defense of the Bears and will find it difficult to get much going vs them. Texas will need to start winning some game with heir defense and while it has struggled so far I expect that to start to change. Charlie Strong is more of a defensive minded coach and he will find away to get it done here. He has the quality players for a good defense. They just have to execute. I expect a more determined defense in this one from Texas, while the Longhorns will struggle to score on offense.  




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