NFL Preview: Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers
Written By David Hess (Follow me on Twitter @DavidHess311)
When: 8:30 PM ET, Sunday, September 20, 2015
Where: Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin
Televised: ESPN
Odds: The game started out Green Bay favored by 6.5 points and has pretty much held that line all week. The OU opened up at 48 and has been bet up to 49.
The Kansas City Chiefs had a very nice 27-20 road win over Houston to open up their season and then last week they had a lead vs Denver with 2 minutes to go in the game before the Broncos tied it up and then with 27 seconds left Kansas City fumbled the ball, which Denver picked up and ran back for the winning score. It was really a tough loss for the Chiefs to endure and it will b interesting to see what kind of mindset they have for this game. The Chiefs offense was to be upgraded this year and on the surface it appears so as they have averaged 25.5 ppg so far, but looking deeper we see that they are 19th in total offense and 21st i passing offense. Special teams and defense has set them up with good field position and that is not something i would look for them to be able to to in this one. The defense has been middle of the pack in terms of yards allowed so far, while ranking 21st in points allowed (25.5 ppg). They are 23rd vs the pass, which could be a problem vs the high powered Packers.
The Packers started the year with a nice 31-23 win over lowly Chicago and then last week they got revenge from last years playoffs by beating Seattle 27-17. The game was actually closer than the final score indicates as the Seahawks led 17-17 heading into the 4th quarter and Green Bay outgained them by just 37 total yards in the game. The Packers have been on point offensively this year and many wondered how they would cope with he loss of Jordy Nelson. Well they have scored points, but still are averaging just 211.5 ypg through the air. Still the pickup of James Jones has helped them as he has 3 TDs through the first two games. The Loss of Nelson has changed their game plan some as they have run the ball more than passed it this year so far and hey have averaged 130 ypg rushing so far, which is slightly better than last year. On defense hey have allowed just 20 ppg so far, but are also 31st in the league vs the run and 21st in total yards allowed. This is still he best team in the North, but they do need someone else to step up at WR or they may be in trouble.
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Free Pro Football Pick
[467] Green Bay -6.5 over Kansas City
Im going to look to the Packers in this one. They are a tough team to beat at Lambeau and have the much better offenses in this game. Kansas City has feasted on TOs and great special teams play this year so far to help their offense out, but Rodgers just doesn't turn the ball overall home. The Chiefs will have to go the long way if they hope to score in this one and they just don't have the offense to be able to do that. Kansas City also turned the ball over 5 times last week vs the Broncos and if you do that here Rogers will make you pay Big.
The Clinchers: Green Bay is 11-2 ATS vs the AFC with revenge, while the Chiefs are just 1-6 ATS on MNF off a SU loss as a favorite. Also any undefeated MNF home team vs a non-division opponents is 20-4 ATS since 1990.
Green Bay is the better team, playing at home on MNF and should walk away with a comfortable win here.
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