Cleveland Browns vs. NY Jets Betting Odds and Pick
By: Bankerz Bets (Follow me on Twitter @Bankerz_Bets)
The Cleveland Browns will be on the road to face the New York Jets on NFL Sunday and televised on CBS at 1:00pm eastern time.
Cleveland Browns +2.5
New York Jets -2.5
Over/Under:
o40
u40
The Browns averaged 5.1 (26th) yards per play while allowing 5.2 (8th) yards per play defensively. Their 3rd down conversion rate was 29.47% and they ranked 23rd in first downs. They also averaged 18.7 (27th) points per game. From a betting perspective, they went 9-5-2 against the spread overall and 5-2-1 against the spread in road games. When betting on the Total in the Browns games, they had a 5-11 Over/Under record overall and a 3-5 OVER/Under record in road games.
The Jets averaged 5.0 (30th) yards per play while allowing 5.4 (15th) yards per play defensively. Their 3rd down conversion rate was 38.89% and they ranked 25th in first downs. They also averaged 17.7 (28th) points per game. From a betting perspective, they went 6-9-1 against the spread overall and 3-5 against the spread in home games. When betting on the Total in the Jets games, they had a 7-9 Over/Under record overall and a 3-5 OVER/Under record in home games.
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[468] New York Jets -2.5
My eyes will certainly be closed for this Free Pick. This is certainly a game where I believe the number will matter as I feel it will be decided by a field goal. This is a perfect axample of a game that if I were given an additional point (Browns +3.5), I’d be on the other side. Neither of these teams have high expectations for this upcoming season. Perhaps the biggest news between the Browns and Jets is what happened to Geno Smith. In my opinion, I think Geno Smith being out is actually a blessing in disguise and now Ryan Fitzpatrick will take the starting role in this game. I guess the most important point to note in this analysis is you will be in a much better position if you bet numbers and not teams. “3” is a “key number” in football, which means games are won and loss by 3 points at a high percentage.
As for the Total, all signs point towards the under and I’m sure that the public will be all over this, despite the public betting on overs the majority of the time. I just can’t pull the trigger on something that seems so obvious in the most popular bet sport NFL. I expect this to be a sloppy game and if the oddsmakers have enough belief in releasing the Jets as 2.5 point favorites, I’ll agree with them and lay the points.
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