Houston Cougars (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS, 2-0-1 OU) vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS, 2-1 OU)
When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 3, 2015
Where: H.A. Chapman Stadium in Tulsa, Oklahoma
Lines: Houston - 7
Total: 81.5
The Houston Cougars are off to a fast 3-0 start, which includes a road win over Louisville in week 2. Last week they got revenge on Texas State for an upset loss back in 2013, by crushing them 59-14. The Tulsa Golden Hurricane had just two wins last year and already have that many wins this year. They are off their first loss of the year last week, which was a 52-38 loss, but they did cover the huge 31.5 point spread in the process.
Greg Ward Jr. Is doing it all
QB Greg Ward Jr. is off to a heck of a start this year and just think, Houston should have him for another year. The Junior QB from Tyler, Texas comes into the game having thrown for 785 yards and 8 TDs, with just 1 INT. That’s not all though as he also leads the team in rushing with 289 yards and 4 TDs. He has been the offense, but has had some help from Kenneth Farrow, who has 158 yards runsing so far, while his favorite target has been Brandon Wilson, who has 7 catches for 226 yards. That translates to a 32.3 ypc average folks.
In the game vs Texas State he posted a 253.6 QBR Hitting 17 of 21 passes for 274 yards with 4 TDs, while he also ran for 91 yards and 2 more TDs. Overall this year the Houston offense is 7th in total Yards (591 ypg) 23rd in passing (304.7 ypg) and 6th in scoring 48.3.
Tulsa Offense Unstoppable… Defense Is Pitiful
Last year the Tulsa offense was not that great as they put up just 412 yards of offense and just 25 ppg, but so far this year they have been nearly unstoppable, putting up 673 ypg overall, 390.7 ypg passing and 41.7 ppg. Two weeks ago the Golden Hurricane was involved in a shootout with the Oklahoma Sooners which saw 90 pons scored and over 1300 yards of total offense. The Tulsa offense accounted for 38 points, 603 yards overall and 427 yards passing in that game.
The bad news for Tulsa is that they allowed 773 yards of total offense to the Sooners including 497 yards through the air in the 52-38 loss, Defensively they rank 124th in yards allowed (575 ypg) and 113th in points allowed (39.0 ppg).
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Trends
Houston is:
12-4 ATS their last 16 games in October
20-7-1 ATS their last 28 road games
21-7-1 ATS Their last 29 games off a SU win
Tulsa is:
1-7 ATS at home after allowing 40 or more points
1-5 ATS their last 6 home games
Pick: Houston -7
Both of these offenses are high powered, which should make for an entertaining game, but the Cougars do have the ability to play some defense and I feel that is where the game will be won and covered by them. Tulsa is not a great home team, while Houston knows how to play and win on the road. Just ask Louisville. Look for Houston to pull ahead in the 4th quarter and win this one by at least 2 Tds.
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